October 17, 2018

NFL Picks October 17

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 8:59 pm

This week’s picks

  • ARI -1 OVER DEN
  • LAC -10 OVER TENN
  • PATS -2 OVER CHI
  • IND -5 OVER BUFF
  • JACK -2 OVER  HOUS
  • KC -7 OVER CINN
  • DETROIT MIAMI EVEN
  • MINN -3 OVER NYJ
  • PHI -6 OVER CAR
  • CLE  -3 OVER TAMPA
  • BALT -2 OVER NO GAME OF THE WEEK!
  • DALL -1 OVER WASH
  • RAMS -5 OVER SF
  • ATL -6  OVER NYG

Here are ratings.

Rank Team Rating
1 Los Angeles Rams 5.96
2 New Orleans Saints 5.59
3 Los Angeles Chargers 5.21
4 Baltimore Ravens 4.99
5 New England Patriots 4.78
6 Pittsburgh Steelers 4.69
7 Kansas City Chiefs 4.48
8 Philadelphia Eagles 4.35
9 Minnesota Vikings 2.56
10 Green Bay Packers 2.22
11 Dallas Cowboys 2.00
12 Seattle Seahawks 1.53
13 Carolina Panthers 1.07
14 Chicago Bears 0.70
15 Atlanta Falcons 0.25
16 Cincinnati Bengals -0.51
17 Houston Texans -0.57
18 Jacksonville Jaguars -0.83
19 Detroit Lions -1.06
20 Washington Redskins -1.65
21 San Francisco 49ers -1.87
22 Tennessee Titans -2.03
23 New York Jets -2.80
24 Denver Broncos -3.17
25 New York Giants -3.33
26 Miami Dolphins -3.83
27 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.99
28 Indianapolis Colts -4.18
29 Cleveland Browns -4.40
30 Oakland Raiders -4.74
31 Arizona Cardinals -4.89
32 Buffalo Bills -6.52

October 9, 2018

Week 6 NFL Ratings and Picks

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 9:46 am
Ranking Team Rating
1 Los Angeles Rams 6.30
2 New Orleans Saints 5.59
3 New England Patriots 4.76
4 Kansas City Chiefs 4.50
5 Pittsburgh Steelers 4.29
6 Los Angeles Chargers 3.60
7 Baltimore Ravens 3.42
8 Philadelphia Eagles 2.84
9 Minnesota Vikings 2.55
10 Green Bay Packers 2.22
11 Jacksonville Jaguars 1.81
12 Carolina Panthers 1.38
13 Chicago Bears 1.17
14 Atlanta Falcons 0.42
15 Cincinnati Bengals -0.10
16 Seattle Seahawks -0.16
17 Houston Texans -0.43
18 Tennessee Titans -0.46
19 Dallas Cowboys -0.64
20 Detroit Lions -1.06
21 New York Giants -1.82
22 San Francisco 49ers -1.87
23 Washington Redskins -1.96
24 Cleveland Browns -2.80
25 Oakland Raiders -3.06
26 New York Jets -3.19
27 Denver Broncos -3.51
28 Indianapolis Colts -3.79
29 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4.16
30 Miami Dolphins -4.31
31 Arizona Cardinals -4.88
32 Buffalo Bills -6.66

PHIL -2 OVER NYG

ATL -7 OVER TB

CINN-2 OVER PITT

LAC -4 OVER CLE

HOUS -9 OVER BUFF

CHIC -3 OVER MIA

MINN -10 OVER ARI

NYJ -2 OVER INDY

SEA OAK PICK EM

CAR -1 OVER WASH

RAMS -7 OVER DEN

DALL JACK PICK EM

BALT -1 OVER TENN

NE -3 OVER KC

GB -7 OVER SF

 

October 2, 2018

Week 5 NFL picks

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 7:13 am

NE by 11 over Indy

TENN by 5 over BUFF

CAR by 7 over NYG

CINN 7 OVER MIA

BALT 5 OVER CLE

GB 2 OVER DET

KC 3 OVER JACK

DENVER JETS PICK EM

PITT 3 OVER ATL

LAC 8 OVER OAK

PHIL 4 OVER MINN

RAMS 5 OVER SEA

SF 9 OVER ARI

HOUS 3 OVER DALL

NO 7   OVER WASH

 

 

June 29, 2018

Donovan Mitchell

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 6:56 pm

Some smart people think Donovan Mitchell  is below average. Adjusted for strength of opponent here is how Jazz played in various scenarios.  If this is a below average player,  I need to go back to middle school.

Gobert O’Neale Crowder Mitchell Burks Hood Ingles Rubio Favors
Mitchell and  other in 10 1795m 6 790m 7 779m 8 3049m 2 482m -1 468m 10 2256m 10 1711m 8 1740m
Mitchell out and other in 2 405m 0 619m -5 288m dnp -1 697m -4 616m -1 705m -2 724m -3 700m
Mitchell in and other out 4 1255m 8 2260m 8 2270m dnp 9 2567m 9 2581m 2 793m 5 1338m 7 1310m
Mitchell out and other out -4 1025m -4 811m -1 1142m -2 1430m -3 733m -1 814m -3 725m -2 706m -2 730m

 

 

May 26, 2018

How to Play without CP3

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 11:18 am

Here is what has worked for the Rockets without CP3.

Ariza         Gordon        Harden        Capela        Tucker

Anderson      Ariza         Gordon        Harden        Capela
Gordon        Harden        Mbah_a_Moute  Capela        Tucker
Gordon        Harden        Nene       Mbah_a_Moute  Tucker
Ariza         Gordon        Harden        Mbah_a_Moute  Capela
Ariza         Gordon        Harden        Nene       Tucker

Gordon out :Harden Tucker Anderson Moute and Nene, Capela  or Green

Harden out: Ariza  Gordon and Tucker with 2 of Capela, Moute,  Nene ,Anderson or Green

April 12, 2018

Final NBA regular season ratings

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 6:24 am
Rank Team Offense Defense Rating
1 Houston Rockets 3.07 -5.03 8.10
2 Philadelphia 76ers 4.80 -2.52 7.32
3 Toronto Raptors 4.72 -1.98 6.71
4 Utah Jazz -1.21 -7.45 6.24
5 Oklahoma City Thunder 4.24 -0.66 4.90
6 San Antonio Spurs -2.91 -6.50 3.59
7 Portland Trail Blazers 0.16 -3.37 3.53
8 Golden State Warriors 4.82 1.48 3.34
9 Minnesota Timberwolves 3.42 0.24 3.18
10 New Orleans Pelicans 5.73 2.60 3.13
11 Charlotte Hornets 4.80 2.79 2.01
12 Boston Celtics -3.50 -5.30 1.80
13 Denver Nuggets 4.46 2.99 1.46
14 Indiana Pacers -3.00 -4.39 1.39
15 Miami Heat -1.94 -3.13 1.18
16 Los Angeles Clippers 3.94 3.74 0.20
17 Cleveland Cavaliers 4.32 4.38 -0.06
18 Detroit Pistons -1.77 -1.69 -0.08
19 Los Angeles Lakers 1.86 2.43 -0.57
20 Washington Wizards 0.03 1.00 -0.96
21 Milwaukee Bucks 0.48 1.63 -1.15
22 Dallas Mavericks -3.65 -0.17 -3.48
23 Brooklyn Nets -0.17 3.74 -3.91
24 New York Knicks -1.91 2.72 -4.63
25 Sacramento Kings -7.54 -2.12 -5.42
26 Orlando Magic -5.79 -0.19 -5.60
27 Atlanta Hawks -3.70 2.30 -6.00
28 Memphis Grizzlies -6.72 1.14 -7.86
29 Chicago Bulls -2.98 5.24 -8.22
30 Phoenix Suns -4.05 6.09 -10.14

April 1, 2018

NBA Ratings April 1 2018

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 8:50 am
Rank Team Offense Defense Rating
1 Houston Rockets 5.22 -4.88 10.10
2 Toronto Raptors 6.04 -0.66 6.70
3 Philadelphia 76ers 2.74 -3.06 5.80
4 Utah Jazz -2.19 -7.09 4.90
5 Golden State Warriors 4.50 0.33 4.17
6 San Antonio Spurs -3.58 -7.51 3.93
7 Portland Trail Blazers 0.84 -2.93 3.77
8 Oklahoma City Thunder 2.91 -0.83 3.74
9 Boston Celtics -2.80 -6.26 3.46
10 Minnesota Timberwolves 4.15 0.76 3.39
11 Los Angeles Clippers 5.07 2.25 2.82
12 Miami Heat -1.82 -3.74 1.91
13 Indiana Pacers -2.80 -4.49 1.69
14 New Orleans Pelicans 4.53 3.56 0.97
15 Charlotte Hornets 3.14 2.24 0.90
16 Denver Nuggets 4.82 4.24 0.58
17 Washington Wizards 0.92 0.50 0.41
18 Milwaukee Bucks 0.18 0.74 -0.56
19 Cleveland Cavaliers 3.86 4.46 -0.60
20 Los Angeles Lakers 2.47 3.07 -0.60
21 Detroit Pistons -3.12 -2.51 -0.62
22 Dallas Mavericks -3.36 -1.15 -2.22
23 New York Knicks -1.07 3.24 -4.31
24 Brooklyn Nets -0.46 4.05 -4.52
25 Orlando Magic -4.38 1.30 -5.68
26 Sacramento Kings -6.22 0.45 -6.67
27 Atlanta Hawks -3.85 2.85 -6.70
28 Chicago Bulls -2.65 4.73 -7.38
29 Memphis Grizzlies -8.58 -0.53 -8.05
30 Phoenix Suns -4.50 6.87 -11.37

March 28, 2018

NBA Ratings March 28

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 7:27 am
Rank Team Offense Defense Rating
1 Houston Rockets 5.60 -4.98 10.58
2 Toronto Raptors 5.93 -0.96 6.89
3 Philadelphia 76ers 2.51 -2.80 5.31
4 Utah Jazz -2.11 -7.21 5.10
5 Portland Trail Blazers 0.90 -3.38 4.29
6 Golden State Warriors 4.65 0.48 4.17
7 San Antonio Spurs -3.63 -7.63 4.00
8 Oklahoma City Thunder 2.46 -0.92 3.39
9 Boston Celtics -3.09 -6.16 3.07
10 Minnesota Timberwolves 3.68 1.15 2.53
11 Los Angeles Clippers 4.97 2.64 2.34
12 Miami Heat -1.56 -3.83 2.27
13 Indiana Pacers -2.92 -4.82 1.90
14 Charlotte Hornets 3.42 2.32 1.10
15 Denver Nuggets 4.69 3.83 0.86
16 New Orleans Pelicans 4.45 3.75 0.70
17 Washington Wizards 1.01 0.52 0.49
18 Detroit Pistons -3.16 -2.81 -0.34
19 Milwaukee Bucks 0.05 0.46 -0.41
20 Cleveland Cavaliers 4.08 4.73 -0.64
21 Los Angeles Lakers 2.25 2.97 -0.72
22 Dallas Mavericks -2.95 -0.99 -1.96
23 New York Knicks -1.39 3.00 -4.39
24 Orlando Magic -3.33 1.23 -4.56
25 Brooklyn Nets -0.56 4.16 -4.72
26 Atlanta Hawks -3.58 2.39 -5.96
27 Sacramento Kings -6.27 0.33 -6.59
28 Memphis Grizzlies -9.15 -0.67 -8.47
29 Chicago Bulls -2.68 5.88 -8.56
30 Phoenix Suns -4.30 7.35 -11.65

March 24, 2018

NBA Ratings March 24

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 9:23 am
Rank Team Offense Defense Rating
1 Houston Rockets 5.62 -4.38 9.99
2 Toronto Raptors 6.35 -1.33 7.68
3 Golden State Warriors 6.09 0.55 5.54
4 San Antonio Spurs -3.99 -8.62 4.62
5 Philadelphia 76ers 1.77 -2.82 4.60
6 Utah Jazz -2.46 -6.85 4.39
7 Portland Trail Blazers 0.78 -3.28 4.06
8 Oklahoma City Thunder 2.37 -1.22 3.59
9 Minnesota Timberwolves 4.11 0.53 3.58
10 Boston Celtics -2.98 -6.01 3.03
11 Miami Heat -1.49 -3.26 1.78
12 Los Angeles Clippers 4.84 3.12 1.72
13 Indiana Pacers -3.08 -4.21 1.13
14 Denver Nuggets 4.60 3.49 1.11
15 New Orleans Pelicans 5.01 3.92 1.10
16 Charlotte Hornets 2.68 1.82 0.86
17 Washington Wizards 0.89 0.36 0.53
18 Cleveland Cavaliers 4.66 5.05 -0.38
19 Milwaukee Bucks 0.05 0.60 -0.55
20 Los Angeles Lakers 2.29 2.88 -0.59
21 Detroit Pistons -3.69 -2.86 -0.83
22 Dallas Mavericks -2.79 -0.81 -1.98
23 Orlando Magic -3.22 1.24 -4.46
24 Brooklyn Nets -0.73 3.80 -4.53
25 New York Knicks -2.15 2.57 -4.72
26 Atlanta Hawks -3.81 2.15 -5.96
27 Sacramento Kings -6.14 0.10 -6.24
28 Chicago Bulls -2.27 5.64 -7.91
29 Memphis Grizzlies -9.09 0.10 -9.19
30 Phoenix Suns -4.21 7.73 -11.94

Elite 8 odds

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 7:42 am
Team 3 4 5 6 >=4 >=5 6
Villanova 26.66% 31.66% 8.58% 33.10% 73.34% 41.68% 33.10%
DUKE 37.82% 27.98% 8.22% 25.98% 62.18% 34.20% 25.98%
MICH 37.98% 17.68% 29.48% 14.86% 62.02% 44.34% 14.86%
KANSAS 62.18% 22.26% 4.86% 10.70% 37.82% 15.56% 10.70%
FSU 62.02% 13.74% 18.64% 5.60% 37.98% 24.24% 5.60%
TEX TECH 73.34% 18.10% 3.62% 4.94% 26.66% 8.56% 4.94%
K STATE 37.68% 39.76% 18.82% 3.74% 62.32% 22.56% 3.74%
LOYOLA 62.32% 28.82% 7.78% 1.08% 37.68% 8.86% 1.08%
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