January 5, 2010

Fixing the Pistons

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 3:17 pm

The Pistons have lost 9 games in a row. They play 3.9 points worse than average per game. What can be done to help them?  First let’s note the Pistons are terrible when Ben Wallace is out (12 pointsworse than average), They play one point better than average when Ben is in. Can we improve things when Ben is out? Very simple. When Brown and Maxiell are in and Wallace is out Pistons play only 2 points worse than average (134 minutes).  (By the way when Wilcox subs for Ben Pistons lose by 20 points per game! )Rest of time Ben is out Pistons are 15 points worse than average.

     Another thing that  seems to work with Ben out is Bynum, Maxiell, Charley V, Stuckey and Gordon (+36 rating  in only 16 minutes, but worth a shot). 

        The core for this team should be Charley V, Gordon, Stuckey and Wallace. In 237 minutes  with fifth of Jerebko or Bynum Pistons play 8 points better than average.

             Here are Pistons best lineups:

First number is how many points better or worse than average per 48 minutes lineup is (adjusted for strength of opponents)

DET       2.89 (    4.67    1.36   -3.31    5.09    0.40    5.14)  167.32 minutes   42 appearances     1 A     -4.02      -14 $
Gordon        Jerebko       Stuckey       Villanueva    Wallace       26.79 years       6736_DET_2010

DET       7.11 (    2.86   -5.43   -8.29   18.48    0.43    5.18)  138.15 minutes   39 appearances     2 A      3.47       10 $
Atkins        Jerebko       Maxiell       Stuckey       Wallace       28.82 years       4801_DET_2010

DET      17.45 (    6.14    7.07    0.93   39.63    1.18    4.75)   69.82 minutes   40 appearances     3 A     17.19       25 $
Bynum         Gordon        Stuckey       Villanueva    Wallace       27.62 years       6676_DET_2010

DET      11.32 (   -2.74   -2.43    0.30  -14.03   -0.43    5.13)   42.86 minutes   23 appearances     4 A      6.72        6 $
Bynum         Jerebko       Stuckey       Villanueva    Wallace    

DET       7.89 (  -10.51  -15.80   -5.29  -26.03   -1.15    2.88)   21.44 minutes   16 appearances     4 B     11.20        5 $
Bynum         Daye          Jerebko       Villanueva    Wallace       26.41 years

  DET       5.42 (   -6.01   -6.67   -0.66   -6.48   -0.48    3.97)   19.05 minutes   18 appearances     1 C      5.04        2 $
Bynum         Gordon        Jerebko       Villanueva    Wallace       27.45 years       6228_DET_2010

DET      36.08 (   -0.48    8.82    9.30  -20.73   -0.37    5.31)   16.25 minutes   13 appearances     2 C     32.49       11 $
Bynum         Gordon        Maxiell       Stuckey       Villanueva    25.93 years       2708_DET_2010

1 Comment »

  1. Basically Adjusted +/- is saying that Ben Wallace is the only thing standing between the Pistons and probably being twice as awful on point differential.

    Jerebko or Bynum look better on Statistical measures than Adjusted overall. Neither of the free agents are doing much different from neutral. Neither of the holdovers from the glory years are adding much yet or seem likely to.

    I don’t know much about the quality of the coaching but I am not impressed with the roster Joe D. constructed. Even for a rebuilding year. Extending Hamilton was unwise, especially at that price. Signing Gordon on top of that even sillier. Waited too long to move Prince.

    Comment by Crow — January 7, 2010 @ 5:53 am

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