16 beating a 1 is always more likely than all 4 #1 seeds making final 4 and it finally happened!
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
| 1 | Villanova | 12.10% | 22.52% | 15.16% | 16.82% | 9.96% | 23.44% |
| 2 | CINN | 23.68% | 25.56% | 14.40% | 13.86% | 11.04% | 11.46% |
| 3 | KANSAS | 23.58% | 22.88% | 21.76% | 14.24% | 6.78% | 10.76% |
| 4 | DUKE | 24.18% | 31.34% | 20.28% | 12.26% | 5.26% | 6.68% |
| 5 | UNC | 31.20% | 27.72% | 16.32% | 10.10% | 8.24% | 6.42% |
| 6 | MSU | 21.20% | 36.40% | 19.50% | 12.50% | 4.24% | 6.16% |
| 7 | ZAGS | 37.44% | 25.66% | 17.74% | 8.74% | 5.68% | 4.74% |
| 8 | TENN | 22.36% | 42.52% | 13.20% | 11.56% | 6.04% | 4.32% |
| 9 | MICH | 36.96% | 31.26% | 14.72% | 8.04% | 5.12% | 3.90% |
| 10 | WVA | 11.50% | 58.82% | 12.72% | 9.64% | 3.82% | 3.50% |
| 11 | XAVIER | 37.44% | 29.92% | 17.00% | 7.62% | 5.10% | 2.92% |
| 12 | UK | 25.14% | 27.62% | 27.10% | 12.10% | 5.44% | 2.60% |
| 13 | PURDUE | 39.20% | 27.80% | 21.02% | 6.70% | 2.92% | 2.36% |
| 14 | TEX TECH | 43.64% | 26.84% | 19.90% | 5.82% | 2.06% | 1.74% |
| 15 | AUB | 42.46% | 34.72% | 13.36% | 6.02% | 1.86% | 1.58% |
| 16 | K STATE | 11.52% | 46.74% | 28.30% | 8.56% | 3.66% | 1.22% |
| 17 | OHIO ST. | 62.56% | 20.48% | 9.74% | 3.88% | 2.28% | 1.06% |
| 18 | HOUS | 63.04% | 22.48% | 8.58% | 3.66% | 1.46% | 0.78% |
| 19 | FLORIDA | 56.36% | 23.28% | 15.04% | 3.52% | 1.04% | 0.76% |
| 20 | TEX A&M | 68.80% | 18.54% | 7.32% | 3.10% | 1.54% | 0.70% |
| 21 | CLEMSON | 57.54% | 28.82% | 9.12% | 3.00% | 0.90% | 0.62% |
| 22 | FSU | 62.56% | 23.94% | 8.58% | 3.06% | 1.24% | 0.62% |
| 23 | BUT | 60.80% | 22.08% | 12.80% | 3.08% | 0.70% | 0.54% |
| 24 | SETON HALL | 76.42% | 13.58% | 6.72% | 2.16% | 0.80% | 0.32% |
| 25 | NEVADA | 76.32% | 14.00% | 5.28% | 2.76% | 1.32% | 0.32% |
| 26 | SYR | 78.80% | 15.88% | 4.06% | 0.92% | 0.20% | 0.14% |
| 27 | RIU | 75.82% | 16.38% | 5.20% | 1.94% | 0.52% | 0.14% |
| 28 | BUFF | 74.86% | 15.44% | 7.50% | 1.84% | 0.28% | 0.08% |
| 29 | LOYOLA | 77.64% | 17.92% | 2.98% | 1.06% | 0.32% | 0.08% |
| 30 | ALA | 87.90% | 7.84% | 2.76% | 1.32% | 0.14% | 0.04% |
| 31 | MARSHALL | 88.50% | 10.82% | 0.60% | 0.06% | 0.02% | 0.00% |
| 32 | UMBC | 88.48% | 10.20% | 1.24% | 0.06% | 0.02% | 0.00% |
Chance of each team winning >=n games.
| >=2 | >=3 | >=4 | >=5 | >=6 | |
| Villanova | 87.90% | 65.38% | 50.22% | 33.40% | 23.44% |
| CINN | 76.32% | 50.76% | 36.36% | 22.50% | 11.46% |
| KANSAS | 76.42% | 53.54% | 31.78% | 17.54% | 10.76% |
| DUKE | 75.82% | 44.48% | 24.20% | 11.94% | 6.68% |
| UNC | 68.80% | 41.08% | 24.76% | 14.66% | 6.42% |
| MSU | 78.80% | 42.40% | 22.90% | 10.40% | 6.16% |
| ZAGS | 62.56% | 36.90% | 19.16% | 10.42% | 4.74% |
| TENN | 77.64% | 35.12% | 21.92% | 10.36% | 4.32% |
| MICH | 63.04% | 31.78% | 17.06% | 9.02% | 3.90% |
| WVA | 88.50% | 29.68% | 16.96% | 7.32% | 3.50% |
| XAVIER | 62.56% | 32.64% | 15.64% | 8.02% | 2.92% |
| UK | 74.86% | 47.24% | 20.14% | 8.04% | 2.60% |
| PURDUE | 60.80% | 33.00% | 11.98% | 5.28% | 2.36% |
| TEX TECH | 56.36% | 29.52% | 9.62% | 3.80% | 1.74% |
| AUB | 57.54% | 22.82% | 9.46% | 3.44% | 1.58% |
| K STATE | 88.48% | 41.74% | 13.44% | 4.88% | 1.22% |
| OHIO ST. | 37.44% | 16.96% | 7.22% | 3.34% | 1.06% |
| HOUS | 36.96% | 14.48% | 5.90% | 2.24% | 0.78% |
| FLORIDA | 43.64% | 20.36% | 5.32% | 1.80% | 0.76% |
| TEX A&M | 31.20% | 12.66% | 5.34% | 2.24% | 0.70% |
| CLEMSON | 42.46% | 13.64% | 4.52% | 1.52% | 0.62% |
| FSU | 37.44% | 13.50% | 4.92% | 1.86% | 0.62% |
| BUT | 39.20% | 17.12% | 4.32% | 1.24% | 0.54% |
| SETON HALL | 23.58% | 10.00% | 3.28% | 1.12% | 0.32% |
| NEVADA | 23.68% | 9.68% | 4.40% | 1.64% | 0.32% |
| SYR | 21.20% | 5.32% | 1.26% | 0.34% | 0.14% |
| RIU | 24.18% | 7.80% | 2.60% | 0.66% | 0.14% |
| BUFF | 25.14% | 9.70% | 2.20% | 0.36% | 0.08% |
| LOYOLA | 22.36% | 4.44% | 1.46% | 0.40% | 0.08% |
| ALA | 12.10% | 4.26% | 1.50% | 0.18% | 0.04% |
| MARSHALL | 11.50% | 0.68% | 0.08% | 0.02% | 0.00% |
| UMBC | 11.52% | 1.32% | 0.08% | 0.02% | 0.00% |