Here are odds for Round of 32. For example, Kansas has 17.24% chance of winning championship, 13.96% chance of winning exactly 5 games, 13.88% chance of winning 4 games, 22.38% chance of winning 3 games, 10.94% chance of winning 2 games, and 21.6% chance of winning only one game.
Team | Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
Ohio State | 1 | 0.144 | 0.1812 | 0.1472 | 0.1478 | 0.1152 | 0.2646 |
Kansas | 33 | 0.216 | 0.1094 | 0.2238 | 0.1388 | 0.1396 | 0.1724 |
Duke | 17 | 0.207 | 0.2674 | 0.1882 | 0.1524 | 0.0762 | 0.1088 |
Pitt | 49 | 0.2024 | 0.3088 | 0.1736 | 0.1554 | 0.0862 | 0.0736 |
Purdue | 43 | 0.1786 | 0.3416 | 0.2518 | 0.1068 | 0.0722 | 0.049 |
SDSU | 31 | 0.2628 | 0.285 | 0.2264 | 0.1266 | 0.051 | 0.0482 |
BYU | 59 | 0.287 | 0.2442 | 0.2362 | 0.1246 | 0.064 | 0.044 |
Wisconsin | 55 | 0.331 | 0.3312 | 0.1398 | 0.1102 | 0.0494 | 0.0384 |
Notre Dame | 47 | 0.2786 | 0.3374 | 0.2072 | 0.0854 | 0.0532 | 0.0382 |
Tex | 23 | 0.3392 | 0.3636 | 0.137 | 0.094 | 0.0388 | 0.0274 |
Syracuse | 11 | 0.3322 | 0.2908 | 0.2466 | 0.0716 | 0.0346 | 0.0242 |
UNC | 15 | 0.3662 | 0.293 | 0.2232 | 0.0694 | 0.0278 | 0.0204 |
Kentucky | 7 | 0.4302 | 0.3976 | 0.081 | 0.0548 | 0.02 | 0.0164 |
Conn | 27 | 0.4462 | 0.2898 | 0.1534 | 0.0718 | 0.0226 | 0.0162 |
Florida | 63 | 0.3184 | 0.3664 | 0.1838 | 0.0854 | 0.0328 | 0.0132 |
Cinn | 25 | 0.5538 | 0.2598 | 0.114 | 0.051 | 0.0134 | 0.008 |
West Va | 5 | 0.5698 | 0.3328 | 0.0514 | 0.0284 | 0.0124 | 0.0052 |
ILL | 36 | 0.784 | 0.082 | 0.0798 | 0.0354 | 0.014 | 0.0048 |
Richmond | 38 | 0.2522 | 0.577 | 0.1138 | 0.0408 | 0.0118 | 0.0044 |
Wash | 13 | 0.6338 | 0.2206 | 0.1112 | 0.025 | 0.0062 | 0.0032 |
Marquette | 10 | 0.6678 | 0.1956 | 0.1058 | 0.0222 | 0.0058 | 0.0028 |
Kans. St. | 53 | 0.669 | 0.2128 | 0.0718 | 0.034 | 0.0096 | 0.0028 |
Ariz | 21 | 0.6608 | 0.2402 | 0.0604 | 0.0294 | 0.0066 | 0.0026 |
George Mason | 3 | 0.856 | 0.0884 | 0.0336 | 0.0158 | 0.0042 | 0.002 |
Mich | 19 | 0.793 | 0.1288 | 0.0518 | 0.0178 | 0.0066 | 0.002 |
Temple | 29 | 0.7372 | 0.1654 | 0.0688 | 0.022 | 0.0046 | 0.002 |
Gonzaga | 58 | 0.713 | 0.1638 | 0.0854 | 0.0282 | 0.0076 | 0.002 |
Flo. St. | 46 | 0.7214 | 0.1874 | 0.0682 | 0.0158 | 0.0062 | 0.001 |
Butler | 51 | 0.7976 | 0.1472 | 0.0378 | 0.0136 | 0.003 | 0.0008 |
UCLA | 61 | 0.6816 | 0.2256 | 0.0716 | 0.017 | 0.0034 | 0.0008 |
VCU | 71 | 0.8214 | 0.1336 | 0.0372 | 0.0064 | 0.0008 | 0.0006 |
Morehead | 40 | 0.7478 | 0.2316 | 0.0182 | 0.0022 | 0.0002 | 0 |