December 26, 2009

Why the Blazers are on Fire!

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 10:47 am

The Portland Trailblazers have suffered an unprecedented run of tragic injuries. Yet so far this season they have played better (6 points better than average) than any Western Conference team. How has this happened?

With Przybilla and Oden out, the Blazers have playecd 370 minues and played 6.3 points better than average. The following combos (assuming Oden and Przybila out) have keyed their success (all numbers are how well team has played per 48 minutes adjusted for strength of opponents)

  1. Miller and Blake on court with Pendergraph out: 60 minutes , Blazers are 28 points better than average.
  2. Miller, Bayless, Webster on court, Blake and Perdergrpah out; Blazers in 31 minutes play 35 points better than average.
  3. Rest of time Oden and Pryzbilla are out Blazers have played 1 point worse than average.

In last 5 games Miller has  played 16 points better than average, Bayless 19 points better than average, and Blake 11 points better than average.

These four lineups have been solid for the Blazers. For example. the last lineup listed (Aldridge      Bayless       Howard        Miller        Webster       ) is up 18 points in 24 minutes and has played 43 points better than average per 48 minutes.

POR      12.76 (    4.62    5.78    1.16   25.74    0.83   11.77)   29.15 minutes   17 appearances     2 B      6.59        4 $
Aldridge      Bayless       Blake         Howard        Roy           27.60 years       8269_POR_2009

POR       7.03 (    5.47   -7.10  -12.57   22.96    0.89   11.88)   25.33 minutes   16 appearances     3 B      7.58        4 $
Aldridge      Bayless       Blake         Howard        Webster       27.13 years      16461_POR_2009

POR      11.00 (   -0.94  -15.86  -14.92  -21.72    0.10   12.11)   25.04 minutes   20 appearances     4 B     15.34        8 $
Aldridge      Fernandez     Miller        Przybilla     Webster       27.26 years      20641_POR_2009

POR      42.56 (   12.85   -2.86  -15.70   52.78    1.78   13.49)   24.10 minutes   12 appearances     5 B     35.85       18 $
Aldridge      Bayless       Howard        Miller        Webster       27.91 years      16581_POR_2009

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