After a banner week in which the Mavs defeated OKC, SAN, and MIA they have risen to the top of our power ratings. The Mavs have the league’s best defense while the Wolves have the worst. The Suns have the best offense and the Kings the worst. Again these ratings are based on game scores, not directly on win-loss records.
| Rank |
Team |
Off |
Def |
Overall |
| 1 |
Dallas Mavericks |
-0.05 |
-8.16 |
8.11 |
| 2 |
New Orleans Hornets |
0.10 |
-7.21 |
7.32 |
| 3 |
Miami Heat |
1.98 |
-5.18 |
7.15 |
| 4 |
Boston Celtics |
0.47 |
-6.60 |
7.07 |
| 5 |
Los Angeles Lakers |
7.02 |
0.60 |
6.43 |
| 6 |
San Antonio Spurs |
5.37 |
-1.05 |
6.42 |
| 7 |
Denver Nuggets |
5.19 |
-0.05 |
5.25 |
| 8 |
Utah Jazz |
0.48 |
-3.68 |
4.16 |
| 9 |
Orlando Magic |
-3.37 |
-6.73 |
3.36 |
| 10 |
Chicago Bulls |
-1.18 |
-3.72 |
2.53 |
| 11 |
Phoenix Suns |
9.60 |
8.74 |
0.86 |
| 12 |
Portland Trail Blazers |
-3.66 |
-4.16 |
0.50 |
| 13 |
Houston Rockets |
3.84 |
3.63 |
0.21 |
| 14 |
Atlanta Hawks |
-0.08 |
-0.19 |
0.11 |
| 15 |
Oklahoma City Thunder |
5.92 |
6.18 |
-0.25 |
| 16 |
Memphis Grizzlies |
0.92 |
1.26 |
-0.34 |
| 17 |
Milwaukee Bucks |
-8.44 |
-7.73 |
-0.71 |
| 18 |
Indiana Pacers |
-1.39 |
-0.57 |
-0.82 |
| 19 |
Charlotte Bobcats |
-4.08 |
-2.84 |
-1.24 |
| 20 |
Toronto Raptors |
1.56 |
2.95 |
-1.39 |
| 21 |
Philadelphia 76ers |
-1.41 |
0.32 |
-1.73 |
| 22 |
New Jersey Nets |
-5.08 |
-1.85 |
-3.23 |
| 23 |
New York Knickerbockers |
5.39 |
8.89 |
-3.50 |
| 24 |
Detroit Pistons |
-3.52 |
0.84 |
-4.36 |
| 25 |
Golden State Warriors |
-0.87 |
4.18 |
-5.04 |
| 26 |
Cleveland Cavaliers |
-3.39 |
1.84 |
-5.23 |
| 27 |
Los Angeles Clippers |
-2.18 |
4.46 |
-6.65 |
| 28 |
Washington Wizards |
-2.04 |
5.27 |
-7.32 |
| 29 |
Minnesota Timberwolves |
1.77 |
9.73 |
-7.97 |
| 30 |
Sacramento Kings |
-8.88 |
0.84 |
-9.72 |
Although they keep losing, based on scores of games, the Heat are still the league’s best team. The top 9 teams are tightly bunched. Also Memphis, New Jersey and Houston are much better than their records indicate.
| Rank |
Team |
Off |
Def |
Overall |
| 1 |
Miami Heat |
3.35 |
-4.91 |
8.27 |
| 2 |
Boston Celtics |
-0.06 |
-7.72 |
7.66 |
| 3 |
San Antonio Spurs |
5.47 |
-1.16 |
6.63 |
| 4 |
New Orleans Hornets |
-0.08 |
-6.62 |
6.54 |
| 5 |
Los Angeles Lakers |
7.47 |
1.27 |
6.19 |
| 6 |
Denver Nuggets |
5.46 |
0.03 |
5.43 |
| 7 |
Dallas Mavericks |
-2.57 |
-7.95 |
5.38 |
| 8 |
Orlando Magic |
-3.55 |
-8.40 |
4.86 |
| 9 |
Utah Jazz |
0.61 |
-3.50 |
4.11 |
| 10 |
Portland Trail Blazers |
-3.43 |
-5.04 |
1.62 |
| 11 |
Chicago Bulls |
-1.14 |
-2.58 |
1.44 |
| 12 |
Phoenix Suns |
9.61 |
8.38 |
1.23 |
| 13 |
Indiana Pacers |
-0.81 |
-2.02 |
1.21 |
| 14 |
Houston Rockets |
4.57 |
3.98 |
0.59 |
| 15 |
Milwaukee Bucks |
-9.43 |
-9.64 |
0.21 |
| 16 |
Memphis Grizzlies |
0.86 |
1.36 |
-0.50 |
| 17 |
Oklahoma City Thunder |
5.76 |
6.34 |
-0.58 |
| 18 |
Atlanta Hawks |
-0.10 |
0.91 |
-1.01 |
| 19 |
New Jersey Nets |
-4.24 |
-2.89 |
-1.35 |
| 20 |
Charlotte Bobcats |
-4.20 |
-2.76 |
-1.44 |
| 21 |
Toronto Raptors |
0.97 |
2.91 |
-1.94 |
| 22 |
New York Knickerbockers |
6.83 |
9.34 |
-2.51 |
| 23 |
Philadelphia 76ers |
-1.49 |
2.19 |
-3.69 |
| 24 |
Cleveland Cavaliers |
-3.17 |
1.66 |
-4.83 |
| 25 |
Detroit Pistons |
-4.58 |
1.09 |
-5.66 |
| 26 |
Los Angeles Clippers |
-1.99 |
4.49 |
-6.48 |
| 27 |
Golden State Warriors |
-1.14 |
5.38 |
-6.52 |
| 28 |
Washington Wizards |
-3.10 |
4.26 |
-7.37 |
| 29 |
Minnesota Timberwolves |
1.70 |
10.19 |
-8.49 |
| 30 |
Sacramento Kings |
-7.57 |
1.41 |
-8.99 |
Here are this week’s picks. Last week we went 7-7 against totals and point spread.
- New Orleans 30 Dallas 27
- Bal 27 Tampa 14
- NE 30 Det 26
- NYJ 31 Cin 17
- GB 21 Atl 18
- Pitt 29 Buff 17
- Phil 22 Chic 19
- Cle 25 Car 8
- Ind 24 SD 22
- Den 23 Stl 21
- Tenn 30 Hou 23
- NYG 28 Jack 22
- Oak 19 Miami 18
- KC 23 Sea 15
- Wash 23 Min 18
- Ari 23 SF 22
The Packers are number 1 with a bullet. They are playing great and only Eagles and Falcons appear to have a chance to thwart a Packer bid to make the Super Bowl. The AFC is wide open. .
| Team |
off |
def |
overall |
Rank |
| Green Bay Packers |
3.36 |
-8.07 |
11.43 |
1 |
| Tennessee Titans |
5.14 |
-3.24 |
8.38 |
2 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers |
1.18 |
-6.46 |
7.64 |
3 |
| New York Jets |
2.92 |
-4.37 |
7.29 |
4 |
| Baltimore Ravens |
2.36 |
-4.66 |
7.03 |
5 |
| San Diego Chargers |
4.31 |
-2.40 |
6.70 |
6 |
| New England Patriots |
8.16 |
1.63 |
6.52 |
7 |
| Indianapolis Colts |
2.92 |
-3.22 |
6.14 |
8 |
| Philadelphia Eagles |
4.65 |
0.02 |
4.64 |
9 |
| Atlanta Falcons |
3.08 |
-0.72 |
3.80 |
10 |
| Kansas City Chiefs |
-0.05 |
-3.62 |
3.57 |
11 |
| New York Giants |
2.04 |
-0.53 |
2.57 |
12 |
| Chicago Bears |
-4.00 |
-6.38 |
2.38 |
13 |
| Washington Redskins |
0.62 |
0.54 |
0.08 |
14 |
| New Orleans Saints |
1.15 |
1.17 |
-0.02 |
15 |
| Detroit Lions |
0.93 |
1.19 |
-0.27 |
16 |
| Cleveland Browns |
-3.77 |
-3.48 |
-0.29 |
17 |
| Houston Texans |
2.98 |
3.63 |
-0.65 |
18 |
| Miami Dolphins |
-3.82 |
-2.91 |
-0.91 |
19 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars |
1.40 |
2.70 |
-1.31 |
20 |
| Oakland Raiders |
-1.21 |
0.56 |
-1.77 |
21 |
| Dallas Cowboys |
2.31 |
4.60 |
-2.30 |
22 |
| Minnesota Vikings |
-4.05 |
-0.74 |
-3.31 |
23 |
| St. Louis Rams |
-5.72 |
-1.43 |
-4.29 |
24 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
-2.88 |
1.66 |
-4.54 |
25 |
| Denver Broncos |
0.60 |
5.19 |
-4.59 |
26 |
| Cincinnati Bengals |
-0.17 |
4.76 |
-4.93 |
27 |
| Buffalo Bills |
-0.15 |
6.40 |
-6.55 |
28 |
| Seattle Seahawks |
-4.94 |
2.27 |
-7.21 |
29 |
| San Francisco 49ers |
-6.58 |
2.79 |
-9.37 |
30 |
| Arizona Cardinals |
-3.13 |
7.60 |
-10.74 |
31 |
| Carolina Panthers |
-9.63 |
5.52 |
-15.15 |
32 |
Here are updated ratings. Top 3 teams are virtually even. Home edge is around 3 points.
| Team |
Off |
Def |
Overall |
| New Orleans Hornets |
0.81 |
-8.07 |
8.88 |
| San Antonio Spurs |
6.34 |
-2.23 |
8.56 |
| Miami Heat |
3.08 |
-5.32 |
8.39 |
| Boston Celtics |
-0.17 |
-6.69 |
6.52 |
| Los Angeles Lakers |
7.88 |
1.45 |
6.43 |
| Denver Nuggets |
5.61 |
-0.64 |
6.25 |
| Dallas Mavericks |
-1.97 |
-7.65 |
5.68 |
| Orlando Magic |
-4.02 |
-8.41 |
4.39 |
| Utah Jazz |
0.40 |
-2.41 |
2.81 |
| Chicago Bulls |
-1.57 |
-3.75 |
2.18 |
| Portland Trail Blazers |
-3.09 |
-5.20 |
2.12 |
| Milwaukee Bucks |
-7.55 |
-8.97 |
1.42 |
| Houston Rockets |
4.70 |
4.28 |
0.42 |
| Phoenix Suns |
8.29 |
7.96 |
0.33 |
| Indiana Pacers |
-0.99 |
-0.86 |
-0.13 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder |
5.17 |
6.25 |
-1.08 |
| New Jersey Nets |
-4.38 |
-3.14 |
-1.25 |
| Atlanta Hawks |
-0.75 |
1.01 |
-1.76 |
| Charlotte Bobcats |
-4.51 |
-2.56 |
-1.95 |
| Philadelphia 76ers |
-2.09 |
-0.09 |
-2.00 |
| New York Knickerbockers |
7.43 |
10.01 |
-2.58 |
| Toronto Raptors |
0.66 |
3.24 |
-2.58 |
| Memphis Grizzlies |
0.54 |
3.39 |
-2.85 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers |
-2.00 |
2.59 |
-4.59 |
| Detroit Pistons |
-3.31 |
1.67 |
-4.98 |
| Los Angeles Clippers |
-1.52 |
4.33 |
-5.85 |
| Golden State Warriors |
-1.73 |
4.14 |
-5.88 |
| Washington Wizards |
-4.17 |
3.51 |
-7.68 |
| Sacramento Kings |
-8.01 |
1.38 |
-9.39 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves |
0.93 |
10.77 |
-9.84 |
Through games of Wednesday November 17 here are updated power rankings. The Lakers have playd a relatively easy schedule so their record is misleading. The Kings have plummeted to the bottom of the league. The Hornets keep rolling along due their great defense. The Wolves and Knicks are the worse defensive teams.
| Rank |
Team |
Off |
Def |
Overall |
| 1 |
New Orleans Hornets |
2.02 |
-10.16 |
12.18 |
| 2 |
Miami Heat |
3.77 |
-7.62 |
11.39 |
| 3 |
San Antonio Spurs |
6.56 |
-2.46 |
9.02 |
| 4 |
Boston Celtics |
3.97 |
-4.62 |
8.59 |
| 5 |
Dallas Mavericks |
-2.04 |
-8.07 |
6.04 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles Lakers |
8.48 |
2.53 |
5.96 |
| 7 |
Denver Nuggets |
7.47 |
1.59 |
5.87 |
| 8 |
Milwaukee Bucks |
-5.41 |
-8.62 |
3.21 |
| 9 |
Orlando Magic |
-5.37 |
-8.23 |
2.86 |
| 10 |
Portland Trail Blazers |
-2.28 |
-5.12 |
2.84 |
| 11 |
Chicago Bulls |
0.26 |
-2.23 |
2.49 |
| 12 |
Utah Jazz |
-0.28 |
-0.59 |
0.31 |
| 13 |
Houston Rockets |
1.82 |
1.91 |
-0.10 |
| 14 |
Oklahoma City Thunder |
6.43 |
6.67 |
-0.25 |
| 15 |
Atlanta Hawks |
-0.58 |
-0.27 |
-0.30 |
| 16 |
Phoenix Suns |
5.13 |
6.00 |
-0.87 |
| 17 |
New Jersey Nets |
-4.27 |
-2.98 |
-1.29 |
| 18 |
Charlotte Bobcats |
-5.37 |
-3.07 |
-2.30 |
| 19 |
Memphis Grizzlies |
1.40 |
3.88 |
-2.48 |
| 20 |
Golden State Warriors |
0.26 |
2.86 |
-2.60 |
| 21 |
Indiana Pacers |
-1.57 |
2.24 |
-3.82 |
| 22 |
Philadelphia 76ers |
-3.12 |
0.97 |
-4.09 |
| 23 |
Detroit Pistons |
-5.30 |
-0.87 |
-4.43 |
| 24 |
Los Angeles Clippers |
-2.62 |
1.93 |
-4.55 |
| 25 |
Cleveland Cavaliers |
-3.46 |
1.13 |
-4.59 |
| 26 |
Toronto Raptors |
-1.74 |
3.62 |
-5.36 |
| 27 |
New York Knickerbockers |
2.77 |
8.40 |
-5.63 |
| 28 |
Washington Wizards |
-4.48 |
4.55 |
-9.04 |
| 29 |
Minnesota Timberwolves |
1.67 |
10.75 |
-9.07 |
| 30 |
Sacramento Kings |
-4.13 |
5.86 |
-9.99 |
Here are updated NFL rankings. Packers now look like legit Super Bowl contender. After all they shut out the Jets at home. Three of our 4 top teams (TENN, PITT and BALT) lost last week, but that is life in the NFL. Parity is its middle name (except for Carolina!) Our top 5 teams all bring it on defense. This year’s playoffs should be really unpredictable. Picks to follow soon. Our betting picks last week went 6-10 and now stand at 14-13.
| Team |
off |
def |
overall |
Rank |
| New York Jets |
3.26 |
-6.76 |
10.02 |
1 |
| Tennessee Titans |
4.87 |
-4.11 |
8.98 |
2 |
| Green Bay Packers |
2.80 |
-5.76 |
8.57 |
3 |
| Baltimore Ravens |
1.61 |
-6.85 |
8.46 |
4 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers |
2.30 |
-5.42 |
7.72 |
5 |
| New England Patriots |
7.80 |
0.60 |
7.20 |
6 |
| San Diego Chargers |
2.84 |
-2.14 |
4.97 |
7 |
| Indianapolis Colts |
0.93 |
-3.67 |
4.60 |
8 |
| Atlanta Falcons |
2.41 |
-1.42 |
3.83 |
9 |
| Miami Dolphins |
-0.44 |
-4.16 |
3.72 |
10 |
| Philadelphia Eagles |
5.13 |
2.26 |
2.87 |
11 |
| Kansas City Chiefs |
-0.58 |
-2.74 |
2.16 |
12 |
| Oakland Raiders |
1.36 |
-0.23 |
1.59 |
13 |
| Detroit Lions |
3.04 |
1.48 |
1.56 |
14 |
| New York Giants |
2.80 |
1.53 |
1.27 |
15 |
| Cleveland Browns |
-2.34 |
-3.22 |
0.88 |
16 |
| New Orleans Saints |
-0.05 |
-0.72 |
0.67 |
17 |
| Chicago Bears |
-4.14 |
-4.56 |
0.42 |
18 |
| Cincinnati Bengals |
-0.14 |
1.62 |
-1.77 |
19 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars |
1.93 |
4.31 |
-2.38 |
20 |
| Minnesota Vikings |
-3.42 |
-0.86 |
-2.55 |
21 |
| Denver Broncos |
3.04 |
5.67 |
-2.63 |
22 |
| St. Louis Rams |
-6.58 |
-2.72 |
-3.86 |
23 |
| Houston Texans |
1.42 |
5.35 |
-3.93 |
24 |
| Dallas Cowboys |
0.84 |
6.01 |
-5.18 |
25 |
| Washington Redskins |
-1.96 |
3.63 |
-5.58 |
26 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
-3.00 |
2.77 |
-5.77 |
27 |
| Seattle Seahawks |
-6.57 |
0.42 |
-6.99 |
28 |
| San Francisco 49ers |
-5.39 |
2.43 |
-7.82 |
29 |
| Buffalo Bills |
-2.75 |
5.32 |
-8.07 |
30 |
| Arizona Cardinals |
-1.09 |
7.48 |
-8.57 |
31 |
| Carolina Panthers |
-9.91 |
4.48 |
-14.39 |
32 |