June 27, 2011

Thoughts on Rudy as a Mav

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 8:13 pm

On the Internet people have (http://www.thetwomangame.com/) questioned the Mavs trade for Rudy Fernandez. This is a great deal for the Mavs. Draft picks often do not pan out.  Rudy is still young. There is a good chance the Mavs lose Stevenson and/or Barea to free agency. Here are our Adjusted +/- numbers on Rudy. Our weighted average gives a weight of 3 to last season, 2 to 09-10 and 1 to 08-09

Season Points Offense Defense Impact
08-09 6.8 3.5 -3.3 7
09-10 0.3 5.1 4.8 29
10-11 6.6 5.9 -0.7 13
weighted avg. 4.6 4.4 -0.2 15

Rudy comes out nearly 5 points better than average which is terrific. His average Impact of 15% is much better than you would expect given his points rating.

In the 4th Quarter here is Rudy’s Adjusted +/-.

  • 08-09 +8.5
  • 09-10 +0.3
  • 10-11 +7.5

Since the Mavs have access to our numbers, it does not surprise us that they went for Rudy.

1 Comment »

  1. [...] may say that Fernandez was a relatively neutral influence last season, and another –- according to long-time Mavericks stats consultant Wayne Winston, who claims that his advanced plus-minus system influenced Dallas’ decision making -– that [...]

    Pingback by Same Numbers, Two Views of Fernandez - NYTimes.com — June 28, 2011 @ 4:26 pm

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