May 9, 2011

How the Mavs Shocked the World

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 8:35 am

I am sure nobody (including the Mavs) predicted a 4-0 sweep of the Lakers, In retrospect it seems so simple : penetrate and move the ball until the Lakers miss a rotation and hit the open 3. For 3 years nobody could solve the Bynum-Gasol-Odom frontcourt combos. In this series (despite the announcers praising Bynum to the heavens) Bynum’sĀ  defense did the Lakers in. To prove this assertion note that when Dirk and Terry were in for 96 minutesĀ Mavs were +62 points, rest of series Mavs were down 6 points. When Dirk and Terry were in and Bynum was in Mavs were +54 points in 61 minutes and outscored Lakers by 124-82 pace. When Dirk and Terry were in and Bynum was out Mavs were +8 points in 36 minutes and outscored Lakers only at a 99-89 clip,

9 Comments »

  1. What about Kobe Bryant? I saw no defense from him. Isn’t he responsible for the 2-guard (Terry)? Also, his shooting the ball with one-on-one/two isolations means he’s not getting everyone else involved. What stats do you have on him?

    Comment by Ron — May 9, 2011 @ 1:38 pm

  2. Wayne – as you know, with those sample sizes that could just be a total coincidence. I haven’t broken down the series yet, but it’s easy to have those correlations in 4 games with very little causality.

    Comment by ElGee — May 9, 2011 @ 5:48 pm

  3. [...] How the Mavs Shocked the World: At Mathletics, some +/- notes on the Mavs’ victory from Wayne Winston. [...]

    Pingback by How the Mavs Shocked the World » Stathead » Blog Archive — May 9, 2011 @ 6:00 pm

  4. Wayne,

    Is Dirk’s defense much improved over this season (or the last three seasons)?

    That’s a big theme on talk radio, just wondering if plus/minus bore that out. [It seems like in the past, you've also argued that Dirk was about an average defensive player.]

    Comment by Charlie — May 9, 2011 @ 8:24 pm

  5. [...] Lakers.Center – Andrew BynumThe Lakers should trade Bynum while he has any value left. Bynum imploded this year in the playoffs, and at this point in his career it is hard to believe he is going to get it together mentally, or [...]

    Pingback by Has Kobe’s Championship Window Closed in Los Angeles? | PROTECT THE PAINT — May 10, 2011 @ 4:04 am

  6. Nice to see the Mavs win. I hope they can avenge the terrible officiating loss of the 2006 Finals against the Heat.

    http://www.3things2know.com/about/dwyane_wade
    http://www.3things2know.com/about/the_los_angeles_lakers
    http://www.3things2know.com/about/kobe_bryant

    Comment by Smoke — May 10, 2011 @ 8:01 am

  7. Kobe had little impact on series. All I could find was Bynum in against Terry and Dirk was when series turned against LA.

    Comment by wwinston — May 10, 2011 @ 11:02 am

  8. The difference is certaintly significant (Byum in or out with Terry and Dirk in) at .05 level

    Comment by wwinston — May 10, 2011 @ 11:03 am

  9. He has a -5 defensive rating whic his pretty good. 5 points better per game than average. Much of this is due to his good defensive rebounding.

    Comment by wwinston — May 10, 2011 @ 11:04 am

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