After updating my logistic regression model to include the divisional playoffs here are my updated predictions. Note that we correctly predicted all 4 divisional series.
- Yankees 55% chance to beat Angels
- Dodgers 54% chance to beat Phillies
Chances to Win World Series
- Yankees 38%
- Angels 31%
- Dodgers 18%
- Phillies 13%
Phillies 4-1 series victory. Averaged 7 runs/game. Woops!
Comment by Pat Sullivan — October 22, 2009 @ 7:26 pm