| Team |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
| Louisville |
0.1501 |
0.2943 |
0.1508 |
0.1457 |
0.2591 |
| Florida |
0.0737 |
0.3894 |
0.2168 |
0.1525 |
0.1676 |
| Indiana |
0.3542 |
0.1969 |
0.2134 |
0.1139 |
0.1216 |
Ohio
State |
0.327 |
0.1551 |
0.2834 |
0.116 |
0.1185 |
| Kansas |
0.4519 |
0.2873 |
0.1155 |
0.0787 |
0.0666 |
| Duke |
0.4744 |
0.3046 |
0.0892 |
0.0676 |
0.0642 |
Michigan
St. |
0.5256 |
0.2898 |
0.0816 |
0.0542 |
0.0488 |
| Michigan |
0.5481 |
0.2564 |
0.1034 |
0.0513 |
0.0408 |
| Miami |
0.3813 |
0.3745 |
0.1481 |
0.0608 |
0.0353 |
| Syracuse |
0.6458 |
0.1607 |
0.1162 |
0.0457 |
0.0316 |
| Arizona |
0.673 |
0.1234 |
0.1476 |
0.0374 |
0.0186 |
Wichita
St. |
0.4048 |
0.4083 |
0.1452 |
0.029 |
0.0127 |
| Marquette |
0.6187 |
0.2679 |
0.0806 |
0.024 |
0.0088 |
| Oregon |
0.8499 |
0.1113 |
0.0249 |
0.0108 |
0.0031 |
La
Salle |
0.5952 |
0.3132 |
0.0773 |
0.0118 |
0.0025 |
Fla. Gulf
Coast |
0.9263 |
0.0669 |
0.006 |
0.0006 |
0.0002 |
Above gives chance of winning each number of games
Here arechances each team wins 0,1,2,3,4,5 or 6 games.
| Team |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
| Louisville |
0.0029 |
0.1892 |
0.1603 |
0.1812 |
0.1403 |
0.1097 |
0.2164 |
| Florida |
0.0309 |
0.1894 |
0.2388 |
0.2071 |
0.1163 |
0.0908 |
0.1267 |
| Indiana |
0.0236 |
0.2178 |
0.2203 |
0.1366 |
0.1736 |
0.1062 |
0.1219 |
| Kansas |
0.0209 |
0.2714 |
0.2302 |
0.2169 |
0.107 |
0.0743 |
0.0793 |
| Gonzaga |
0.0074 |
0.3568 |
0.2179 |
0.1588 |
0.1343 |
0.0586 |
0.0662 |
| Ohio State |
0.088 |
0.2576 |
0.1995 |
0.1972 |
0.1376 |
0.0589 |
0.0612 |
| Duke |
0.0352 |
0.294 |
0.2511 |
0.224 |
0.0858 |
0.0533 |
0.0566 |
| Georgetown |
0.0788 |
0.2687 |
0.3609 |
0.1405 |
0.0707 |
0.0454 |
0.035 |
| Syracuse |
0.083 |
0.2665 |
0.3769 |
0.1048 |
0.0937 |
0.0449 |
0.0302 |
| Michigan St. |
0.1736 |
0.2593 |
0.2717 |
0.1776 |
0.0562 |
0.0344 |
0.0272 |
| Michigan |
0.1293 |
0.2808 |
0.3224 |
0.1454 |
0.0638 |
0.0326 |
0.0257 |
| Miami |
0.1014 |
0.2737 |
0.221 |
0.2354 |
0.1015 |
0.0429 |
0.0241 |
| Wisconsin |
0.3181 |
0.2346 |
0.2422 |
0.0904 |
0.0683 |
0.0259 |
0.0205 |
| Pittsburgh |
0.2911 |
0.4137 |
0.121 |
0.0862 |
0.0516 |
0.0192 |
0.0172 |
| Marquette |
0.2809 |
0.2301 |
0.2326 |
0.1609 |
0.065 |
0.02 |
0.0105 |
| New Mexico |
0.1606 |
0.3522 |
0.2817 |
0.125 |
0.0542 |
0.0164 |
0.0099 |
| St. Louis |
0.2033 |
0.3381 |
0.3232 |
0.0775 |
0.0309 |
0.0174 |
0.0096 |
| Kansas St. |
0.3055 |
0.3766 |
0.201 |
0.0652 |
0.0347 |
0.0103 |
0.0067 |
| Arizona |
0.3535 |
0.3053 |
0.2053 |
0.083 |
0.0368 |
0.0102 |
0.0059 |
| UNC |
0.3643 |
0.425 |
0.1031 |
0.0706 |
0.0204 |
0.0109 |
0.0057 |
| Okla. St. |
0.3486 |
0.3035 |
0.2563 |
0.0535 |
0.023 |
0.0099 |
0.0052 |
| Missouri |
0.3817 |
0.4831 |
0.0623 |
0.041 |
0.0176 |
0.0093 |
0.005 |
| St. Mary’s |
0.5795 |
0.1941 |
0.1206 |
0.0596 |
0.0287 |
0.0106 |
0.0044 |
| ND |
0.3968 |
0.3891 |
0.1032 |
0.0691 |
0.0279 |
0.0096 |
0.0043 |
| Creighton |
0.4184 |
0.3734 |
0.1143 |
0.0648 |
0.0175 |
0.0074 |
0.0042 |
| NC State |
0.3332 |
0.4821 |
0.0981 |
0.0416 |
0.0307 |
0.0109 |
0.0034 |
| VCU |
0.3178 |
0.391 |
0.1934 |
0.0644 |
0.0219 |
0.0083 |
0.0032 |
| Memphis |
0.4146 |
0.351 |
0.1452 |
0.0647 |
0.0164 |
0.0053 |
0.0028 |
| UNLV |
0.404 |
0.3817 |
0.1556 |
0.035 |
0.017 |
0.0052 |
0.0015 |
| Illinois |
0.4681 |
0.3365 |
0.102 |
0.0703 |
0.0173 |
0.0044 |
0.0014 |
| San Diego St. |
0.4439 |
0.36 |
0.1447 |
0.0341 |
0.0113 |
0.0048 |
0.0012 |
| Minn |
0.4396 |
0.4278 |
0.0787 |
0.0362 |
0.0109 |
0.0056 |
0.0012 |
| Butler |
0.3726 |
0.3655 |
0.1617 |
0.0746 |
0.0201 |
0.0043 |
0.0012 |
| Ole Miss |
0.6819 |
0.1688 |
0.1066 |
0.0272 |
0.011 |
0.0035 |
0.001 |
| Cinncinati |
0.5816 |
0.3007 |
0.0709 |
0.0359 |
0.0071 |
0.0029 |
0.0009 |
| Wichita St. |
0.7089 |
0.2223 |
0.0442 |
0.0152 |
0.007 |
0.0016 |
0.0008 |
| Villanova |
0.6357 |
0.2849 |
0.0478 |
0.0234 |
0.0056 |
0.0019 |
0.0007 |
| Oklahoma |
0.5561 |
0.3066 |
0.1061 |
0.0232 |
0.006 |
0.0013 |
0.0007 |
| Colorado |
0.5319 |
0.3122 |
0.0872 |
0.0523 |
0.0125 |
0.0032 |
0.0007 |
| Middle Tenn |
0.7778 |
0.1343 |
0.0561 |
0.0213 |
0.0071 |
0.0024 |
0.0007 |
| Col. State |
0.6183 |
0.3248 |
0.0334 |
0.0151 |
0.006 |
0.0019 |
0.0005 |
| UCLA |
0.5604 |
0.3563 |
0.0535 |
0.0223 |
0.0055 |
0.0016 |
0.0004 |
| Temple |
0.6668 |
0.2789 |
0.0355 |
0.0116 |
0.0055 |
0.0014 |
0.0003 |
| LASALLE |
0.8456 |
0.1109 |
0.0344 |
0.0067 |
0.002 |
0.0001 |
0.0003 |
| Belmont |
0.6465 |
0.217 |
0.0991 |
0.028 |
0.0077 |
0.0015 |
0.0002 |
| Davidson |
0.7191 |
0.154 |
0.0886 |
0.0297 |
0.0073 |
0.0011 |
0.0002 |
| Oregon |
0.6514 |
0.2115 |
0.1141 |
0.0167 |
0.0045 |
0.0017 |
0.0001 |
| Bucknell |
0.6274 |
0.2504 |
0.0885 |
0.0272 |
0.0056 |
0.0008 |
0.0001 |
| Boise St. |
0.8489 |
0.1091 |
0.0325 |
0.0077 |
0.0016 |
0.0001 |
0.0001 |
| Team |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
| Louisville |
0.0029 |
0.1892 |
0.1603 |
0.1812 |
0.1403 |
0.1097 |
0.2164 |
| Florida |
0.0309 |
0.1894 |
0.2388 |
0.2071 |
0.1163 |
0.0908 |
0.1267 |
| Indiana |
0.0236 |
0.2178 |
0.2203 |
0.1366 |
0.1736 |
0.1062 |
0.1219 |
| Kansas |
0.0209 |
0.2714 |
0.2302 |
0.2169 |
0.107 |
0.0743 |
0.0793 |
| Gonzaga |
0.0074 |
0.3568 |
0.2179 |
0.1588 |
0.1343 |
0.0586 |
0.0662 |
| Ohio State |
0.088 |
0.2576 |
0.1995 |
0.1972 |
0.1376 |
0.0589 |
0.0612 |
| Duke |
0.0352 |
0.294 |
0.2511 |
0.224 |
0.0858 |
0.0533 |
0.0566 |
| Georgetown |
0.0788 |
0.2687 |
0.3609 |
0.1405 |
0.0707 |
0.0454 |
0.035 |
| Syracuse |
0.083 |
0.2665 |
0.3769 |
0.1048 |
0.0937 |
0.0449 |
0.0302 |
| Michigan St. |
0.1736 |
0.2593 |
0.2717 |
0.1776 |
0.0562 |
0.0344 |
0.0272 |
| Michigan |
0.1293 |
0.2808 |
0.3224 |
0.1454 |
0.0638 |
0.0326 |
0.0257 |
| Miami |
0.1014 |
0.2737 |
0.221 |
0.2354 |
0.1015 |
0.0429 |
0.0241 |
| Wisconsin |
0.3181 |
0.2346 |
0.2422 |
0.0904 |
0.0683 |
0.0259 |
0.0205 |
| Pittsburgh |
0.2911 |
0.4137 |
0.121 |
0.0862 |
0.0516 |
0.0192 |
0.0172 |
| Marquette |
0.2809 |
0.2301 |
0.2326 |
0.1609 |
0.065 |
0.02 |
0.0105 |
| New Mexico |
0.1606 |
0.3522 |
0.2817 |
0.125 |
0.0542 |
0.0164 |
0.0099 |
| St. Louis |
0.2033 |
0.3381 |
0.3232 |
0.0775 |
0.0309 |
0.0174 |
0.0096 |
| Kansas St. |
0.3055 |
0.3766 |
0.201 |
0.0652 |
0.0347 |
0.0103 |
0.0067 |
| Arizona |
0.3535 |
0.3053 |
0.2053 |
0.083 |
0.0368 |
0.0102 |
0.0059 |
| UNC |
0.3643 |
0.425 |
0.1031 |
0.0706 |
0.0204 |
0.0109 |
0.0057 |
| Okla. St. |
0.3486 |
0.3035 |
0.2563 |
0.0535 |
0.023 |
0.0099 |
0.0052 |
| Missouri |
0.3817 |
0.4831 |
0.0623 |
0.041 |
0.0176 |
0.0093 |
0.005 |
| St. Mary’s |
0.5795 |
0.1941 |
0.1206 |
0.0596 |
0.0287 |
0.0106 |
0.0044 |
| ND |
0.3968 |
0.3891 |
0.1032 |
0.0691 |
0.0279 |
0.0096 |
0.0043 |
| Creighton |
0.4184 |
0.3734 |
0.1143 |
0.0648 |
0.0175 |
0.0074 |
0.0042 |
| NC State |
0.3332 |
0.4821 |
0.0981 |
0.0416 |
0.0307 |
0.0109 |
0.0034 |
| VCU |
0.3178 |
0.391 |
0.1934 |
0.0644 |
0.0219 |
0.0083 |
0.0032 |
| Memphis |
0.4146 |
0.351 |
0.1452 |
0.0647 |
0.0164 |
0.0053 |
0.0028 |
| UNLV |
0.404 |
0.3817 |
0.1556 |
0.035 |
0.017 |
0.0052 |
0.0015 |
| Illinois |
0.4681 |
0.3365 |
0.102 |
0.0703 |
0.0173 |
0.0044 |
0.0014 |
| San Diego St. |
0.4439 |
0.36 |
0.1447 |
0.0341 |
0.0113 |
0.0048 |
0.0012 |
| Minn |
0.4396 |
0.4278 |
0.0787 |
0.0362 |
0.0109 |
0.0056 |
0.0012 |
| Butler |
0.3726 |
0.3655 |
0.1617 |
0.0746 |
0.0201 |
0.0043 |
0.0012 |
| Ole Miss |
0.6819 |
0.1688 |
0.1066 |
0.0272 |
0.011 |
0.0035 |
0.001 |
| Cinncinati |
0.5816 |
0.3007 |
0.0709 |
0.0359 |
0.0071 |
0.0029 |
0.0009 |
| Wichita St. |
0.7089 |
0.2223 |
0.0442 |
0.0152 |
0.007 |
0.0016 |
0.0008 |
| Villanova |
0.6357 |
0.2849 |
0.0478 |
0.0234 |
0.0056 |
0.0019 |
0.0007 |
| Oklahoma |
0.5561 |
0.3066 |
0.1061 |
0.0232 |
0.006 |
0.0013 |
0.0007 |
| Colorado |
0.5319 |
0.3122 |
0.0872 |
0.0523 |
0.0125 |
0.0032 |
0.0007 |
| Middle Tenn |
0.7778 |
0.1343 |
0.0561 |
0.0213 |
0.0071 |
0.0024 |
0.0007 |
| Col. State |
0.6183 |
0.3248 |
0.0334 |
0.0151 |
0.006 |
0.0019 |
0.0005 |
| UCLA |
0.5604 |
0.3563 |
0.0535 |
0.0223 |
0.0055 |
0.0016 |
0.0004 |
| Temple |
0.6668 |
0.2789 |
0.0355 |
0.0116 |
0.0055 |
0.0014 |
0.0003 |
| LASALLE |
0.8456 |
0.1109 |
0.0344 |
0.0067 |
0.002 |
0.0001 |
0.0003 |
| Belmont |
0.6465 |
0.217 |
0.0991 |
0.028 |
0.0077 |
0.0015 |
0.0002 |
| Davidson |
0.7191 |
0.154 |
0.0886 |
0.0297 |
0.0073 |
0.0011 |
0.0002 |
| Oregon |
0.6514 |
0.2115 |
0.1141 |
0.0167 |
0.0045 |
0.0017 |
0.0001 |
| Bucknell |
0.6274 |
0.2504 |
0.0885 |
0.0272 |
0.0056 |
0.0008 |
0.0001 |
| Boise St. |
0.8489 |
0.1091 |
0.0325 |
0.0077 |
0.0016 |
0.0001 |
0.0001 |
Here we gave a little more weight to more recent games.
| Rank |
Team |
Offense |
Defense |
Total |
| 1 |
Oklahoma City Thunder |
9.08 |
-1.19 |
10.27 |
| 2 |
San Antonio Spurs |
7.25 |
-2.46 |
9.71 |
| 3 |
Miami Heat |
4.87 |
-2.75 |
7.63 |
| 4 |
Los Angeles Clippers |
2.38 |
-3.78 |
6.15 |
| 5 |
Denver Nuggets |
9.34 |
4.42 |
4.92 |
| 6 |
Houston Rockets |
9.67 |
5.77 |
3.90 |
| 7 |
Memphis Grizzlies |
-6.23 |
-9.73 |
3.50 |
| 8 |
Indiana Pacers |
-4.30 |
-7.55 |
3.25 |
| 9 |
New York Knicks |
1.38 |
-0.93 |
2.31 |
| 10 |
Los Angeles Lakers |
4.86 |
3.18 |
1.67 |
| 11 |
Chicago Bulls |
-5.11 |
-6.35 |
1.25 |
| 12 |
Atlanta Hawks |
1.20 |
-0.04 |
1.24 |
| 13 |
Golden State Warriors |
3.90 |
3.15 |
0.75 |
| 14 |
Boston Celtics |
-2.83 |
-3.55 |
0.72 |
| 15 |
Dallas Mavericks |
3.79 |
3.18 |
0.61 |
| 16 |
Utah Jazz |
-0.10 |
0.77 |
-0.87 |
| 17 |
Brooklyn Nets |
-3.92 |
-2.82 |
-1.09 |
| 18 |
Milwaukee Bucks |
1.66 |
2.97 |
-1.31 |
| 19 |
Toronto Raptors |
-0.70 |
0.82 |
-1.52 |
| 20 |
New Orleans Hornets |
-2.69 |
-0.65 |
-2.03 |
| 21 |
Portland Trail Blazers |
-0.72 |
1.62 |
-2.34 |
| 22 |
Minnesota Timberwolves |
-3.90 |
-0.37 |
-3.53 |
| 23 |
Detroit Pistons |
-3.21 |
0.77 |
-3.99 |
| 24 |
Phoenix Suns |
-4.68 |
-0.52 |
-4.16 |
| 25 |
Washington Wizards |
-7.30 |
-3.10 |
-4.20 |
| 26 |
Philadelphia 76ers |
-5.85 |
-1.05 |
-4.80 |
| 27 |
Cleveland Cavaliers |
-0.51 |
4.41 |
-4.91 |
| 28 |
Sacramento Kings |
1.59 |
6.94 |
-5.35 |
| 29 |
Orlando Magic |
-3.65 |
4.82 |
-8.47 |
| 30 |
Charlotte Bobcats |
-5.26 |
4.03 |
-9.29 |