June 14, 2010

World Cup ratings

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 5:45 pm

Here are my World Cup Ratings after today’s games. Some non world cup teams are listed: ignore them . For example Brazil is 1.15 goals better than average on offense and .52 goals better than average on defense. I will try and update probabilities of teams winning when I have a chance.

Team off def Rating
BRAZIL 1.151640814 -0.52166 1.673305
SPAIN 0.876226677 -0.56697 1.443193
ARGENTINA 0.428774127 -0.83854 1.267316
ENGLAND 0.486377182 -0.60723 1.093606
NETHERLANDS 0.489649348 -0.53015 1.019799
GERMANY 0.632446741 -0.35025 0.982698
FRANCE 0.078577677 -0.46157 0.54015
EGYPT 0.804536167 0.344149 0.460387
URUGUAY 0.22510419 -0.20071 0.425818
CZECH 0.271282743 -0.07385 0.345132
SLOVENIA -0.0599713 -0.39383 0.333862
ITALY 0.071331233 -0.25012 0.321449
USA 0.418915723 0.103443 0.315473
NIGERIA -0.24214148 -0.51482 0.272683
MEXICO 0.157659519 -0.1086 0.266262
SOUTH KOREA -0.13746383 -0.39622 0.258759
TUNISIA 0.318028638 0.069462 0.248567
PARAGUAY -0.14438044 -0.39071 0.246331
TURKEY 0.108970356 -0.10511 0.214078
Ghana 0.322717024 0.121214 0.201503
RUSSIA 0.445817084 0.273906 0.171911
ECUADOR -0.10837644 -0.23546 0.127086
ISRAEL 0.075812776 0.021552 0.054261
JAPAN -0.15399723 -0.1933 0.0393
SERBIA -0.06816933 -0.0189 -0.04926
IRELAND -0.29734353 -0.23838 -0.05896
CHILE -0.08238735 -0.01777 -0.06461
PORTUGAL 0.31346877 0.403594 -0.09013
SWITZERLAND -0.00369202 0.128474 -0.13217
CAMEROON -0.41213691 -0.22618 -0.18595
NORWAY -0.23837794 -0.02898 -0.20939
DENMARK -0.07410479 0.148841 -0.22295
HONDURAS -0.23019204 0.068826 -0.29902
IVORY COAST 0.228933197 0.53816 -0.30923
S AFRICA -0.10253264 0.209946 -0.31248
SWEDEN -0.35465194 -0.04054 -0.31412
AUSTRALIA -0.16188335 0.218581 -0.38046
VENEZUELA -0.07006385 0.410912 -0.48098
POLAND -0.45381375 0.04299 -0.4968
NORTH Korea -0.59613873 -0.09546 -0.50068
Algeria -0.33511069 0.169601 -0.50471
GREECE -0.35078652 0.206789 -0.55758
N IRELAND -0.40839048 0.176439 -0.58483
SLOVAKIA -0.21800561 0.477616 -0.69562
CHINA -0.87935406 -0.10858 -0.77078
BELGIUM -0.51594638 0.638961 -1.15491
VENEZUELA -0.70213337 1.168899 -1.87103
NEW ZEALAND -0.50472399 1.571571 -2.07629

1 Comment »

  1. mhmm. Spain on the seond place. In my opinion they’re the big favourite to win the trophy. Brazil and argentina have great quality in their teams, but also they have two unexperienced coaches. In the FIFA World Ranking Germany ranked on 6 and won 4:0 against the 20th ranked Astralia. They played much better than they played in the qualify group even with Michael Ballack, so in nmy opinion they’re the dark horses with the Netherlands.

    Comment by david — June 15, 2010 @ 3:49 am

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