Although they keep losing, based on scores of games, the Heat are still the league’s best team. The top 9 teams are tightly bunched. Also Memphis, New Jersey and Houston are much better than their records indicate.
| Rank | Team | Off | Def | Overall |
| 1 | Miami Heat | 3.35 | -4.91 | 8.27 |
| 2 | Boston Celtics | -0.06 | -7.72 | 7.66 |
| 3 | San Antonio Spurs | 5.47 | -1.16 | 6.63 |
| 4 | New Orleans Hornets | -0.08 | -6.62 | 6.54 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Lakers | 7.47 | 1.27 | 6.19 |
| 6 | Denver Nuggets | 5.46 | 0.03 | 5.43 |
| 7 | Dallas Mavericks | -2.57 | -7.95 | 5.38 |
| 8 | Orlando Magic | -3.55 | -8.40 | 4.86 |
| 9 | Utah Jazz | 0.61 | -3.50 | 4.11 |
| 10 | Portland Trail Blazers | -3.43 | -5.04 | 1.62 |
| 11 | Chicago Bulls | -1.14 | -2.58 | 1.44 |
| 12 | Phoenix Suns | 9.61 | 8.38 | 1.23 |
| 13 | Indiana Pacers | -0.81 | -2.02 | 1.21 |
| 14 | Houston Rockets | 4.57 | 3.98 | 0.59 |
| 15 | Milwaukee Bucks | -9.43 | -9.64 | 0.21 |
| 16 | Memphis Grizzlies | 0.86 | 1.36 | -0.50 |
| 17 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 5.76 | 6.34 | -0.58 |
| 18 | Atlanta Hawks | -0.10 | 0.91 | -1.01 |
| 19 | New Jersey Nets | -4.24 | -2.89 | -1.35 |
| 20 | Charlotte Bobcats | -4.20 | -2.76 | -1.44 |
| 21 | Toronto Raptors | 0.97 | 2.91 | -1.94 |
| 22 | New York Knickerbockers | 6.83 | 9.34 | -2.51 |
| 23 | Philadelphia 76ers | -1.49 | 2.19 | -3.69 |
| 24 | Cleveland Cavaliers | -3.17 | 1.66 | -4.83 |
| 25 | Detroit Pistons | -4.58 | 1.09 | -5.66 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Clippers | -1.99 | 4.49 | -6.48 |
| 27 | Golden State Warriors | -1.14 | 5.38 | -6.52 |
| 28 | Washington Wizards | -3.10 | 4.26 | -7.37 |
| 29 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 1.70 | 10.19 | -8.49 |
| 30 | Sacramento Kings | -7.57 | 1.41 | -8.99 |
Do these rating include whether a game was at home or on the road?
Comment by Italian Stallion — November 25, 2010 @ 9:23 pm
Yes. Most years Home edge is around 3 points.
Comment by wwinston — November 25, 2010 @ 9:42 pm
is strength of schedule just based on opponents win-loss? that wouldn’t seem to make that much sense since these rankings are supposed to look past win-loss. or is it based on previous teams rankings on that list (don’t know how it would be implemented but it seems it would make more sense doing it that way)
Comment by garron — November 26, 2010 @ 5:09 pm
Strength of schedule is simply average rating of all opponents, adjustedfor home and away. These ratings are based on scores, not won loss record.
Comment by wwinston — November 26, 2010 @ 5:31 pm
Is there an approximate formula for converting these ratings into an expected record?
Something like 1 point = “X” games above .500.
Comment by Italian Stallion — November 26, 2010 @ 7:32 pm
1 point = 3 games over .500. so +5 should win 56 games etc.
Comment by wwinston — November 26, 2010 @ 8:43 pm