January 2, 2016

NBa Ratings jAN 2

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 9:25 am

Rank

Team

Off

Def

Rating

Off Rank

Def Rank

1

San Antonio Spurs

-0.46

-13.22

12.76

21

1

2

Golden State Warriors

12.07

2.29

9.79

1

20

3

Oklahoma City Thunder

7.13

0.10

7.03

2

17

4

Boston Celtics

2.22

-2.21

4.43

6

9

5

Toronto Raptors

-0.95

-4.29

3.33

23

4

6

Los Angeles Clippers

2.56

-0.63

3.19

4

13

7

Chicago Bulls

0.01

-3.01

3.02

14

6

8

Indiana Pacers

2.53

-0.22

2.75

5

14

9

Orlando Magic

-0.22

-2.56

2.34

20

7

10

Detroit Pistons

-0.54

-2.47

1.93

22

8

11

Miami Heat

-3.55

-5.18

1.62

25

3

12

Atlanta Hawks

0.70

-0.89

1.59

10

11

13

Charlotte Hornets

-0.10

-1.52

1.42

17

10

14

Utah Jazz

-4.58

-5.46

0.88

28

2

15

Cleveland Cavaliers

0.45

0.00

0.44

11

15

16

Dallas Mavericks

-0.19

0.07

-0.26

18

16

17

Portland Trail Blazers

0.70

1.47

-0.77

9

18

18

Memphis Grizzlies

-4.54

-3.10

-1.44

27

5

19

Houston Rockets

2.80

4.67

-1.87

3

29

20

Phoenix Suns

1.05

3.43

-2.38

8

24

21

Denver Nuggets

-0.21

2.54

-2.75

19

22

22

New York Knicks

-3.83

-0.80

-3.02

26

12

23

Minnesota Timberwolves

0.03

3.34

-3.31

13

23

24

Sacramento Kings

2.20

6.23

-4.03

7

30

25

Washington Wizards

-0.01

4.19

-4.20

16

26

26

New Orleans Pelicans

0.05

4.44

-4.39

12

27

27

Los Angeles Lakers

0.00

4.62

-4.62

15

28

28

Milwaukee Bucks

-3.46

2.44

-5.90

24

21

29

Brooklyn Nets

-4.63

1.68

-6.30

29

19

30

Philadelphia 76ers

-7.22

4.04

-11.26

30

25

December 29, 2015

NFL Ratings December 29

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 10:06 am

Rank

Teams

Off

Def

Rating

1

Arizona Cardinals

8.60

-3.53

12.12

2

Cincinnati Bengals

4.08

-5.02

9.09

3

New England Patriots

5.95

-1.87

7.82

4

Kansas City Chiefs

3.14

-4.46

7.60

5

Seattle Seahawks

3.56

-3.90

7.46

6

Carolina Panthers

5.42

-1.87

7.28

7

Pittsburgh Steelers

4.09

-2.75

6.85

8

Denver Broncos

-0.28

-5.00

4.73

9

Green Bay Packers

1.75

-2.67

4.42

10

Minnesota Vikings

0.53

-3.44

3.97

11

New York Jets

-0.02

-2.14

2.11

12

Buffalo Bills

0.45

0.09

0.35

13

St. Louis Rams

-3.77

-3.16

-0.61

14

Houston Texans

-2.79

-1.97

-0.82

15

Oakland Raiders

0.83

1.97

-1.14

16

Detroit Lions

0.37

1.69

-1.33

17

Chicago Bears

-0.24

1.30

-1.54

18

Washington Redskins

-0.65

0.97

-1.62

19

Baltimore Ravens

0.00

1.66

-1.66

20

New York Giants

2.40

4.54

-2.14

21

Atlanta Falcons

-2.55

-0.37

-2.18

22

San Diego Chargers

-2.18

0.99

-3.18

23

Philadelphia Eagles

-0.75

3.28

-4.03

24

Jacksonville Jaguars

0.37

5.44

-5.07

25

Indianapolis Colts

-2.85

2.39

-5.24

26

Dallas Cowboys

-6.29

-1.03

-5.26

27

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

-2.36

3.13

-5.49

28

New Orleans Saints

1.48

7.05

-5.56

29

Cleveland Browns

-3.00

2.83

-5.82

30

San Francisco 49ers

-6.05

-0.12

-5.93

31

Miami Dolphins

-3.88

2.66

-6.53

32

Tennessee Titans

-5.35

3.30

-8.66

December 28, 2015

NBA Ratings December 28

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 4:42 pm

Here are updated NBA ratings.

 

Rank

Team

Off

Def

Rating

Off Rank

Def Rank

1

San Antonio Spurs

-0.07

-12.95

12.88

17

1

2

Golden State Warriors

13.31

1.99

11.32

1

21

3

Oklahoma City Thunder

6.65

0.08

6.56

2

17

4

Boston Celtics

2.74

-2.51

5.26

4

7

5

Indiana Pacers

2.42

-1.25

3.67

6

11

6

Toronto Raptors

-0.64

-4.16

3.52

23

4

7

Detroit Pistons

-0.35

-2.95

2.60

22

5

8

Los Angeles Clippers

2.04

-0.41

2.45

7

14

9

Chicago Bulls

0.01

-2.41

2.42

14

9

10

Orlando Magic

-0.20

-2.42

2.22

20

8

11

Charlotte Hornets

-0.15

-1.98

1.83

18

10

12

Miami Heat

-3.82

-5.42

1.60

24

2

13

Cleveland Cavaliers

1.19

0.01

1.18

8

15

14

Atlanta Hawks

0.47

-0.61

1.09

10

13

15

Utah Jazz

-4.34

-5.23

0.89

26

3

16

Portland Trail Blazers

0.46

0.76

-0.30

11

18

17

Dallas Mavericks

-0.25

0.07

-0.32

21

16

18

Houston Rockets

2.66

4.42

-1.76

5

25

19

Memphis Grizzlies

-4.81

-2.77

-2.04

28

6

20

Sacramento Kings

3.18

5.32

-2.13

3

29

21

Phoenix Suns

1.16

3.42

-2.25

9

23

22

Denver Nuggets

-0.17

2.79

-2.96

19

22

23

New York Knicks

-3.83

-0.68

-3.15

25

12

24

Minnesota Timberwolves

0.03

3.44

-3.41

13

24

25

New Orleans Pelicans

0.05

4.58

-4.53

12

26

26

Washington Wizards

-0.01

4.94

-4.95

16

27

27

Los Angeles Lakers

0.00

5.57

-5.57

15

30

28

Brooklyn Nets

-4.75

1.58

-6.33

27

19

29

Milwaukee Bucks

-5.33

1.74

-7.07

29

20

30

Philadelphia 76ers

-7.64

5.05

-12.69

30

28

December 22, 2015

NBA Ratings December 22

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 9:46 am

Rank

Team

Off

Def

Rating

Off Rank

Def Rank

1

San Antonio Spurs

-0.06

-12.56

12.50

16

1

2

Golden State Warriors

14.64

3.49

11.15

1

23

3

Oklahoma City Thunder

5.94

0.07

5.87

2

17

4

Boston Celtics

3.39

-1.82

5.21

3

9

5

Indiana Pacers

2.63

-1.75

4.37

5

11

6

Toronto Raptors

-0.29

-4.40

4.11

21

4

7

Orlando Magic

-0.26

-3.09

2.83

20

5

8

Chicago Bulls

0.01

-2.62

2.63

13

8

9

Detroit Pistons

-0.16

-2.75

2.60

17

6

10

Los Angeles Clippers

2.07

-0.40

2.47

8

14

11

Charlotte Hornets

0.35

-1.79

2.14

11

10

12

Cleveland Cavaliers

1.97

0.01

1.96

9

15

13

Miami Heat

-3.87

-5.58

1.71

25

2

14

Atlanta Hawks

-0.21

-1.59

1.38

19

12

15

Utah Jazz

-4.19

-4.91

0.72

26

3

16

Portland Trail Blazers

1.62

1.49

0.13

10

20

17

Phoenix Suns

2.14

2.69

-0.55

6

22

18

Dallas Mavericks

-1.14

0.05

-1.19

22

16

19

Sacramento Kings

2.98

5.30

-2.32

4

27

20

Memphis Grizzlies

-5.02

-2.67

-2.35

27

7

21

New York Knicks

-3.82

-0.51

-3.31

24

13

22

Minnesota Timberwolves

0.05

3.49

-3.44

12

24

23

Denver Nuggets

-1.38

2.08

-3.46

23

21

24

Houston Rockets

2.13

5.60

-3.47

7

29

25

Los Angeles Lakers

0.00

4.51

-4.51

14

26

26

New Orleans Pelicans

-0.21

5.37

-5.58

18

28

27

Milwaukee Bucks

-5.37

0.49

-5.86

29

18

28

Washington Wizards

-0.01

6.09

-6.11

15

30

29

Brooklyn Nets

-5.26

1.22

-6.48

28

19

30

Philadelphia 76ers

-8.66

4.49

-13.15

30

25

NFL Ratings December 22

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 9:33 am
Rank Teams Off Def Rating
1 Arizona Cardinals 8.05 -2.64 10.69
2 Cincinnati Bengals 4.00 -5.17 9.18
3 New England Patriots 6.36 -2.29 8.65
4 Carolina Panthers 6.42 -1.96 8.38
5 Seattle Seahawks 3.84 -4.51 8.35
6 Kansas City Chiefs 3.80 -4.37 8.18
7 Pittsburgh Steelers 4.55 -2.71 7.26
8 Green Bay Packers 2.33 -3.16 5.50
9 Denver Broncos -0.55 -4.94 4.39
10 Minnesota Vikings -0.90 -3.22 2.32
11 New York Jets -0.10 -2.04 1.95
12 Buffalo Bills 1.10 0.48 0.62
13 New York Giants 2.58 3.14 -0.55
14 Oakland Raiders 0.89 2.03 -1.14
15 St. Louis Rams -4.57 -2.57 -2.00
16 Detroit Lions -0.17 1.84 -2.01
17 Houston Texans -3.66 -1.61 -2.06
18 Chicago Bears -0.44 1.63 -2.07
19 Baltimore Ravens 0.00 2.23 -2.23
20 Washington Redskins -1.49 0.78 -2.27
21 Atlanta Falcons -2.43 0.47 -2.90
22 Philadelphia Eagles -0.85 2.20 -3.05
23 San Diego Chargers -2.28 1.11 -3.39
24 Jacksonville Jaguars 0.29 4.77 -4.48
25 Dallas Cowboys -5.46 -0.75 -4.71
26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.25 3.02 -5.27
27 Indianapolis Colts -2.71 2.98 -5.69
28 San Francisco 49ers -6.29 -0.55 -5.74
29 Miami Dolphins -3.15 2.72 -5.88
30 New Orleans Saints 1.04 7.06 -6.02
31 Cleveland Browns -3.08 3.66 -6.74
32 Tennessee Titans -4.86 2.39 -7.24

December 19, 2015

NBA Ratings Dec 19

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 2:47 pm

Team

Off

Def

Rating

Off Rank

Def Rank

San Antonio Spurs

-0.06

-11.94

11.88

16

1

Golden State Warriors

14.60

3.66

10.94

1

24

Oklahoma City Thunder

5.87

0.56

5.31

2

17

Charlotte Hornets

2.06

-2.91

4.97

9

7

Chicago Bulls

0.01

-4.75

4.76

13

3

Indiana Pacers

2.73

-1.85

4.59

5

10

Toronto Raptors

-0.19

-4.41

4.23

18

4

Boston Celtics

2.55

-1.41

3.97

6

11

Orlando Magic

-0.28

-3.79

3.51

20

6

Los Angeles Clippers

2.74

-0.33

3.07

4

14

Detroit Pistons

-0.16

-2.42

2.26

17

8

Cleveland Cavaliers

2.12

0.01

2.12

8

15

Miami Heat

-4.28

-5.79

1.51

25

2

Portland Trail Blazers

1.65

0.78

0.87

11

19

Phoenix Suns

2.97

2.29

0.67

3

22

Atlanta Hawks

-0.74

-1.35

0.61

21

12

Utah Jazz

-3.89

-4.41

0.51

24

5

Dallas Mavericks

-1.36

0.06

-1.42

22

16

Minnesota Timberwolves

0.97

3.59

-2.61

12

23

Sacramento Kings

2.53

5.64

-3.11

7

28

Memphis Grizzlies

-5.46

-2.33

-3.13

29

9

Denver Nuggets

-2.47

1.34

-3.81

23

20

New York Knicks

-4.74

-0.40

-4.33

26

13

Los Angeles Lakers

0.00

4.59

-4.60

14

25

Houston Rockets

1.72

6.79

-5.06

10

30

New Orleans Pelicans

-0.22

5.53

-5.75

19

27

Milwaukee Bucks

-5.41

0.68

-6.10

28

18

Washington Wizards

-0.01

6.60

-6.61

15

29

Brooklyn Nets

-5.34

1.38

-6.72

27

21

Philadelphia 76ers

-7.93

4.60

-12.53

30

26

Do College Basketball Teams Improve during the Season?

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 2:24 pm

As I make the rounds of holiday parties, a common point of discussion in Bloomington In is whether Tom Crean’s teams improve or get worse as the season progresses. To answer this question I used the great Sagarin ratings (see Sagarin.com). to determine how a team’s performance level improved or declined during the season. For each game I determined how many points worse or better than their season average the team performed. For example if IU’s season rating was 90 and IU beat a team with rating of 85  on a neutral court by 10 IU receives a “residual” of +5. If IU lost the game by 1 they receive a residual of  -6. I then averaged these residuals over all games since the 2008-2009 season (Crean’s first year) with the season broken into three parts

  • First 10 games
  • Next 10 games
  • Rest of season.

The results for IU, Wisconsin, Duke Kentucky, Michigan State, and IU  using data from 2008-2015.are shown below. As IU fans believe, IU performs worse at the end of the season. Perhaps this or due to over practicing or the fact that IU beats up on our preseason powder puff schedule. Several other interesting points stand out: Note: my original post assumed Coach Cal coached UK in 08-09.  This post corrects this error.

  • Duke shows the largest decline in performance during the course of the season.
  • Most fans think Calipari does a great job of improving his mainly all freshman teams during the season. Not true!
  • Everyone thinks Izzo brings his teams along to peak for the tournament and it looks like Izzo (and Bo Ryan) do the best job of getting teams ready for the post -season.
First10 Next10 End
Duke 2.9 0.2 -2.2
Wisconsin 0.5 -0.8 0.2
UK 1.2 0.3 -1.4
MSU -0.1 -0.4 0.2
IU 2 -0.2 -1.3

December 15, 2015

NFL Ratings Dec 15

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 8:15 am

Rank

Teams

Off

Def

Rating

1

Arizona Cardinals

7.80

-2.11

9.92

2

Cincinnati Bengals

4.23

-5.16

9.39

3

New England Patriots

6.89

-2.46

9.35

4

Carolina Panthers

6.15

-2.76

8.91

5

Seattle Seahawks

4.20

-4.20

8.40

6

Kansas City Chiefs

3.61

-3.72

7.33

7

Pittsburgh Steelers

3.92

-3.33

7.25

8

Green Bay Packers

2.20

-2.71

4.91

9

Denver Broncos

-1.26

-5.61

4.35

10

New York Jets

0.20

-2.19

2.39

11

Buffalo Bills

1.17

-0.50

1.68

12

Minnesota Vikings

-1.87

-2.94

1.07

13

New York Giants

2.21

2.77

-0.56

14

Oakland Raiders

1.23

2.15

-0.92

15

Chicago Bears

-0.47

1.18

-1.65

16

Baltimore Ravens

0.00

1.97

-1.97

17

Philadelphia Eagles

-0.33

1.78

-2.10

18

Houston Texans

-3.19

-1.04

-2.16

19

St. Louis Rams

-5.22

-2.76

-2.47

20

Washington Redskins

-1.96

0.76

-2.72

21

Detroit Lions

-0.62

2.25

-2.87

22

Atlanta Falcons

-2.20

1.22

-3.42

23

Jacksonville Jaguars

1.09

4.88

-3.79

24

San Diego Chargers

-2.62

1.76

-4.38

25

Dallas Cowboys

-5.24

-0.59

-4.65

26

Miami Dolphins

-2.52

2.40

-4.92

27

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

-2.65

2.47

-5.12

28

Indianapolis Colts

-1.75

3.41

-5.16

29

New Orleans Saints

1.31

6.90

-5.60

30

San Francisco 49ers

-6.48

-0.23

-6.25

31

Cleveland Browns

-2.91

4.12

-7.03

32

Tennessee Titans

-4.91

2.29

-7.20

December 14, 2015

NBA Rankings Dec 14

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 8:40 am

Spurs (on cruise control) pass Warriors

 

Rank

Team

Off

Def

Rating

Off Rank

Def Rank

1

San Antonio Spurs

-1.67

-11.87

10.20

20

1

2

Golden State Warriors

13.27

3.38

9.89

1

25

3

Oklahoma City Thunder

7.81

1.17

6.64

2

18

4

Chicago Bulls

0.01

-6.17

6.18

13

3

5

Charlotte Hornets

2.71

-2.80

5.51

8

8

6

Boston Celtics

3.18

-1.72

4.90

7

9

7

Toronto Raptors

-0.16

-4.86

4.70

16

5

8

Indiana Pacers

3.26

-0.94

4.20

6

12

9

Cleveland Cavaliers

3.31

0.01

3.30

5

15

10

Los Angeles Clippers

2.54

-0.72

3.26

9

13

11

Miami Heat

-4.77

-6.93

2.16

27

2

12

Phoenix Suns

4.24

2.58

1.67

4

22

13

Utah Jazz

-3.63

-4.97

1.35

24

4

14

Detroit Pistons

-3.15

-4.33

1.18

23

6

15

Portland Trail Blazers

2.23

1.23

1.00

10

19

16

Orlando Magic

-1.98

-2.83

0.86

21

7

17

Atlanta Hawks

-1.15

-1.48

0.33

18

11

18

Dallas Mavericks

-1.63

0.06

-1.69

19

16

19

Minnesota Timberwolves

0.92

3.30

-2.38

12

24

20

Sacramento Kings

4.25

7.98

-3.72

3

30

21

Memphis Grizzlies

-5.53

-1.53

-4.00

29

10

22

New York Knicks

-4.66

-0.58

-4.08

25

14

23

Denver Nuggets

-2.82

1.31

-4.13

22

20

24

Houston Rockets

2.12

7.36

-5.23

11

29

25

Milwaukee Bucks

-4.74

0.55

-5.30

26

17

26

Los Angeles Lakers

0.00

5.31

-5.31

14

26

27

New Orleans Pelicans

-0.18

6.17

-6.34

17

27

28

Washington Wizards

-0.01

6.42

-6.43

15

28

29

Brooklyn Nets

-5.01

1.70

-6.71

28

21

30

Philadelphia 76ers

-8.76

3.23

-11.99

30

23

December 8, 2015

NFL Ratings Dec 8

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 8:53 am

Rank

Teams

Off

Def

Rating

1

Cincinnati Bengals

4.27

-6.55

10.82

2

Arizona Cardinals

8.31

-2.45

10.76

3

New England Patriots

7.04

-1.52

8.56

4

Kansas City Chiefs

5.05

-3.17

8.22

5

Carolina Panthers

5.60

-1.70

7.30

6

Seattle Seahawks

3.69

-3.31

7.00

7

Pittsburgh Steelers

2.79

-3.42

6.21

8

Denver Broncos

-0.61

-5.98

5.37

9

Green Bay Packers

1.76

-2.57

4.33

10

Buffalo Bills

1.46

-0.68

2.14

11

New York Jets

-0.18

-1.80

1.62

12

Minnesota Vikings

-2.42

-2.97

0.55

13

New York Giants

1.65

2.57

-0.92

14

Houston Texans

-2.35

-1.35

-1.00

15

Chicago Bears

-0.61

0.61

-1.23

16

Baltimore Ravens

0.00

1.36

-1.35

17

Atlanta Falcons

-1.03

0.45

-1.48

18

Oakland Raiders

1.27

2.94

-1.67

19

Philadelphia Eagles

-0.54

1.94

-2.48

20

St. Louis Rams

-5.34

-2.56

-2.77

21

Detroit Lions

-0.74

2.07

-2.80

22

Indianapolis Colts

-1.44

1.59

-3.03

23

Washington Redskins

-2.55

0.87

-3.43

24

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

-1.86

2.40

-4.26

25

Dallas Cowboys

-5.23

-0.87

-4.36

26

Miami Dolphins

-2.75

1.98

-4.73

27

San Diego Chargers

-1.89

3.23

-5.12

28

San Francisco 49ers

-6.06

-0.51

-5.55

29

Jacksonville Jaguars

-0.72

5.22

-5.94

30

New Orleans Saints

1.36

7.60

-6.24

31

Tennessee Titans

-4.74

1.97

-6.72

32

Cleveland Browns

-3.19

4.63

-7.81

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