Here they are. Spurs, Celtics, Heat and Lakers vritually even at top while Cleveland has sunk to the bottom.
| Rank | Team | Off | Def | Overall |
| 1 | San Antonio Spurs | 5.77 | -1.20 | 6.97 |
| 2 | Boston Celtics | -0.43 | -7.26 | 6.83 |
| 3 | Miami Heat | 2.06 | -4.64 | 6.70 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Lakers | 3.66 | -3.02 | 6.68 |
| 5 | Orlando Magic | 0.45 | -4.62 | 5.08 |
| 6 | Dallas Mavericks | 0.04 | -4.62 | 4.66 |
| 7 | Utah Jazz | 2.00 | -1.77 | 3.76 |
| 8 | Chicago Bulls | -3.09 | -6.62 | 3.53 |
| 9 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 5.27 | 2.38 | 2.89 |
| 10 | Portland Trail Blazers | -3.44 | -6.23 | 2.79 |
| 11 | New Orleans Hornets | -4.36 | -6.23 | 1.87 |
| 12 | Denver Nuggets | 6.52 | 4.80 | 1.72 |
| 13 | Atlanta Hawks | -3.44 | -4.82 | 1.38 |
| 14 | Memphis Grizzlies | 0.46 | -0.86 | 1.32 |
| 15 | New York Knickerbockers | 9.06 | 7.77 | 1.30 |
| 16 | Houston Rockets | 4.64 | 3.84 | 0.80 |
| 17 | Philadelphia 76ers | -1.81 | -1.24 | -0.57 |
| 18 | Milwaukee Bucks | -7.40 | -6.73 | -0.67 |
| 19 | Indiana Pacers | -1.91 | 0.19 | -2.09 |
| 20 | Phoenix Suns | 6.18 | 9.07 | -2.89 |
| 21 | Charlotte Bobcats | -6.34 | -3.17 | -3.17 |
| 22 | Los Angeles Clippers | -1.71 | 1.80 | -3.50 |
| 23 | Golden State Warriors | 2.00 | 5.88 | -3.88 |
| 24 | Toronto Raptors | 2.64 | 6.89 | -4.25 |
| 25 | Detroit Pistons | -3.07 | 1.42 | -4.48 |
| 26 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 3.67 | 8.96 | -5.29 |
| 27 | Washington Wizards | -3.10 | 2.38 | -5.47 |
| 28 | New Jersey Nets | -5.94 | -0.08 | -5.86 |
| 29 | Sacramento Kings | -3.36 | 3.23 | -6.58 |
| 30 | Cleveland Cavaliers | -5.05 | 4.54 | -9.58 |
thank you Wayne for ratings. I am interested how do you make Def and Off ratings - is there any specific formula and does it take in consideration pace of game?
Comment by avatar — January 12, 2011 @ 2:23 pm
Hi Wayne,
Long time reader (as you can tell by the repeated use of your insights in my blog), first time commenter.
I was wondering if you’d do a break down of either A.) Kobe (my favorite player)’s sudden drop in adj. +/- or B.) A Look at why the new-look Magic are so successful.
Thanks
Comment by Denver — January 12, 2011 @ 9:43 pm
We predict home teams points in game for example as home offense+league mean+away defense +.5*home edge. I do not worry about pace. If I could get possessions per game I could do pace ratings and offensive and defensive efficiency adjusted for opponents, but I do not think it would predict scores any better.
Comment by wwinston — January 12, 2011 @ 10:09 pm
Pacers win tonight a perfect example of how important Dirk is to Dallas.
Wayne, I notice you derive team points using a 1 pt home edge… From what I can extract that edge could be as high as 4 (2 per side) . How did you come up with this figure?
Thanks for the great stuff and impressive job this past weekend on the NFL.
Comment by JOHN — January 12, 2011 @ 10:24 pm
NFL home edge is around 2.2 points this year so 1 point for points for and 1 point for points against is about right.
Comment by wwinston — January 13, 2011 @ 8:25 am
Was 2.2 for the nfl or nba? I found an nba edge of around 4.
Comment by john — January 13, 2011 @ 9:56 am
Thanks, Wayne - found Def & Off Eff. calculation also in Mathletics. But John’s question is spot on - why home edge is used 1 point (0.5 points home team & -0.5 points away team)?
Comment by avatar — January 13, 2011 @ 2:25 pm
2.2 for nfl. nba near 4. so when i predict nfl score i predict home team to score 1.1 more pts in nfl than on neutral field and give up 1.1 less pts.
Comment by wwinston — January 13, 2011 @ 2:31 pm
Got it. Thanks.
Comment by avatar — January 13, 2011 @ 2:51 pm
[...] Toronto Raptors rank 23rd in the latest edition of SB Nation’s NBA Power Rankings, and 24th in Wayne Winston’s NBA [...]
Pingback by Lunchbox Links – Toronto Update — January 14, 2011 @ 4:00 am
Hi Wayne,
Will you eventually do recent games weighted rankings like you eventually did with your NFL rankings?
Comment by garron — January 14, 2011 @ 1:26 pm
Yes. I will try by weekend.
Comment by wwinston — January 14, 2011 @ 4:08 pm