I think the Melo trade may turn out well for both teams. Although I do not think Melo is a Top 10 player (more on this later), many other people in the league do. The trade gives the Knicks a great chance (if they can afford him) to get Chris Paul who is a Top 10 player. Also the Knicks kept Landry Fields who is better than any of the guys they gave up. (+6 Points and +29 Impact!)
Here are our Adjusted +/- and Impact ratings for the principals in the trade (for this season)
Of course, Melo was distracted and can probably play better. But for last 3 years here are his numbers.
Note he has never been a better than average defender. George Karl said as much this week. Felton has not played well this year but averaged a +2 Adjusted +/- the last 3 years. So the Nuggets got 3 solid players and a high potential guy (Mozgov) when they might have ended up with nothing. If Chris Paul does not come, I suspect the Knicks will be very disapointed. This is a true test for Adjusted +/- which deems Wade and James as superstars, but indicates that Amare and Melo are overrated by the public.
On the Celtics-OKC trade, I think OKC realized that Bynum-Gasol duo killed them last year and Perkins (if healthy0 can change that equation. Also Nate Robinson is an above average NBA guard (not just backup guard) and that is one oftheir weaknesses. Green killed OKC in playoffs last year and with Green and Kristic out and Westbrook and KD in OKC is 10 points better than average this year. When Kristic and or Green is in with their two stars OKC is only 3 points better than average.
The Celtics did not really need Perkins if Shaq or O’Neal are healthy. but I think they will find Green is not as good as the box score stats indicate. Also without Daniels and Robinson who backs up Rondo and Allen in the playoffs?
For Houston, Thabeet and Dragic have both played poorly this year with Adjusted +/- worse than -10, which is really bad. It looks like Houston is clearing cap room for the future, but you have to wonder for how long the Rockets get a free pass for going under .500.
Portland got a steal in Gerald Wallace. He was playing at near All-Star level till recently. Charlotte got nothing to help them. If Roy stays healthy, watch out for Blazers in the playoffs.