As Joe Friday said on Dragnet, “Just the facts maam.” Here are some facts about the Thunder.
- Based on KD’s 2 years in the league most adjusted +/- numbers have him rated around -7 points. Even with the noisiness in these estimates there is less than a 5% chance that the true value of his adjusted +/- for those two years is above average.
Let’s break down all Thunder minutes last year into 3 lineup combinations and look at how (adjusting for strength of opposition) the Thunder played. The standard deviation of these estimates (rounded off) is also given
- Collison Westbrook Green and KD in +.4 points (std dev 4 points)
- All other KD minutes -11.2 (st dev 2 points)
- All minutes with KD out -2.6 (std dev 3 points)
Draw your own conclusions from this information.