February 25, 2012

ESPN Analytics Issue

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 10:47 pm

 

I just do not see how analytics tell us Afflalo is an eilite NBA player. In almost every situation he made Nuggets worse so for. For example when he is out Nuggets play amazing 11 points better than average.

Afflalo Brewer Faried Miller Mozgov Harrington Stone Koufos Lawson Andersen Hilario Fernandez
Afflalo and  other in -1.16 -4.82 -6.52 2.11 -1.06 1.86 -5.92 -5.43 -12.30 -2.07 1.55 3.58
Afflalo out and other in dnp 1.76 -7.47 13.90 16.91 12.74 24.46 2.45 9.28 23.16 7.56 15.02
Afflalo in and other out dnp 0.22 -0.26 -3.97 -1.21 -3.58 -0.91 0.18 0.63 -0.34 -1.86 -5.52
Afflalo out and other out 11.23 18.98 14.70 1.07 10.51 7.40 12.62 14.50 12.21 5.42 17.25 7.66

3 Comments »

  1. Wayne, does your method differ from that of Roland Beech? Also, do you have adjusted +/- of Jeremy Lin?

    Comment by Mike — February 27, 2012 @ 1:17 pm

  2. Yes we adjust for opponents ability. Lin is +4 Adjusted +-

    Comment by wwinston — February 27, 2012 @ 2:22 pm

  3. Agreed…by the PER formulas you list in the next post, Afflalo was slightly above league average last year. He also had one of the lowest PERs in the regular Denver rotation.

    Comment by Sean Vinsel — February 29, 2012 @ 2:27 pm

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