December 8, 2009

New NFL Ratings

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 2:20 pm

Here are NFL ratings through December 7. The Saints maintain the #1 spot due to their offense that is 14.67 points better than average. Surprising ly the Colts have the best defense, 5.27 points better than average.

 

Team

offense

defense

total

rank off

rank def

 overall

Cardinals

2.28

-1.71

3.99

11

10

10

Falcons

2.09

0.65

1.44

12

20

17

Ravens

1.91

-4.37

6.28

14

5

5

Bills

-5.26

-0.71

-4.54

28

12

25

Panthers

-3.48

-0.41

-3.07

23

15

20

Bears

-2.70

1.29

-3.98

22

21

23

Bengals

-0.85

-4.21

3.36

17

6

13

Browns

-8.15

3.31

-11.46

30

27

30

Cowboys

1.01

-2.83

3.83

16

8

11

Broncos

-1.14

-4.74

3.60

19

3

12

Lions

-4.65

7.43

-12.08

26

32

31

Packers

4.19

-0.60

4.80

7

13

8

Texans

2.37

1.36

1.01

10

23

19

Colts

5.26

-5.27

10.53

5

1

3

Jaguars

-3.59

1.88

-5.47

24

25

26

Chiefs

-4.47

5.80

-10.27

25

31

29

Dolphins

3.28

1.34

1.94

9

22

16

Vikings

7.04

-0.59

7.63

2

14

4

Patriots

6.69

-4.40

11.09

3

4

2

Saints

14.67

0.56

14.11

1

18

1

Giants

3.92

1.62

2.29

8

24

14

Jets

-1.06

-5.16

4.10

18

2

9

Raiders

-9.54

0.61

-10.15

31

19

28

Eagles

5.00

-1.26

6.25

6

11

6

Steelers

1.95

-0.07

2.02

13

16

15

Rams

-10.26

3.60

-13.86

32

28

32

Chargers

6.56

0.42

6.14

4

17

7

49ers

-1.80

-2.87

1.07

21

7

18

Seahawks

-1.61

2.32

-3.93

20

26

22

Buccaneers

-5.25

3.93

-9.18

27

29

27

Titans

1.65

5.04

-3.40

15

30

21

Redskins

-6.04

-1.98

-4.06

29

9

24

 

Here is each  team’s schedule strength.  We see the Dolphin’s have played the toughest schedule (3.44 points harder than average). The Vikings have played the league’s easiest schedule.

 

strength

rank

Cardinals

-1.26

22

Falcons

1.44

8

Ravens

1.61

6

Bills

0.48

15

Panthers

0.84

9

Bears

-0.90

21

Bengals

-1.93

29

Browns

1.90

5

Cowboys

-1.67

27

Broncos

0.43

16

Lions

0.59

13

Packers

-2.74

31

Texans

0.09

17

Colts

-0.31

18

Jaguars

-1.47

25

Chiefs

0.56

14

Dolphins

3.44

1

Vikings

-2.87

32

Patriots

2.58

3

Saints

-1.64

26

Giants

0.79

11

Jets

0.83

10

Raiders

1.52

7

Eagles

-1.41

23

Steelers

-1.75

28

Rams

0.72

12

Chargers

-2.19

30

49ers

-0.43

19

Seahawks

-1.43

24

Buccaneers

2.58

2

Titans

2.49

4

Redskins

-0.89

20

 

Here are projected final standings for each team. So the playoffs look as follows:

NFC

Saints, Cardinals, Vikings, Cowboys, Eagles and Packers.

AFC

Colts, Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Broncos, and Ravens.

Team

W

L

Cardinals

11

5

Falcons

8

8

Ravens

9

7

Bills

5

11

Panthers

6

10

Bears

6

10

Bengals

11

5

Browns

3

13

Cowboys

10

6

Broncos

10

6

Lions

3

13

Packers

10

6

Texans

7

9

Colts

15

1

Jaguars

8

8

Chiefs

4

12

Dolphins

8

8

Vikings

13

3

Patriots

10

6

Saints

15

1

Giants

9

7

Jets

8

8

Raiders

5

11

Eagles

10

6

Steelers

8

8

Rams

2

14

Chargers

12

4

49ers

8

8

Seahawks

6

10

Buccaneers

2

14

Titans

7

9

Redskins

5

11

 

3 Comments »

  1. I also keep these calculations based on points – and regarding offense and defense – and the Colts having the best “defense” – don’t these defensive numbers really also account for the teams offense? In other words, an average offense can exepct to score 5.27 points below the league average – part of that is the Colt defense, but part can be that the Colts control the ball with their offense which also prevents a team from scoring. (Offense is the best defense.)

    Comment by Craig — December 9, 2009 @ 1:14 am

  2. You have giants at 9-6 which I take to mean a loss at final game against Minn. Would taking into account that Minn would already have 12 wins going into the final week and a 2 seed locked up make any difference on the projection of that game?

    Comment by SM — December 9, 2009 @ 2:43 pm

  3. You are right. Good offense helps defense and vice versa.

    Comment by wwinston — December 9, 2009 @ 4:06 pm

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