Uncategorized « mathletics

March 19, 2016

NCAA Probabilities Round of 32.

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 9:13 am

Here are chances of each team winning a given number of games.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Kansas	0.2272	0.1702	0.212	0.1214	0.101	0.1682
UVA	0.2552	0.1912	0.1416	0.164	0.1078	0.1402
UNC	0.1704	0.3336	0.132	0.135	0.091	0.138
VILL	0.323	0.2396	0.193	0.0888	0.0666	0.089
OKLA	0.2578	0.2754	0.1846	0.1454	0.0642	0.0726
UK	0.4622	0.2794	0.0902	0.072	0.05	0.0462
XAV	0.3344	0.2052	0.2676	0.0996	0.0518	0.0414
DUKE	0.262	0.3336	0.1906	0.1252	0.0496	0.039
A AND M	0.2102	0.4064	0.1796	0.119	0.0496	0.0352
ORE	0.281	0.2998	0.2158	0.1264	0.0424	0.0346
IND	0.5378	0.2572	0.0808	0.0576	0.0334	0.0332
GONZ	0.4548	0.1684	0.2204	0.0916	0.0398	0.025
MIA	0.4744	0.2998	0.1316	0.0476	0.0264	0.0202
ISU	0.2618	0.4694	0.1244	0.089	0.0352	0.0202
MD	0.2654	0.4922	0.141	0.0552	0.027	0.0192
UTAH	0.5452	0.1514	0.1876	0.075	0.025	0.0158
Wichita	0.5256	0.2832	0.117	0.038	0.0206	0.0156
SYR	0.2314	0.4838	0.1958	0.0628	0.0182	0.008
ND	0.4142	0.3498	0.1704	0.04	0.0178	0.0078
BUT	0.7448	0.1214	0.067	0.0442	0.0156	0.007
IOWA	0.677	0.1774	0.0944	0.0306	0.0142	0.0064
WISC	0.6656	0.1636	0.1272	0.0256	0.0128	0.0052
UCONN	0.7728	0.1122	0.0774	0.0232	0.0096	0.0048
VCU	0.7422	0.1558	0.0666	0.0264	0.0076	0.0014
YALE	0.738	0.1804	0.0616	0.0162	0.0026	0.0012
HAW	0.7346	0.2254	0.0336	0.004	0.0014	0.001
PROV	0.8296	0.1298	0.027	0.0094	0.0032	0.001
STJOES	0.719	0.1862	0.0644	0.023	0.0066	0.0008
SFA	0.5858	0.2814	0.1048	0.021	0.0062	0.0008
UALR	0.7382	0.218	0.0312	0.0104	0.0016	0.0006
UNI	0.7898	0.1624	0.0368	0.0096	0.001	0.0004
MTSU	0.7686	0.1964	0.032	0.0028	0.0002	0

Here are chances of each team wining >=N games

Team	>=2	>=3	>=4	>=5	>=6
Kansas	0.7728	0.6026	0.3906	0.2692	0.1682
UVA	0.7448	0.5536	0.412	0.248	0.1402
UNC	0.8296	0.496	0.364	0.229	0.138
VILL	0.677	0.4374	0.2444	0.1556	0.089
OKLA	0.7422	0.4668	0.2822	0.1368	0.0726
UK	0.5378	0.2584	0.1682	0.0962	0.0462
XAV	0.6656	0.4604	0.1928	0.0932	0.0414
DUKE	0.738	0.4044	0.2138	0.0886	0.039
A AND M	0.7898	0.3834	0.2038	0.0848	0.0352
ORE	0.719	0.4192	0.2034	0.077	0.0346
IND	0.4622	0.205	0.1242	0.0666	0.0332
GONZ	0.5452	0.3768	0.1564	0.0648	0.025
MIA	0.5256	0.2258	0.0942	0.0466	0.0202
ISU	0.7382	0.2688	0.1444	0.0554	0.0202
MD	0.7346	0.2424	0.1014	0.0462	0.0192
UTAH	0.4548	0.3034	0.1158	0.0408	0.0158
Wichita	0.4744	0.1912	0.0742	0.0362	0.0156
SYR	0.7686	0.2848	0.089	0.0262	0.008
ND	0.5858	0.236	0.0656	0.0256	0.0078
BUT	0.2552	0.1338	0.0668	0.0226	0.007
IOWA	0.323	0.1456	0.0512	0.0206	0.0064
WISC	0.3344	0.1708	0.0436	0.018	0.0052
UCONN	0.2272	0.115	0.0376	0.0144	0.0048
VCU	0.2578	0.102	0.0354	0.009	0.0014
YALE	0.262	0.0816	0.02	0.0038	0.0012
HAW	0.2654	0.04	0.0064	0.0024	0.001
PROV	0.1704	0.0406	0.0136	0.0042	0.001
STJOES	0.281	0.0948	0.0304	0.0074	0.0008
SFA	0.4142	0.1328	0.028	0.007	0.0008
UALR	0.2618	0.0438	0.0126	0.0022	0.0006
UNI	0.2102	0.0478	0.011	0.0014	0.0004
MTSU	0.2314	0.035	0.003	0.0002	0

Comments (0)

March 17, 2016

COrrected NCAA Probabilities

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 10:19 am

Sorry I gave Oklahoma no chance to win in last simulation(I had left out there rating). Here are corrected probabilities

Team	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
Kansas	0.48%	18.02%	18.36%	21.12%	11.94%	12.18%	17.90%
MSU	3.54%	14.32%	19.60%	23.80%	15.10%	8.42%	15.22%
UNC	1.70%	16.36%	30.68%	17.72%	14.68%	7.94%	10.92%
UVA	0.64%	21.88%	28.26%	21.28%	12.22%	7.26%	8.46%
VILL	3.70%	28.10%	25.34%	21.00%	7.48%	7.16%	7.22%
OKLA	7.10%	20.62%	25.28%	17.92%	15.48%	7.88%	5.72%
WVA	16.98%	19.92%	21.18%	20.68%	10.80%	4.82%	5.62%
ORE	0.90%	32.52%	28.36%	18.72%	11.50%	4.68%	3.32%
PUR	15.96%	27.58%	28.72%	14.72%	6.26%	3.46%	3.30%
UK	11.10%	38.24%	27.42%	9.90%	7.52%	2.94%	2.88%
IND	10.10%	43.64%	25.56%	9.84%	5.70%	2.74%	2.42%
XAV	7.36%	31.28%	30.80%	17.54%	7.50%	3.20%	2.32%
A AND M	9.56%	29.78%	30.40%	13.98%	10.46%	3.60%	2.22%
DUKE	16.28%	31.94%	23.02%	14.34%	9.04%	3.46%	1.92%
MIA	7.36%	44.84%	27.50%	12.20%	4.08%	2.44%	1.58%
ARIZ	44.56%	25.50%	16.08%	8.42%	2.72%	1.50%	1.22%
MD	18.84%	32.64%	33.16%	8.80%	3.56%	1.82%	1.18%
IOWA	18.64%	51.98%	15.72%	8.58%	2.58%	1.72%	0.78%
CAL	27.28%	34.80%	26.96%	6.98%	2.26%	1.02%	0.70%
BAY	31.12%	35.00%	17.28%	9.58%	4.64%	1.68%	0.70%
Wicita	55.44%	22.80%	12.86%	5.14%	2.00%	1.08%	0.68%
ISU	17.84%	46.06%	22.52%	8.40%	3.44%	1.10%	0.64%
TEX	29.84%	40.08%	18.56%	6.58%	3.46%	1.02%	0.46%
GONZ	44.58%	23.46%	21.34%	6.72%	2.64%	0.80%	0.46%
UTAH	18.62%	40.26%	27.64%	8.46%	3.40%	1.20%	0.42%
UCONN	36.34%	49.76%	6.72%	4.68%	1.60%	0.60%	0.30%
HALL	55.42%	21.16%	16.96%	4.20%	1.58%	0.44%	0.24%
VCU	41.74%	41.46%	10.32%	4.22%	1.74%	0.36%	0.16%
MICH	51.64%	33.84%	8.64%	4.38%	1.16%	0.18%	0.16%
SYR	47.96%	42.52%	5.50%	2.96%	0.84%	0.08%	0.14%
WISC	50.60%	31.02%	11.64%	5.08%	1.24%	0.30%	0.12%
BUT	39.44%	44.70%	9.70%	4.38%	1.30%	0.36%	0.12%
STJOES	57.44%	29.84%	8.42%	3.10%	0.80%	0.32%	0.08%
CIN	42.56%	36.74%	12.18%	5.46%	2.36%	0.62%	0.08%
PROV	50.04%	41.66%	5.98%	1.50%	0.54%	0.20%	0.08%
PITT	49.40%	31.54%	12.58%	4.68%	1.34%	0.38%	0.08%
COLO	63.66%	31.78%	2.58%	1.52%	0.30%	0.12%	0.04%
OR ST	58.26%	32.52%	6.66%	1.78%	0.64%	0.10%	0.04%
ND	48.36%	35.84%	9.68%	4.94%	0.98%	0.16%	0.04%
YALE	68.88%	21.24%	6.98%	2.04%	0.68%	0.16%	0.02%
USC	49.96%	40.66%	7.12%	1.74%	0.46%	0.04%	0.02%
SFA	83.02%	10.40%	4.48%	1.66%	0.32%	0.10%	0.02%
Aus Peay	99.52%	0.44%	0.04%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
SDST	81.16%	13.30%	5.04%	0.44%	0.04%	0.02%	0.00%
HAW	72.72%	19.26%	7.14%	0.72%	0.10%	0.06%	0.00%
BUFF	92.64%	6.86%	0.44%	0.06%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
TEMPLE	81.36%	16.58%	1.70%	0.34%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%
UNCA	96.30%	3.34%	0.36%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
FCGU	99.10%	0.90%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
UNCW	83.72%	11.82%	3.76%	0.58%	0.12%	0.00%	0.00%
UNI	70.16%	22.72%	5.44%	1.24%	0.36%	0.08%	0.00%
GB	90.44%	7.42%	1.90%	0.24%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
CSB	92.90%	5.40%	1.44%	0.22%	0.04%	0.00%	0.00%
FGCU	98.30%	1.32%	0.38%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
CHAT	89.90%	9.06%	1.02%	0.00%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%
STONY	88.90%	9.06%	1.84%	0.16%	0.04%	0.00%	0.00%
WEB	92.64%	6.16%	1.00%	0.18%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%
HAM	99.36%	0.58%	0.06%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
TEXAS TECH	60.56%	32.84%	4.54%	1.64%	0.36%	0.06%	0.00%
UALR	84.04%	11.08%	3.94%	0.80%	0.12%	0.02%	0.00%
IONA	82.16%	15.28%	2.26%	0.22%	0.08%	0.00%	0.00%
FRES	81.38%	15.12%	3.26%	0.22%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%
DAYTON	52.04%	40.40%	5.04%	2.08%	0.32%	0.12%	0.00%
MTSU	96.46%	2.76%	0.66%	0.12%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Here is chance each team wins >=N games

Team	>=1	>=2	>=3	>=4	>=5	>=6
Kansas	99.52%	81.50%	63.14%	42.02%	30.08%	17.90%
MSU	96.46%	82.14%	62.54%	38.74%	23.64%	15.22%
UNC	98.30%	81.94%	51.26%	33.54%	18.86%	10.92%
UVA	99.36%	77.48%	49.22%	27.94%	15.72%	8.46%
VILL	96.30%	68.20%	42.86%	21.86%	14.38%	7.22%
OKLA	92.90%	72.28%	47.00%	29.08%	13.60%	5.72%
WVA	83.02%	63.10%	41.92%	21.24%	10.44%	5.62%
ORE	99.10%	66.58%	38.22%	19.50%	8.00%	3.32%
PUR	84.04%	56.46%	27.74%	13.02%	6.76%	3.30%
UK	88.90%	50.66%	23.24%	13.34%	5.82%	2.88%
IND	89.90%	46.26%	20.70%	10.86%	5.16%	2.42%
XAV	92.64%	61.36%	30.56%	13.02%	5.52%	2.32%
A AND M	90.44%	60.66%	30.26%	16.28%	5.82%	2.22%
DUKE	83.72%	51.78%	28.76%	14.42%	5.38%	1.92%
MIA	92.64%	47.80%	20.30%	8.10%	4.02%	1.58%
ARIZ	55.44%	29.94%	13.86%	5.44%	2.72%	1.22%
MD	81.16%	48.52%	15.36%	6.56%	3.00%	1.18%
IOWA	81.36%	29.38%	13.66%	5.08%	2.50%	0.78%
CAL	72.72%	37.92%	10.96%	3.98%	1.72%	0.70%
BAY	68.88%	33.88%	16.60%	7.02%	2.38%	0.70%
Wicita	44.56%	21.76%	8.90%	3.76%	1.76%	0.68%
ISU	82.16%	36.10%	13.58%	5.18%	1.74%	0.64%
TEX	70.16%	30.08%	11.52%	4.94%	1.48%	0.46%
GONZ	55.42%	31.96%	10.62%	3.90%	1.26%	0.46%
UTAH	81.38%	41.12%	13.48%	5.02%	1.62%	0.42%
UCONN	63.66%	13.90%	7.18%	2.50%	0.90%	0.30%
HALL	44.58%	23.42%	6.46%	2.26%	0.68%	0.24%
VCU	58.26%	16.80%	6.48%	2.26%	0.52%	0.16%
MICH	48.36%	14.52%	5.88%	1.50%	0.34%	0.16%
SYR	52.04%	9.52%	4.02%	1.06%	0.22%	0.14%
WISC	49.40%	18.38%	6.74%	1.66%	0.42%	0.12%
BUT	60.56%	15.86%	6.16%	1.78%	0.48%	0.12%
STJOES	42.56%	12.72%	4.30%	1.20%	0.40%	0.08%
CIN	57.44%	20.70%	8.52%	3.06%	0.70%	0.08%
PROV	49.96%	8.30%	2.32%	0.82%	0.28%	0.08%
PITT	50.60%	19.06%	6.48%	1.80%	0.46%	0.08%
COLO	36.34%	4.56%	1.98%	0.46%	0.16%	0.04%
OR ST	41.74%	9.22%	2.56%	0.78%	0.14%	0.04%
ND	51.64%	15.80%	6.12%	1.18%	0.20%	0.04%
YALE	31.12%	9.88%	2.90%	0.86%	0.18%	0.02%
USC	50.04%	9.38%	2.26%	0.52%	0.06%	0.02%
SFA	16.98%	6.58%	2.10%	0.44%	0.12%	0.02%
Aus Peay	0.48%	0.04%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
SDST	18.84%	5.54%	0.50%	0.06%	0.02%	0.00%
HAW	27.28%	8.02%	0.88%	0.16%	0.06%	0.00%
BUFF	7.36%	0.50%	0.06%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
TEMPLE	18.64%	2.06%	0.36%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%
UNCA	3.70%	0.36%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
FCGU	0.90%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
UNCW	16.28%	4.46%	0.70%	0.12%	0.00%	0.00%
UNI	29.84%	7.12%	1.68%	0.44%	0.08%	0.00%
GB	9.56%	2.14%	0.24%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
CSB	7.10%	1.70%	0.26%	0.04%	0.00%	0.00%
FGCU	1.70%	0.38%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
CHAT	10.10%	1.04%	0.02%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%
STONY	11.10%	2.04%	0.20%	0.04%	0.00%	0.00%
WEB	7.36%	1.20%	0.20%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%
HAM	0.64%	0.06%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
TEXAS TECH	39.44%	6.60%	2.06%	0.42%	0.06%	0.00%
UALR	15.96%	4.88%	0.94%	0.14%	0.02%	0.00%
IONA	17.84%	2.56%	0.30%	0.08%	0.00%	0.00%
FRES	18.62%	3.50%	0.24%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%
DAYTON	47.96%	7.56%	2.52%	0.44%	0.12%	0.00%
MTSU	3.54%	0.78%	0.12%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Comments (0)

March 13, 2016

NBA Ratings March 12

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 10:21 am

It will be interesting to see how Warriors handle AI’s injury.

Team	Off	Def	Rating	Off Rank	Def Rank
San Antonio Spurs	1.72	-10.02	11.74	7	1
Golden State Warriors	13.04	3.21	9.83	1	23
Oklahoma City Thunder	6.68	0.87	5.81	2	18
Los Angeles Clippers	1.65	-3.22	4.87	8	7
Boston Celtics	4.39	-0.03	4.41	4	14
Toronto Raptors	1.00	-3.33	4.33	9	5
Cleveland Cavaliers	0.00	-4.29	4.29	15	4
Atlanta Hawks	0.04	-3.30	3.33	14	6
Detroit Pistons	-0.06	-2.27	2.21	16	9
Portland Trail Blazers	2.54	1.03	1.51	6	19
Charlotte Hornets	0.05	-1.19	1.24	13	10
Indiana Pacers	-0.10	-1.02	0.92	17	11
Utah Jazz	-5.96	-6.60	0.64	30	2
Miami Heat	-3.77	-4.33	0.56	25	3
Houston Rockets	4.24	3.71	0.53	5	26
Dallas Mavericks	-0.31	0.06	-0.37	18	15
Memphis Grizzlies	-3.63	-3.21	-0.42	24	8
Denver Nuggets	0.17	1.47	-1.31	11	20
Sacramento Kings	5.04	6.74	-1.70	3	30
Chicago Bulls	-1.26	0.44	-1.70	19	16
Orlando Magic	-1.93	-0.04	-1.89	22	13
Washington Wizards	0.92	3.08	-2.16	10	22
New York Knicks	-3.25	-1.01	-2.24	23	12
New Orleans Pelicans	0.06	3.51	-3.45	12	24
Milwaukee Bucks	-3.96	0.55	-4.51	26	17
Minnesota Timberwolves	-1.27	3.99	-5.26	20	27
Brooklyn Nets	-4.56	1.71	-6.27	27	21
Phoenix Suns	-1.80	4.47	-6.27	21	28
Los Angeles Lakers	-5.01	3.68	-8.69	29	25
Philadelphia 76ers	-4.69	5.33	-10.01	28	29

Comments (0)

March 7, 2016

NBA Ratings March 6

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 11:13 am

Rank

Team

Off

Def

Rating

Off Rank

Def Rank

San Antonio Spurs

1.80

-9.89

11.69

Golden State Warriors

12.75

3.04

9.72

Oklahoma City Thunder

6.87

1.12

5.75

Cleveland Cavaliers

0.00

-4.77

4.77

Los Angeles Clippers

1.68

-2.89

4.57

Boston Celtics

4.53

-0.02

4.56

Toronto Raptors

1.04

-3.18

4.23

Atlanta Hawks

0.04

-2.72

2.76

Detroit Pistons

-0.05

-2.21

2.16

Portland Trail Blazers

2.32

1.01

1.32

Charlotte Hornets

-0.67

-1.87

1.19

Indiana Pacers

-0.09

-0.87

0.78

Miami Heat

-4.36

-4.89

0.53

Houston Rockets

4.23

3.80

0.43

Utah Jazz

-5.86

-6.21

0.34

Dallas Mavericks

-0.24

0.06

-0.30

Memphis Grizzlies

-3.81

-3.48

-0.34

Orlando Magic

-1.40

-0.04

-1.35

Washington Wizards

1.33

2.80

-1.48

Chicago Bulls

-1.13

0.37

-1.50

Denver Nuggets

0.13

1.93

-1.80

Sacramento Kings

5.02

6.86

-1.84

New York Knicks

-3.12

-0.75

-2.37

New Orleans Pelicans

0.06

2.70

-2.63

Milwaukee Bucks

-3.96

0.97

-4.93

Minnesota Timberwolves

-1.17

3.98

-5.15

Phoenix Suns

-1.46

4.10

-5.55

Brooklyn Nets

-4.28

2.05

-6.33

Los Angeles Lakers

-5.26

3.81

-9.07

Philadelphia 76ers

-4.94

5.21

-10.16

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February 28, 2016

NBA Ratings February 27

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 9:01 am

Rank	Team	Off	Def	Rating	Off Rank	Def Rank
1	San Antonio Spurs	2.29	-9.03	11.32	6	1
2	Golden State Warriors	13.15	3.15	10.01	1	23
3	Oklahoma City Thunder	7.29	1.29	6.00	2	20
4	Los Angeles Clippers	2.15	-2.64	4.79	7	7
5	Cleveland Cavaliers	0.00	-4.64	4.63	14	4
6	Toronto Raptors	1.00	-3.57	4.56	10	5
7	Boston Celtics	4.50	-0.02	4.52	5	15
8	Detroit Pistons	-0.04	-2.39	2.35	15	8
9	Atlanta Hawks	0.30	-2.04	2.33	12	9
10	Portland Trail Blazers	1.88	0.67	1.21	8	17
11	Indiana Pacers	-0.06	-1.05	0.99	16	11
12	Houston Rockets	4.59	3.62	0.97	4	25
13	Utah Jazz	-5.52	-6.38	0.86	28	2
14	Miami Heat	-4.98	-5.36	0.38	27	3
15	Charlotte Hornets	-1.21	-1.23	0.01	20	10
16	Memphis Grizzlies	-3.66	-3.20	-0.46	24	6
17	Dallas Mavericks	-0.89	-0.24	-0.65	17	13
18	Denver Nuggets	0.11	1.27	-1.15	13	19
19	Chicago Bulls	-1.06	0.22	-1.28	18	16
20	Sacramento Kings	5.48	6.76	-1.28	3	30
21	Washington Wizards	1.51	2.93	-1.42	9	22
22	Orlando Magic	-1.71	-0.05	-1.65	22	14
23	New Orleans Pelicans	0.89	3.20	-2.31	11	24
24	New York Knicks	-2.94	-0.38	-2.56	23	12
25	Minnesota Timberwolves	-1.07	3.62	-4.69	19	26
26	Milwaukee Bucks	-4.45	0.85	-5.30	25	18
27	Phoenix Suns	-1.52	4.09	-5.61	21	28
28	Brooklyn Nets	-4.87	1.62	-6.49	26	21
29	Los Angeles Lakers	-5.52	4.04	-9.56	29	27
30	Philadelphia 76ers	-5.67	4.86	-10.52	30	29

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February 6, 2016

NBA Ratings February 6

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 11:45 am

Rank	Team	Off	Def	Rating	Off Rank	Def Rank
1	San Antonio Spurs	3.22	-9.64	12.87	6	1
2	Golden State Warriors	13.66	2.77	10.89	1	22
3	Oklahoma City Thunder	7.41	1.03	6.38	2	19
4	Boston Celtics	3.59	-1.24	4.84	5	10
5	Cleveland Cavaliers	0.00	-4.17	4.16	15	4
6	Los Angeles Clippers	2.18	-1.96	4.14	7	8
7	Toronto Raptors	0.42	-3.23	3.65	13	6
8	Indiana Pacers	1.16	-0.85	2.01	10	12
9	Detroit Pistons	0.03	-1.96	1.99	14	7
10	Atlanta Hawks	-0.07	-1.79	1.72	16	9
11	Utah Jazz	-5.34	-6.60	1.26	29	2
12	Portland Trail Blazers	2.04	1.02	1.01	9	18
13	Houston Rockets	5.08	4.47	0.61	4	28
14	Chicago Bulls	-0.09	-0.60	0.50	17	13
15	Miami Heat	-5.29	-5.23	-0.06	27	3
16	Memphis Grizzlies	-4.37	-3.64	-0.73	24	5
17	Denver Nuggets	0.53	1.35	-0.82	12	21
18	Dallas Mavericks	-1.92	-0.97	-0.95	21	11
19	Charlotte Hornets	-1.16	0.02	-1.18	18	15
20	Sacramento Kings	5.11	6.52	-1.42	3	30
21	Orlando Magic	-2.03	-0.35	-1.68	22	14
22	Washington Wizards	2.09	4.02	-1.92	8	26
23	New York Knicks	-2.47	0.08	-2.55	23	16
24	New Orleans Pelicans	0.91	3.47	-2.56	11	25
25	Minnesota Timberwolves	-1.57	3.21	-4.78	20	23
26	Phoenix Suns	-1.34	4.03	-5.36	19	27
27	Milwaukee Bucks	-4.59	0.90	-5.50	25	17
28	Brooklyn Nets	-5.33	1.26	-6.59	28	20
29	Philadelphia 76ers	-5.27	4.68	-9.95	26	29
30	Los Angeles Lakers	-6.58	3.40	-9.98	30	24

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January 31, 2016

NBA Ratings Jan 31

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 12:09 pm

Rank

Team

Off

Def

Rating

Off Rank

Def Rank

San Antonio Spurs

3.02

-10.23

13.25

Golden State Warriors

12.98

3.07

9.91

Oklahoma City Thunder

7.45

1.04

6.41

Boston Celtics

3.70

-1.00

4.70

Cleveland Cavaliers

0.00

-4.32

4.32

Toronto Raptors

0.70

-3.54

4.24

Los Angeles Clippers

2.22

-1.51

3.73

Indiana Pacers

1.09

-1.39

2.48

Detroit Pistons

0.02

-2.14

2.16

Chicago Bulls

-0.09

-1.84

1.74

Atlanta Hawks

-0.14

-1.47

1.34

Utah Jazz

-4.91

-5.87

0.96

Portland Trail Blazers

1.74

1.53

0.20

Houston Rockets

4.43

4.58

-0.14

Miami Heat

-5.45

-5.12

-0.33

Dallas Mavericks

-1.37

-0.90

-0.47

Memphis Grizzlies

-4.06

-3.36

-0.70

Charlotte Hornets

-0.81

0.06

-0.87

Orlando Magic

-2.11

-1.06

-1.05

Washington Wizards

2.61

3.86

-1.25

Sacramento Kings

4.57

6.23

-1.66

Denver Nuggets

0.18

2.00

-1.82

New Orleans Pelicans

1.28

3.13

-1.84

New York Knicks

-1.98

0.19

-2.17

Phoenix Suns

-1.33

3.92

-5.25

Minnesota Timberwolves

-1.98

3.35

-5.33

Milwaukee Bucks

-4.31

1.18

-5.49

Brooklyn Nets

-6.15

1.10

-7.25

Philadelphia 76ers

-4.64

4.70

-9.34

Los Angeles Lakers

-6.65

3.81

-10.46

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January 23, 2016

NBA Ratings Jan 23

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 8:22 am

Team	Off	Def	Rating	Off Rank	Def Rank
San Antonio Spurs	2.51	-11.73	14.24	6	1
Golden State Warriors	12.41	2.80	9.61	1	23
Oklahoma City Thunder	7.27	-0.38	7.65	2	12
Los Angeles Clippers	3.01	-1.10	4.11	5	10
Detroit Pistons	0.03	-3.22	3.25	11	6
Boston Celtics	2.33	-0.36	2.70	7	13
Toronto Raptors	-0.79	-3.29	2.50	22	5
Indiana Pacers	1.16	-0.78	1.94	9	11
Atlanta Hawks	0.02	-1.72	1.73	12	8
Cleveland Cavaliers	1.00	0.00	1.00	10	16
Charlotte Hornets	-0.35	-1.19	0.84	17	9
Chicago Bulls	0.01	-0.24	0.25	14	14
Utah Jazz	-5.00	-5.22	0.22	27	2
Orlando Magic	-2.41	-2.20	-0.20	24	7
Houston Rockets	3.21	3.70	-0.49	4	27
Dallas Mavericks	-0.73	0.00	-0.73	21	15
Miami Heat	-5.84	-4.96	-0.89	29	3
Portland Trail Blazers	1.16	2.23	-1.06	8	21
Sacramento Kings	4.09	5.48	-1.39	3	30
Memphis Grizzlies	-4.99	-3.48	-1.52	26	4
New York Knicks	-1.49	0.08	-1.57	23	17
Denver Nuggets	-0.43	1.52	-1.95	18	20
Minnesota Timberwolves	-0.43	2.59	-3.02	19	22
Washington Wizards	0.00	3.14	-3.14	15	24
New Orleans Pelicans	0.01	3.58	-3.56	13	25
Phoenix Suns	-0.60	3.63	-4.23	20	26
Los Angeles Lakers	0.00	4.28	-4.28	16	28
Milwaukee Bucks	-3.84	0.78	-4.62	25	18
Brooklyn Nets	-6.00	1.27	-7.27	30	19
Philadelphia 76ers	-5.32	4.80	-10.11	28	29

Comments (0)

January 19, 2016

NFL Exponential Smoothing Ratings Jan 19

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 3:38 pm

These ratings give more weight to more recent games and some weight to preseason Vegas over under win totals.

RANK	TEAM	RATING
1	SEA	10.9
2	CAR	9.8
3	KC	8.2
4	ARI	8.2
5	CINN	7.6
6	PITT	6.9
7	NE	6.1
8	MINN	5.7
9	DEN	4.7
10	GB	4.6
11	JETS	2.8
12	BUFF	1.7
13	WASH	0
14	DET	-0.2
15	HOU	-0.6
16	STL	-1.5
17	OAK	-2.4
18	GIANTS	-2.5
19	ATL	-2.6
20	BALT	-3.1
21	SD	-3.2
22	PHI	-3.2
23	CHI	-3.3
24	NO	-3.6
25	DALL	-4
26	MIA	-4.3
27	INDY	-4.9
28	SF	-6
29	TAMPA	-6.3
30	CLE	-6.6
31	JACK	-6.7
32	TENN	-10.5

Comments (0)

NFL Ratings January 19

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 3:36 pm

These ratings give each game of the season equal weight.

Rank	Teams	Off	Def	Rating
1	Arizona Cardinals	7.52	-2.69	10.22
2	Seattle Seahawks	3.88	-5.24	9.13
3	Cincinnati Bengals	3.51	-5.01	8.52
4	Kansas City Chiefs	3.31	-5.13	8.44
5	Carolina Panthers	6.05	-2.02	8.08
6	Pittsburgh Steelers	3.86	-3.30	7.16
7	New England Patriots	5.04	-1.86	6.90
8	Green Bay Packers	2.00	-2.96	4.96
9	Denver Broncos	-0.01	-4.84	4.82
10	Minnesota Vikings	0.22	-4.52	4.74
11	New York Jets	-0.04	-2.00	1.96
12	Buffalo Bills	0.47	0.06	0.41
13	Oakland Raiders	1.03	1.62	-0.59
14	Detroit Lions	0.76	1.44	-0.68
15	St. Louis Rams	-3.61	-2.75	-0.86
16	Houston Texans	-3.41	-2.09	-1.31
17	Baltimore Ravens	0.00	1.53	-1.53
18	Chicago Bears	-0.27	1.36	-1.63
19	Washington Redskins	-0.05	1.85	-1.90
20	New York Giants	2.45	5.13	-2.69
21	San Diego Chargers	-1.46	1.24	-2.71
22	Atlanta Falcons	-3.19	-0.44	-2.75
23	Philadelphia Eagles	-0.30	3.41	-3.71
24	New Orleans Saints	1.21	6.53	-5.33
25	Indianapolis Colts	-2.42	3.01	-5.42
26	Miami Dolphins	-3.89	1.68	-5.57
27	San Francisco 49ers	-5.58	0.01	-5.60
28	Dallas Cowboys	-5.93	-0.08	-5.85
29	Cleveland Browns	-3.14	2.93	-6.07
30	Jacksonville Jaguars	-0.34	5.74	-6.08
31	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-2.76	3.51	-6.27
32	Tennessee Titans	-4.90	3.89	-8.79

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