January 12, 2011

NBA Ratings January 12

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 8:01 am

Here they are. Spurs, Celtics, Heat and Lakers vritually even at top while Cleveland has sunk to the bottom.

Rank Team Off Def Overall
1 San Antonio Spurs 5.77 -1.20 6.97
2 Boston Celtics -0.43 -7.26 6.83
3 Miami Heat 2.06 -4.64 6.70
4 Los Angeles Lakers 3.66 -3.02 6.68
5 Orlando Magic 0.45 -4.62 5.08
6 Dallas Mavericks 0.04 -4.62 4.66
7 Utah Jazz 2.00 -1.77 3.76
8 Chicago Bulls -3.09 -6.62 3.53
9 Oklahoma City Thunder 5.27 2.38 2.89
10 Portland Trail Blazers -3.44 -6.23 2.79
11 New Orleans Hornets -4.36 -6.23 1.87
12 Denver Nuggets 6.52 4.80 1.72
13 Atlanta Hawks -3.44 -4.82 1.38
14 Memphis Grizzlies 0.46 -0.86 1.32
15 New York Knickerbockers 9.06 7.77 1.30
16 Houston Rockets 4.64 3.84 0.80
17 Philadelphia 76ers -1.81 -1.24 -0.57
18 Milwaukee Bucks -7.40 -6.73 -0.67
19 Indiana Pacers -1.91 0.19 -2.09
20 Phoenix Suns 6.18 9.07 -2.89
21 Charlotte Bobcats -6.34 -3.17 -3.17
22 Los Angeles Clippers -1.71 1.80 -3.50
23 Golden State Warriors 2.00 5.88 -3.88
24 Toronto Raptors 2.64 6.89 -4.25
25 Detroit Pistons -3.07 1.42 -4.48
26 Minnesota Timberwolves 3.67 8.96 -5.29
27 Washington Wizards -3.10 2.38 -5.47
28 New Jersey Nets -5.94 -0.08 -5.86
29 Sacramento Kings -3.36 3.23 -6.58
30 Cleveland Cavaliers -5.05 4.54 -9.58

12 Comments »

  1. thank you Wayne for ratings. I am interested how do you make Def and Off ratings – is there any specific formula and does it take in consideration pace of game?

    Comment by avatar — January 12, 2011 @ 2:23 pm

  2. Hi Wayne,

    Long time reader (as you can tell by the repeated use of your insights in my blog), first time commenter.
    I was wondering if you’d do a break down of either A.) Kobe (my favorite player)’s sudden drop in adj. +/- or B.) A Look at why the new-look Magic are so successful.

    Thanks

    Comment by Denver — January 12, 2011 @ 9:43 pm

  3. We predict home teams points in game for example as home offense+league mean+away defense +.5*home edge. I do not worry about pace. If I could get possessions per game I could do pace ratings and offensive and defensive efficiency adjusted for opponents, but I do not think it would predict scores any better.

    Comment by wwinston — January 12, 2011 @ 10:09 pm

  4. Pacers win tonight a perfect example of how important Dirk is to Dallas.

    Wayne, I notice you derive team points using a 1 pt home edge… From what I can extract that edge could be as high as 4 (2 per side) . How did you come up with this figure?

    Thanks for the great stuff and impressive job this past weekend on the NFL.

    Comment by JOHN — January 12, 2011 @ 10:24 pm

  5. NFL home edge is around 2.2 points this year so 1 point for points for and 1 point for points against is about right.

    Comment by wwinston — January 13, 2011 @ 8:25 am

  6. Was 2.2 for the nfl or nba? I found an nba edge of around 4.

    Comment by john — January 13, 2011 @ 9:56 am

  7. Thanks, Wayne – found Def & Off Eff. calculation also in Mathletics. But John’s question is spot on – why home edge is used 1 point (0.5 points home team & -0.5 points away team)?

    Comment by avatar — January 13, 2011 @ 2:25 pm

  8. 2.2 for nfl. nba near 4. so when i predict nfl score i predict home team to score 1.1 more pts in nfl than on neutral field and give up 1.1 less pts.

    Comment by wwinston — January 13, 2011 @ 2:31 pm

  9. Got it. Thanks.

    Comment by avatar — January 13, 2011 @ 2:51 pm

  10. [...] Toronto Raptors rank 23rd in the latest edition of SB Nation’s NBA Power Rankings, and 24th in Wayne Winston’s NBA [...]

    Pingback by Lunchbox Links – Toronto Update — January 14, 2011 @ 4:00 am

  11. Hi Wayne,

    Will you eventually do recent games weighted rankings like you eventually did with your NFL rankings?

    Comment by garron — January 14, 2011 @ 1:26 pm

  12. Yes. I will try by weekend.

    Comment by wwinston — January 14, 2011 @ 4:08 pm

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