The upsets last week really scrambled the ratings. De Bears are #1, probably because they did not play last week. Giants and Packers bigwins really scrambled things.
| Rank | Team | off | def | total |
| 1 | Chicago Bears |
7.82 | -7.45 | 15.27 |
| 2 | New York Giants | 13.50 | -0.01 | 13.51 |
| 3 | San Francisco 49ers | 0.76 | -11.65 | 12.41 |
| 4 | New England Patriots | 7.98 | -0.72 | 8.70 |
| 5 | Green Bay Packers | 4.34 | -3.66 | 8.01 |
| 6 | Houston Texans | 4.15 | -3.70 | 7.85 |
| 7 | Baltimore Ravens | 5.15 | -2.43 | 7.57 |
| 8 | Seattle Seahawks | -1.87 | -7.72 | 5.85 |
| 9 | Atlanta Falcons | 2.70 | -2.65 | 5.36 |
| 10 | Denver Broncos | 3.41 | -1.00 | 4.41 |
| 11 | Detroit Lions | 8.39 | 3.99 | 4.40 |
| 12 | St. Louis Rams | -3.25 | -7.41 | 4.15 |
| 13 | Arizona Cardinals | -1.56 | -5.04 | 3.48 |
| 14 | Dallas Cowboys | 0.16 | -2.14 | 2.30 |
| 15 | Washington Redskins | 7.46 | 5.51 | 1.96 |
| 16 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -4.25 | -5.74 | 1.49 |
| 17 | Minnesota Vikings | -2.76 | -4.24 | 1.48 |
| 18 | Philadelphia Eagles | -6.28 | -6.18 | -0.10 |
| 19 | Miami Dolphins | -3.31 | -1.73 | -1.58 |
| 20 | New York Jets | -2.53 | -0.01 | -2.52 |
| 21 | Cincinnati Bengals | 0.82 | 4.60 | -3.78 |
| 22 | Cleveland Browns | -3.11 | 0.91 | -4.02 |
| 23 | Pittsburgh Steelers | -2.28 | 2.30 | -4.57 |
| 24 | Carolina Panthers | -5.57 | -0.10 | -5.47 |
| 25 | San Diego Chargers | -4.25 | 1.56 | -5.82 |
| 26 | New Orleans Saints | 4.05 | 10.25 | -6.20 |
| 27 | Buffalo Bills | 1.77 | 8.58 | -6.81 |
| 28 | Indianapolis Colts | 0.35 | 7.88 | -7.53 |
| 29 | Tennessee Titans | -4.70 | 8.30 | -13.00 |
| 30 | Kansas City Chiefs | -6.86 | 7.94 | -14.80 |
| 31 | Oakland Raiders | -7.54 | 8.29 | -15.84 |
| 32 | Jacksonville Jaguars | -12.71 | 3.46 | -16.17 |
I have been playing around with this model myself - what would be interesting would be if luck based things like defensive TDs and kick returns were eliminated from every score and the teams ranked that way. CHI would definitely come down a good bit since they have 4 of those types of TDs in 5 games.
Comment by randy — October 18, 2012 @ 11:02 am
I should consider that but since I am predicting points for and against I only care that a team scores, not how they score
Comment by wwinston — October 18, 2012 @ 12:32 pm