Crow asked for some analysis of the Miami Heat. Here are adjusted +/- numbers per 48 minutes for each combo of Big 3 in (Through 2-24).
| rating | min | |
| None of Big 3 | -36 | 112 |
| James Bosh Wade | 18 | 1304 |
| James Bosh | -1 | 180 |
| James Wade | -7 | 223 |
| Wade Bosh | 4 | 383 |
| James | 10 | 434 |
| Bosh | -2 | 71 |
| Wade | -12 | 95 |
Thus with only James in Heat are 10 points better than average
Here are how each pair of Heat players in does together (first table), one in one out ( row player in column player out, 2nd table) and both out (third table).
| Both in | ||||||||||||
| 8.00066829 | James | Bosh | Wade | Chalmers | Arroyo | Miller | House | Dampier | Anthony | Jones | Howard | Haslem |
| James | 12.11 | 15.66 | 14.26 | 10.92 | 11.11 | 8.62 | 9.42 | 13.84 | 9.10 | 12.83 | 6.08 | 10.92 |
| Bosh | 15.66 | 12.70 | 14.72 | 10.65 | 11.82 | 6.33 | 8.29 | 14.25 | 9.31 | 10.25 | 6.66 | 17.98 |
| Wade | 14.26 | 14.72 | 11.19 | 11.85 | 11.04 | 7.50 | 6.43 | 15.95 | 7.67 | 7.08 | -9.11 | 9.07 |
| Chalmers | 10.92 | 10.65 | 11.85 | 6.17 | -86.57 | -3.00 | -8.13 | 11.33 | 3.26 | 4.21 | 1.37 | -17.28 |
| Arroyo | 11.11 | 11.82 | 11.04 | -86.57 | 5.83 | -39.23 | -40.61 | -14.24 | -0.79 | -7.74 | -23.70 | -7.43 |
| Miller | 8.62 | 6.33 | 7.50 | -3.00 | -39.23 | 2.67 | 10.26 | -4.15 | 2.30 | 4.84 | -17.45 | dnp |
| House | 9.42 | 8.29 | 6.43 | -8.13 | -40.61 | 10.26 | 2.08 | -12.21 | 9.98 | 3.36 | -9.94 | -0.32 |
| Dampier | 13.84 | 14.25 | 15.95 | 11.33 | -14.24 | -4.15 | -12.21 | 8.07 | 17.14 | 7.73 | -4.44 | dnp |
| Anthony | 9.10 | 9.31 | 7.67 | 3.26 | -0.79 | 2.30 | 9.98 | 17.14 | 4.98 | -0.24 | -8.03 | -4.63 |
| Jones | 12.83 | 10.25 | 7.08 | 4.21 | -7.74 | 4.84 | 3.36 | 7.73 | -0.24 | 5.97 | -0.47 | 11.08 |
| Howard | 6.08 | 6.66 | -9.11 | 1.37 | -23.70 | -17.45 | -9.94 | -4.44 | -8.03 | -0.47 | -4.05 | 29.28 |
| Haslem | 10.92 | 17.98 | 9.07 | -17.28 | -7.43 | dnp | -0.32 | dnp | -4.63 | 11.08 | 29.28 | 4.82 |
| Out | ||||||||||||
| 8.00066829 | James | Bosh | Wade | Chalmers | Arroyo | Miller | House | Dampier | Anthony | Jones | Howard | Haslem |
| James | dnp | 4.07 | 6.76 | 12.78 | 12.78 | 12.53 | 12.80 | 11.83 | 13.83 | 11.75 | 13.04 | 12.25 |
| Bosh | 3.01 | dnp | -0.91 | 13.87 | 13.35 | 13.39 | 13.71 | 12.39 | 14.37 | 13.71 | 12.82 | 12.25 |
| Wade | 1.40 | -7.56 | dnp | 10.80 | 11.29 | 11.56 | 12.19 | 10.30 | 13.23 | 12.68 | 12.98 | 11.41 |
| Chalmers | -3.39 | -0.75 | -3.62 | dnp | 7.29 | 8.18 | 9.40 | 4.30 | 8.71 | 7.96 | 7.51 | 7.20 |
| Arroyo | -30.67 | -24.22 | -17.43 | 7.14 | dnp | 7.29 | 8.97 | 8.16 | 8.69 | 9.56 | 9.92 | 6.82 |
| Miller | -4.47 | -0.34 | -1.08 | 8.23 | 6.00 | dnp | -3.66 | 4.82 | 3.24 | 1.38 | 7.15 | 2.67 |
| House | -7.63 | -3.50 | -1.50 | 6.04 | 5.89 | -0.66 | dnp | 4.33 | -5.30 | 0.73 | 5.15 | 3.00 |
| Dampier | -2.04 | -4.86 | -8.40 | 1.66 | 14.40 | 11.45 | 13.91 | dnp | 8.06 | 8.33 | 12.18 | 8.07 |
| Anthony | -4.82 | -0.98 | -0.39 | 6.64 | 7.12 | 5.79 | 2.46 | 4.98 | dnp | 9.31 | 8.22 | 5.47 |
| Jones | -4.75 | 1.89 | 5.01 | 7.57 | 9.05 | 6.14 | 7.31 | 5.59 | 10.68 | dnp | 7.82 | 4.51 |
| Howard | -22.89 | -5.10 | -1.10 | -11.44 | 3.37 | -1.20 | -0.81 | -3.91 | -0.07 | -9.21 | dnp | -4.91 |
| Haslem | -7.71 | -5.40 | -0.26 | 8.50 | 7.87 | 4.82 | 13.07 | 4.82 | 6.56 | -13.93 | 4.01 | dnp |
| Both Out | ||||||||||||
| 8.00066829 | James | Bosh | Wade | Chalmers | Arroyo | Miller | House | Dampier | Anthony | Jones | Howard | Haslem |
| James | -5.28 | -23.44 | -22.67 | -7.93 | 0.68 | -5.61 | -2.92 | -6.40 | -5.72 | -6.44 | 0.07 | -4.78 |
| Bosh | -23.44 | -2.53 | 0.40 | -4.55 | 2.59 | -3.34 | -1.67 | -2.04 | -4.35 | -12.40 | -0.30 | -1.70 |
| Wade | -22.67 | 0.40 | -0.01 | 4.16 | 5.14 | 0.44 | 1.66 | 1.95 | 0.31 | -18.73 | 0.57 | 0.05 |
| Chalmers | -7.93 | -4.55 | 4.16 | 9.30 | 12.54 | 9.47 | 10.98 | 10.12 | 10.71 | 10.33 | 11.97 | 9.48 |
| Arroyo | 0.68 | 2.59 | 5.14 | 12.54 | 9.19 | 10.08 | 11.31 | 7.88 | 10.87 | 9.35 | 10.44 | 9.43 |
| Miller | -5.61 | -3.34 | 0.44 | 9.47 | 10.08 | 8.95 | 12.02 | 8.50 | 10.72 | 11.01 | 10.78 | 9.65 |
| House | -2.92 | -1.67 | 1.66 | 10.98 | 11.31 | 12.02 | 10.24 | 9.44 | 14.66 | 12.03 | 12.04 | 10.04 |
| Dampier | -6.40 | -2.04 | 1.95 | 10.12 | 7.88 | 8.50 | 9.44 | 7.99 | 10.70 | 9.66 | 9.91 | 8.54 |
| Anthony | -5.72 | -4.35 | 0.31 | 10.71 | 10.87 | 10.72 | 14.66 | 10.70 | 9.97 | 9.52 | 11.47 | 10.68 |
| Jones | -6.44 | -12.40 | -18.73 | 10.33 | 9.35 | 11.01 | 12.03 | 9.66 | 9.52 | 9.45 | 11.76 | 10.74 |
| Howard | 0.07 | -0.30 | 0.57 | 11.97 | 10.44 | 10.78 | 12.04 | 9.91 | 11.47 | 11.76 | 10.25 | 11.28 |
| Haslem | -4.78 | -1.70 | 0.05 | 9.48 | 9.43 | 9.65 | 10.04 | 8.54 | 10.68 | 10.74 | 11.28 | 8.45 |
good stuff wayne.. as always
Comment by john — February 27, 2011 @ 12:21 am
Thanks very much Wayne.
I will work thru the data.
Comment by Crow — February 27, 2011 @ 4:48 pm
Adjusted +/- pair data supports a change from Arroyo if he was playing with bench players. Chalmers has done better with that.
Can’t compare Dampier to big Z but looks fine with the starters.
Several rotations risk replacement this summer, maybe Miller and House most of all.
Comment by Crow — March 1, 2011 @ 6:32 pm
I didn’t really follow why Arroyo stopped starting. That seemed to work for awhile. But they’ve moved on, hoping with Bibby will be better.
Comment by Crow — March 2, 2011 @ 7:33 pm