NETHERLANDS 2 SLOVAKIA 1 NETHERLANDS 84% CHANCE TO ADVANCE
BRAZIL 2 CHILE 1 BRAZIL 80% CHANCE TO ADVANCE
June 27, 2010
June 26, 2010
World Cup Picks June 27
ENGLAND 1 GERMANY 1 (DECIDED ON PENALTY KICKS) ENGLAND 51% CHANCE TO ADVANCE
ARGENTINA 2 MEXICO 1 ARGENTINA 74% TO ADVANCE
June 25, 2010
World Cup Odds and Ratings; June 26 Picks
Using the Palisades add in @RISK for Monte Carlo simulation here are chances each team wins the World Cup. For example, Brazil has a 23% chance of winning. We estimate Brazil is .92 goals better than average on offense and .60 goals better than average on defense.
| Team | Prob | Off | Def | Rating |
| BRAZIL | 0.230 | 0.918 | -0.598 | 1.516 |
| ARGENTINA | 0.185 | 0.624 | -0.787 | 1.411 |
| SPAIN | 0.127 | 0.787 | -0.540 | 1.327 |
| NETHERLANDS | 0.120 | 0.479 | -0.544 | 1.023 |
| URUGUAY | 0.072 | 0.384 | -0.336 | 0.720 |
| GERMANY | 0.063 | 0.419 | -0.476 | 0.896 |
| ENGLAND | 0.060 | 0.239 | -0.679 | 0.917 |
| PORTUGAL | 0.039 | 0.547 | -0.196 | 0.743 |
| USA | 0.035 | 0.486 | 0.121 | 0.365 |
| MEXICO | 0.015 | 0.213 | -0.179 | 0.392 |
| JAPAN | 0.013 | -0.133 | -0.225 | 0.092 |
| PARAGUAY | 0.013 | -0.254 | -0.478 | 0.224 |
| Ghana | 0.011 | -0.006 | 0.015 | -0.021 |
| SOUTH KOREA | 0.007 | -0.056 | 0.041 | -0.098 |
| CHILE | 0.007 | -0.037 | -0.198 | 0.161 |
| SLOVAKIA | 0.002 | -0.112 | 0.524 | -0.636 |
For tomorrow I pick US 2 Ghana 1 and Uruguay 2 South Korea 1!
June 24, 2010
World Cup Picks June 25
BRAZIL 2 PORTUGAL 1
IVORY COAST 2 NORTH KOREA 1
SPAIN 2 CHILE 1
SWITZERLAND 1 HONDURAS 1
June 23, 2010
World Cup Predictions June 24
ITALY 2 SLOVAKIA 1
PARAGUAY 2 NEW ZEALAND 0
DENMARK 1 JAPAN 1
NETHERLANDS 2 CAMEROONS 0
June 22, 2010
World Cup Predictions for June 23
SLOVENIA 1 ENGLAND 1
USA 2 ALGERIA 1
GERMANY 2 GHANA 1
SERBIA 1 AUSTRALIA 1
GO USA! 68% CHANCE TO MOVE ON!!
June 21, 2010
World Cup Picks June 22
MEXICO 1 URUGUAY 1
NIGERIA 1 SOUTH KOREA 1
FRANCE 1 SOUTH AFRICA 1
ARGENTINA 2 GREECE 0
USA World Cup Advancement odds
Here are the relevant probabilities for USA advancing to round of 16;
- Chance USA beats Algeria 55%
- Chance USA ties Algeria 25%
- Chance USA loses to Algeria 20%
- Chance England beats Slovenia 49%
- Chance England ties Slovenia 28%
- Chance England loses to Slovenia 23%
CHANCE USA ADVANCES 68%
June 20, 2010
World Cup Picks June 21
PORTUGAL 1 NORTH KOREA 1
CHILE 1 SWITZERLAND 1
SPAIN 2 HONDURAS 0
June 19, 2010
World Cup Picks June 20
PARAGUAY 2 SLOVAKIA 0
ITALY 2 NEW ZEALAND 1
BRAZIL 3 IVORY COAST 1