January 28, 2012

NBA Ratings January 28

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 11:13 am

Here they are

Team off def total
Chicago Bulls 2.31 -5.79 8.10
Philadelphia 76ers 2.42 -5.40 7.82
Miami Heat 9.48 2.45 7.03
Denver Nuggets 12.07 5.22 6.85
Oklahoma City
Thunder		 6.69 0.82 5.86
Atlanta Hawks 2.95 -2.23 5.18
Portland Trail
Blazers		 2.16 -2.43 4.59
San Antonio Spurs 3.22 -0.95 4.17
Dallas Mavericks -1.62 -4.86 3.24
Memphis Grizzlies 0.79 -2.08 2.88
Los Angeles Lakers -3.70 -5.89 2.20
Los Angeles Clippers 3.02 1.48 1.54
Minnesota
Timberwolves		 0.58 -0.88 1.46
Indiana Pacers -0.90 -2.25 1.35
Houston Rockets 3.71 2.47 1.23
Utah Jazz 2.86 1.77 1.09
Orlando Magic -1.77 -1.61 -0.16
Milwaukee Bucks -1.43 -1.24 -0.19
Boston Celtics -4.86 -4.42 -0.44
New Orleans Hornets -6.83 -5.19 -1.64
Phoenix Suns -0.79 1.89 -2.68
New York Knicks -1.47 2.05 -3.52
Golden State
Warriors		 1.57 5.23 -3.65
Cleveland Cavaliers -0.35 3.93 -4.27
New Jersey Nets -1.83 2.68 -4.51
Toronto Raptors -6.80 -1.54 -5.26
Detroit Pistons -7.34 0.76 -8.10
Sacramento Kings -2.13 6.89 -9.02
Washington Wizards -5.51 3.79 -9.30
Charlotte Bobcats -6.50 5.35 -11.86

January 24, 2012

Super Bowl PIck

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 11:14 am

NE 29-25. Here are ratings

Rank Team off def total
1 New England Patriots 10.04 -1.27 11.31
2 New Orleans Saints 12.14 0.93 11.21
3 San Francisco 49ers 2.35 -5.94 8.29
4 Green Bay Packers 9.92 1.68 8.24
5 New York Giants 4.13 -2.77 6.91
6 Baltimore Ravens 1.88 -4.87 6.74
7 Philadelphia Eagles 3.90 -2.06 5.96
8 Houston Texans 1.04 -4.02 5.06
9 Detroit Lions 6.37 2.05 4.32
10 Pittsburgh Steelers -0.60 -4.28 3.69
11 Dallas Cowboys 1.76 -1.73 3.49
12 Miami Dolphins -1.64 -3.61 1.97
13 New York Jets 1.82 -0.12 1.94
14 Atlanta Falcons -0.57 -1.84 1.27
15 Seattle Seahawks -0.28 -1.39 1.11
16 Chicago Bears -2.06 -2.74 0.68
17 San Diego Chargers 2.54 1.92 0.62
18 Cincinnati Bengals -0.21 0.91 -1.13
19 Tennessee Titans -2.37 -0.94 -1.43
20 Arizona Cardinals -1.45 0.36 -1.82
21 Carolina Panthers 2.17 4.22 -2.06
22 Buffalo Bills 1.67 4.14 -2.47
23 Washington Redskins -3.52 -0.72 -2.80
24 Oakland Raiders -0.02 5.16 -5.18
25 Cleveland Browns -7.26 -1.62 -5.64
26 Denver Broncos -3.00 2.92 -5.92
27 Jacksonville Jaguars -7.20 -1.15 -6.05
28 Minnesota Vikings -2.15 4.53 -6.69
29 Kansas City Chiefs -10.54 -2.07 -8.48
30 St. Louis Rams -8.33 1.81 -10.14
31 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4.48 6.89 -11.37
32 Indianapolis Colts -6.03 5.61 -11.64

January 22, 2012

NFL Picks

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 10:12 am

NE 31 Balt 20

SF 26 NYG 20

January 21, 2012

NBA ratings Jan 21

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 9:46 am

Here they are.

Team off def total
Philadelphia
76ers		 4.98 -5.84 10.83
Chicago Bulls 2.54 -8.11 10.65
Miami Heat 12.44 3.83 8.62
Denver Nuggets 11.59 5.65 5.94
Atlanta Hawks 1.47 -4.41 5.88
Oklahoma City
Thunder		 6.77 1.94 4.83
Portland Trail
Blazers		 2.91 -1.65 4.56
Dallas Mavericks -2.17 -5.90 3.73
San Antonio Spurs 2.75 -0.72 3.48
Los Angeles Lakers -3.64 -6.64 2.99
Memphis Grizzlies 0.93 -1.61 2.55
Orlando Magic 1.02 -1.27 2.29
Utah Jazz 0.71 -1.38 2.09
Indiana Pacers -1.80 -3.44 1.64
Minnesota
Timberwolves		 0.48 -0.68 1.17
Los Angeles Clippers 2.59 1.55 1.05
Houston Rockets 2.62 2.85 -0.23
Phoenix Suns 0.05 0.95 -0.90
Milwaukee Bucks -2.67 0.01 -2.68
New Orleans Hornets -7.90 -4.75 -3.15
Cleveland Cavaliers 1.28 4.79 -3.51
Golden State
Warriors		 1.20 4.74 -3.53
Boston Celtics -5.87 -1.99 -3.88
New York Knicks -2.26 2.98 -5.24
New Jersey Nets -1.37 4.61 -5.98
Toronto Raptors -8.42 -2.01 -6.42
Sacramento Kings -2.04 5.21 -7.25
Detroit Pistons -8.46 0.67 -9.13
Washington Wizards -5.21 4.38 -9.59
Charlotte Bobcats -4.57 6.23 -10.81

January 18, 2012

NBA ratings 1-18

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 8:04 am

Here are NBA ratings

Team off def total
Philadelphia
76ers		 5.60 -5.73 11.33
Miami Heat 12.59 3.73 8.87
Chicago Bulls 1.00 -7.67 8.67
Atlanta Hawks 2.84 -3.54 6.38
Oklahoma City Thunder 6.18 0.82 5.37
Denver Nuggets 10.49 5.37 5.12
Portland Trail Blazers 2.48 -1.66 4.14
San Antonio Spurs 4.50 0.51 3.99
Los Angeles Lakers -3.09 -6.37 3.28
Dallas Mavericks -2.91 -6.01 3.10
Indiana Pacers -1.20 -4.08 2.88
Utah Jazz 0.60 -1.89 2.48
Orlando Magic 2.17 0.04 2.13
Los Angeles Clippers 2.63 1.18 1.45
Memphis Grizzlies -0.21 -1.14 0.93
Minnesota Timberwolves 0.01 -0.80 0.81
Houston Rockets 2.48 2.38 0.10
Cleveland Cavaliers 2.62 3.23 -0.61
Phoenix Suns 1.18 3.07 -1.89
Golden State Warriors 0.90 3.57 -2.67
Milwaukee Bucks -3.63 0.09 -3.72
New York Knicks -1.34 2.47 -3.81
New Orleans Hornets -8.73 -4.87 -3.85
Boston Celtics -4.66 -0.03 -4.63
Toronto Raptors -7.72 -3.04 -4.68
New Jersey Nets -2.26 3.59 -5.85
Detroit Pistons -8.36 0.40 -8.77
Sacramento Kings -2.25 7.02 -9.27
Charlotte Bobcats -4.70 5.37 -10.07
Washington Wizards -7.23 3.96 -11.18

NFL Ratings and Picks 1-17

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 7:58 am

Team off def total
New
England Patriots		 10.68 -1.12 11.80
New Orleans Saints 12.10 0.87 11.23
San Francisco 49ers 2.99 -6.06 9.05
Green Bay Packers 9.81 1.68 8.13
Baltimore Ravens 2.02 -4.25 6.27
New York Giants 4.02 -2.16 6.18
Philadelphia Eagles 3.83 -2.13 5.96
Houston Texans 0.90 -4.05 4.95
Detroit Lions 6.37 2.01 4.36
Pittsburgh Steelers -0.67 -4.37 3.70
Dallas Cowboys 1.73 -1.81 3.54
Miami Dolphins -1.68 -3.68 2.00
New York Jets 1.73 -0.20 1.94
Atlanta Falcons -0.65 -1.83 1.18
Seattle Seahawks -0.33 -1.47 1.14
Chicago Bears -2.06 -2.74 0.68
San Diego Chargers 2.49 1.86 0.63
Cincinnati Bengals -0.27 0.88 -1.15
Tennessee Titans -2.42 -0.93 -1.49
Arizona Cardinals -1.51 0.27 -1.79
Carolina Panthers 2.15 4.24 -2.08
Buffalo Bills 1.62 4.06 -2.44
Washington Redskins -3.59 -0.79 -2.80
Oakland Raiders -0.02 5.12 -5.14
Cleveland Browns -7.33 -1.67 -5.66
Denver Broncos -3.02 2.82 -5.84
Jacksonville Jaguars -7.24 -1.14 -6.11
Minnesota Vikings -2.16 4.53 -6.69
Kansas City Chiefs -10.54 -2.11 -8.43
St. Louis Rams -8.38 1.73 -10.11
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4.50 6.85 -11.35
Indianapolis Colts -6.10 5.57 -11.67

January 14, 2012

NBA Ratings January 14

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 2:42 pm

 Here are new NBA ratings. Eastern Conference has high  variability with top 4

 and 6 of 7 worst team. Home edge is nearly 5 points this year.

Team off def total
Philadelphia
76ers		 6.62 -5.79 12.41
Chicago Bulls 1.81 -8.84 10.65
Miami Heat 11.60 3.74 7.86
Atlanta Hawks 4.38 -3.25 7.63
Denver Nuggets 10.77 5.03 5.73
Portland Trail Blazers 2.42 -2.34 4.76
Oklahoma City Thunder 6.60 2.09 4.51
San Antonio Spurs 4.95 0.66 4.28
Los Angeles Clippers 4.19 0.14 4.05
Los Angeles Lakers -1.88 -5.36 3.48
Indiana Pacers -1.40 -4.36 2.96
Orlando Magic 2.91 0.42 2.49
Dallas Mavericks -1.85 -2.80 0.95
Cleveland Cavaliers 2.92 2.73 0.19
Minnesota Timberwolves 0.25 0.45 -0.20
Houston Rockets 0.32 0.60 -0.28
Memphis Grizzlies -3.45 -2.31 -1.14
Utah Jazz -1.47 0.00 -1.46
Phoenix Suns 0.39 1.86 -1.47
Golden State Warriors -0.58 2.81 -3.39
New York Knicks -1.02 2.39 -3.42
New Orleans Hornets -9.79 -6.00 -3.79
Boston Celtics -3.53 0.47 -4.00
Milwaukee Bucks -3.31 0.69 -4.00
Toronto Raptors -6.91 -1.44 -5.46
New Jersey Nets -2.53 3.06 -5.59
Sacramento Kings 0.35 7.82 -7.47
Detroit Pistons -7.77 -0.13 -7.64
Washington Wizards -9.21 1.84 -11.05
Charlotte Bobcats -5.79 5.81 -11.60

 

January 11, 2012

NFL Ratings january 11

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 8:40 pm

Here are updated ratings. I gave double weight to playoff games. First our picks.

New England 35 Denver 20 (I hope I am wrong!)

NO 26 SF 25 Best offense vs. Best defense

Balt 22 Hous 16 I docked Houston 3 points for not having 1st string QB

GB 34 NYG 24

 

Rank Team off def total
1 New Orleans Saints 11.66 -0.40 12.06
2 Green Bay Packers 11.44 0.01 11.42
3 New England Patriots 9.47 -0.22 9.69
4 San Francisco 49ers 1.55 -6.55 8.10
5 Baltimore Ravens 2.27 -3.31 5.58
6 Houston Texans 1.72 -3.77 5.49
7 Detroit Lions 6.91 1.67 5.23
8 Philadelphia Eagles 3.41 -1.64 5.06
9 New York Giants 2.98 -0.95 3.92
10 Pittsburgh Steelers -0.79 -4.00 3.21
11 Dallas Cowboys 0.93 -1.08 2.01
12 Chicago Bears -1.67 -3.28 1.61
13 Miami Dolphins -2.02 -3.56 1.54
14 Atlanta Falcons -0.50 -1.94 1.44
15 New York Jets 1.37 -0.05 1.41
16 San Diego Chargers 2.56 1.36 1.19
17 Seattle Seahawks -0.59 -1.13 0.55
18 Tennessee Titans -2.40 -1.19 -1.21
19 Cincinnati Bengals -0.49 0.73 -1.22
20 Carolina Panthers 2.46 4.00 -1.53
21 Arizona Cardinals -1.77 0.61 -2.38
22 Denver Broncos -0.63 2.18 -2.82
23 Buffalo Bills 1.33 4.24 -2.91
24 Washington Redskins -4.00 -0.35 -3.65
25 Oakland Raiders 0.07 4.61 -4.54
26 Minnesota Vikings -1.77 3.99 -5.76
27 Cleveland Browns -7.50 -1.60 -5.90
28 Jacksonville Jaguars -7.22 -1.26 -5.95
29 Kansas City Chiefs -9.91 -1.33 -8.58
30 St. Louis Rams -8.51 2.04 -10.56
31 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4.14 6.72 -10.86
32 Indianapolis Colts -6.20 5.45 -11.65

January 8, 2012

NBA Ratings Jan 7

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 9:30 am

Here are NBA ratings. 76ers are great and get no love from anybody.

 

Team off def total
Philadelphia
76ers		 9.37 -6.69 16.06
Chicago Bulls 5.14 -6.34 11.48
Miami Heat 13.57 3.06 10.52
Denver Nuggets 11.57 2.65 8.93
Atlanta Hawks 2.88 -5.77 8.65
Portland Trail
Blazers		 3.97 -3.01 6.98
Los Angeles Clippers 5.70 1.59 4.10
San Antonio Spurs 4.42 0.41 4.01
Los Angeles Lakers -1.80 -5.44 3.64
Phoenix Suns 0.05 -2.21 2.26
Oklahoma City
Thunder		 4.66 3.60 1.06
Indiana Pacers -2.59 -3.50 0.91
Cleveland Cavaliers 2.57 2.97 -0.40
Utah Jazz -1.63 -0.99 -0.63
Milwaukee Bucks -5.85 -5.12 -0.73
Orlando Magic -3.14 -2.15 -0.99
Memphis Grizzlies -4.09 -1.94 -2.14
Minnesota
Timberwolves		 -0.59 1.63 -2.22
Dallas Mavericks -3.45 -0.87 -2.58
Houston Rockets 2.53 5.32 -2.79
Golden State
Warriors		 -3.56 -0.48 -3.08
New York Knicks 1.39 5.00 -3.61
Toronto Raptors -6.22 -2.29 -3.93
New Orleans Hornets -7.88 -3.91 -3.97
Boston Celtics -3.58 0.91 -4.49
Sacramento Kings 0.37 7.96 -7.59
Charlotte Bobcats -0.27 8.38 -8.65
New Jersey Nets -7.48 1.20 -8.67
Detroit Pistons -9.36 -0.18 -9.17
Washington Wizards -6.73 6.22 -12.95

January 3, 2012

NFL PLayoff Odds

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 9:40 am

Using our power ratings  (I reduced Houston’s rating 5 points due to their QB situation) we simulated the NFL playoffs 10,000 times. Here is the chance of each team winning their conference or Super Bowl.

  NFC AFC Super Bowl
SF 0.223 0.000 0.115
GB 0.518 0.000 0.312
Det 0.031 0.000 0.015
No 0.178 0.000 0.107
NYG 0.023 0.000 0.007
ATL 0.028 0.000 0.012
Hous 0.000 0.019 0.004
Cinn 0.000 0.036 0.009
Den 0.000 0.005 0.001
Pitt 0.000 0.113 0.038
NE 0.000 0.564 0.276
BAL 0.000 0.263 0.106
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