March 10, 2010

Projected FInal NBA Standings and Playoff Chances

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 9:47 am

Based on the ratings we posted earlier today here are projected final NBA standings.

Team wins losses conf
Cleveland Cavaliers 62 20 e
Orlando Magic 57 25 e
Boston Celtics 52 30 e
Atlanta Hawks 52 30 e
Milwaukee Bucks 45 37 e
Miami Heat 44 38 e
Charlotte Bobcats 43 39 e
Toronto Raptors 41 41 e
Chicago Bulls 39 43 e
Philadelphia 76ers 31 51 e
Washington Wizards 28 54 e
Indiana Pacers 28 54 e
Detroit Pistons 28 54 e
New York Knickerbockers 28 54 e
New Jersey Nets 11 71 e
Los Angeles Lakers 58 24 w
Utah Jazz 54 28 w
Denver Nuggets 54 28 w
Dallas Mavericks 54 28 w
Phoenix Suns 51 31 w
Oklahoma City Thunder 50 32 w
San Antonio Spurs 48 34 w
Portland Trail Blazers 47 35 w
Houston Rockets 42 40 w
Memphis Grizzlies 41 41 w
New Orleans Hornets 40 42 w
Los Angeles Clippers 31 51 w
Sacramento Kings 28 54 w
Golden State Warriors 25 57 w
Minnesota Timberwolves 18 64 w

Note the torrid race in the West for spots 2-4.

In the West it looks like there is only a 9% chance that one of Houston, New Orleans or Memphis sneaks in the playoffs.

In the East here are the playoff chances for the 5 teams fighting for spots 5-9:

  • Bucks 98%
  • Heat 94%
  • Bobcats 91%
  • Raptors 80%
  • Bulls 37%.

3 Comments »

  1. I know you have a huge focus on basketball, but I’ve been reading Moneyball, and am interested in a similar adjusted +/- method for baseball. I guess I would like to see which teams match up favorably against other teams. Will you continue this type of blogging into the baseball season?

    Comment by Mike — March 10, 2010 @ 11:56 am

  2. I will post team ratings, but probably not head to head. In basketball matchups make a big difference, but in baseball I would be surprised if this matters unless a pitcher “owns” a team

    Comment by wwinston — March 10, 2010 @ 1:47 pm

  3. [...] to Wayne Winston (former stats guy for the Mavericks – see?  Related) the Nets are on pace for 11 wins according to his rankings (more on that Friday).  Wayne Winston is a pretty smart guy and these [...]

    Pingback by NetsAreScorching – New Jersey Nets Blog – Nets News, Rumors, Analysis, Podcasts, Salaries, & Statistics » Blog Archive » Game 64 Preview Vs. Dallas Mavericks — March 10, 2010 @ 6:08 pm

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