- GB 27 PHIL 20
- NYJ 24 IND 20
- NO 29 SEA 21
- BALT 21 KC 16
January 4, 2011
NFL Playoff Odds
We played out playoffs 10,000 times. Here is chance of each team winning the conference championship and Super Bowl.
| Team | Conference | Super Bowl |
| NE | 0.3496 | 0.2716 |
| PIT | 0.2523 | 0.1481 |
| BAL | 0.1214 | 0.0654 |
| NYJ | 0.1351 | 0.0739 |
| IND | 0.0805 | 0.0346 |
| KC | 0.0611 | 0.0249 |
| ATL | 0.2886 | 0.1067 |
| CHI | 0.2494 | 0.0821 |
| NO | 0.1071 | 0.0299 |
| GB | 0.2464 | 0.1333 |
| PHI | 0.088 | 0.0271 |
| SEA | 0.0205 | 0.0024 |
January 3, 2011
FInal NFL Ratings
Here are our final regular season NFL ratings, giving more weight to more recent games. The Pats have been truly awesome. Playoff forecasts will follow later. How can the Seahawks (the league’s 30th best team) host a playoff game?
| Team | off | def | overall | Rank |
| New England Patriots | 14.16 | -2.24 | 16.40 | 1 |
| Green Bay Packers | 3.96 | -7.63 | 11.59 | 2 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1.55 | -7.36 | 8.91 | 3 |
| New York Jets | 3.44 | -4.56 | 8.00 | 4 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 1.43 | -6.18 | 7.61 | 5 |
| San Diego Chargers | 4.60 | -1.53 | 6.13 | 6 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 4.75 | -1.24 | 5.99 | 7 |
| Chicago Bears | -0.33 | -4.56 | 4.23 | 8 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3.57 | 0.12 | 3.44 | 9 |
| New York Giants | 2.60 | -0.63 | 3.22 | 10 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4.66 | 1.62 | 3.04 | 11 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2.96 | 1.44 | 1.52 | 12 |
| Tennessee Titans | -0.93 | -2.34 | 1.42 | 13 |
| Oakland Raiders | 2.91 | 1.95 | 0.97 | 14 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -0.43 | -1.31 | 0.88 | 15 |
| Detroit Lions | 1.60 | 1.08 | 0.52 | 16 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -1.44 | -0.86 | -0.58 | 17 |
| Minnesota Vikings | -3.74 | -2.40 | -1.34 | 18 |
| Miami Dolphins | -4.38 | -2.88 | -1.50 | 19 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | -1.10 | 0.88 | -1.98 | 20 |
| Houston Texans | 1.57 | 3.60 | -2.03 | 21 |
| Cleveland Browns | -4.43 | -2.24 | -2.19 | 22 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 2.60 | 6.24 | -3.64 | 23 |
| Washington Redskins | -3.82 | -0.07 | -3.75 | 24 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | -0.18 | 3.63 | -3.81 | 25 |
| Buffalo Bills | -3.38 | 1.52 | -4.90 | 26 |
| San Francisco 49ers | -3.45 | 1.66 | -5.10 | 27 |
| St. Louis Rams | -7.34 | -0.36 | -6.98 | 28 |
| Denver Broncos | -0.75 | 7.44 | -8.19 | 29 |
| Seattle Seahawks | -3.72 | 5.05 | -8.77 | 30 |
| Arizona Cardinals | -6.49 | 7.77 | -14.27 | 31 |
| Carolina Panthers | -10.45 | 4.38 | -14.82 | 32 |