December 13, 2011

NFL Picks and Ratings DecEmber 13

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 2:55 pm

Here are NFl Ratings

Rank Team off def total
1 Green Bay Packers 12.05 -1.13 13.18
2 New Orleans Saints 9.26 0.29 8.97
3 Houston Texans 4.20 -4.59 8.79
4 Baltimore Ravens 4.07 -4.37 8.44
5 New England Patriots 7.65 -0.45 8.10
6 San Francisco 49ers 0.82 -6.92 7.74
7 Pittsburgh Steelers 0.43 -5.71 6.14
8 Detroit Lions 6.13 1.04 5.08
9 New York Jets 2.81 -1.03 3.84
10 Chicago Bears -0.54 -4.09 3.56
11 Atlanta Falcons -0.07 -3.13 3.06
12 Dallas Cowboys 2.25 0.09 2.15
13 Cincinnati Bengals 1.94 0.50 1.44
14 San Diego Chargers 2.76 1.99 0.77
15 Tennessee Titans -1.61 -2.21 0.60
16 Philadelphia Eagles 1.26 0.74 0.52
17 Miami Dolphins -3.08 -3.10 0.01
18 New York Giants 3.31 3.75 -0.44
19 Seattle Seahawks -2.35 -0.50 -1.85
20 Denver Broncos -1.83 0.05 -1.88
21 Arizona Cardinals -1.94 1.04 -2.99
22 Jacksonville Jaguars -7.00 -3.45 -3.55
23 Carolina Panthers 1.87 5.47 -3.60
24 Buffalo Bills -0.10 3.60 -3.70
25 Oakland Raiders 0.82 4.81 -4.00
26 Washington Redskins -4.88 0.02 -4.89
27 Minnesota Vikings -1.67 4.01 -5.68
28 Cleveland Browns -7.21 -1.12 -6.10
29 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.72 4.57 -8.29
30 Kansas City Chiefs -9.38 0.61 -9.99
31 St. Louis Rams -9.54 2.01 -11.55
32 Indianapolis Colts -6.69 7.23 -13.92

Picks follow

  • ATL 20 JACK 10
  • DAL 27 TAMPA 20
  • MIA 21 BUF 20
  • TEN 26 INDY 15
  • TEXANS 26 CAR 18
  • GB 33 KC 13
  • NO 34 MINN 22
  • NYG 27 WASH 19
  • CINN 24 STL 14
  • DET 31 OAK 25
  • ARI 20 CLE 14
  • NE 28 DEN 21 BUT GO TEBOW!!
  • JETS 27 PHI 24
  • BALT 27 SD 22
  • SF 19 PITT 14
  • CHI 15 SEA 14

5 Comments »

  1. Hi,

    Is it possible to understand what is the methodology of the Off and Def ratings? Or is that part of the book? Thanks.

    Vish

    Comment by Vishvesh Oza — December 13, 2011 @ 11:03 pm

  2. Yes it is in book. simple least squares

    Comment by wwinston — December 13, 2011 @ 11:44 pm

  3. Hi, I’ve kind of come to this a bit late but I must say the book is great and it has really opened my eyes to looking at sports in a different way. Is there any way of re-working the off and def score generating formulas to minimise the number of variables as with 199 teams in College Football this year, whilst you can do straight power ratings (just), you exceed Solver’s variable limit to Offense and Defense ratings (approx 400 variables)? Thanks.

    Comment by George — December 19, 2011 @ 5:07 pm

  4. I think you would need to buy a bigger solver from solver.com

    Comment by wwinston — December 19, 2011 @ 6:14 pm

  5. Thanks. I thought so, and I looked at it and just couldn’t see a way round it as everything was relevant to each other. I think I’ll stick to other sports for the time being. Thanks again – really great book.

    Comment by George — December 19, 2011 @ 6:31 pm

RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URL

Leave a comment

Powered by WordPress