March 28, 2010

Final 4 Odds

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 10:49 pm

Using the Sagarin Ratings from USA Today and giving Butler a 2.5 point home edge here are the final four odds:

  • Duke 60% chance to beat West Virginia
  • Butler 67% chance to beat Michigan State
  • Duke has 40% chance to win tourney, Butler 29% , West Virginia 22% and Michigan State 9%.

3 Comments »

  1. Wayne,

    I would really like to see some sort of analysis on the NCAA tournament and 3 pointers. With both Duke and WVU performances this weekend – I have come to the conclusion 3 point shots have become too valuable and would like to see the line moved back to the NBA standard. I know the NBA and NCAA have both moved the line back in recent years, but the NCAA line is still well inside the NBA – about 2 feet at least. I thought both Kentucky and Baylor were better teams but both lost due to discrepancy in 3 point shooting. Like hockey where you can run into a hot goalie – the tournament you run into one streaky 3 shooter and your toast.

    Grant

    Comment by Grant Case — March 29, 2010 @ 12:00 am

  2. The NCAA also needs to get rid of that ridiculous 35-second shot clock? More than half a minute per possession? It’s absurd, it makes the game truly atrocious to watch at times, and it makes comebacks exceedingly difficult.

    Comment by HoopsFan — March 29, 2010 @ 10:18 pm

  3. I agree line is too close.

    Comment by wwinston — April 2, 2010 @ 10:16 am

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