July 3, 2015

Aldridge is worth the fuss but so was Millsap.

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 7:01 am

Everyone wants Lamarcus Aldridge. Below you can see why. In most situations Aldridge makes his team at least 10 points better (although Lopez was a capable sub for him.) But if you look below you can see Paul Millsap is fantastic and nobody talks about him. For example, Horford in and Paul out Hawks are 2 ppg worse than average. Millsap has been this good for years, and nobody mentions him. Glad to see him finally get the big payday he deserves.

 

Antic Carroll Korver Teague Millsap Horford Scott Mack Schroder Horford
Millsap and  other in 9 570m 13 1992m 17 1719m 14 1930m 12 2500m 16 1454m 8 189m 1 176m 7 662m 16 1454m
Millsap out and other in -1 467m -12 447m 7 781m 1 401m dnp -2 1003m -5 928m -5 596m -9 948m -2 1003m
Millsap in and other out 13 1930m 11 508m 3 781m 8 570m dnp 7 1046m 13 2311m 13 2324m 14 1838m 7 1046m
Millsap out and other out -6 1122m -2 1143m -16 809m -7 1189m -5 1590m -9 587m -4 662m -5 994m 1 642m -9 587m
Aldridge Batum Leonard Lillard McCollum Afflalo Lopez Matthews
Aldridge and  other in 9 2649m 9 2016m 21 279m 9 2264m 12 511m 4 547m 5 1290m 13 1377m
Aldridge out and other in dnp -2 506m -7 660m 2 781m -3 601m 3 257m 4 424m -3 581m
Aldridge in and other out dnp 8 633m 7 2370m 8 384m 8 2138m 10 2102m 12 1359m 4 1272m
Aldridge out and other out -3 1450m -4 943m -1 789m -10 668m

 

 

-4 849m -5 1193m -7 1026m -3 869m

July 1, 2015

Why Middleton is worth Mucho $$s

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 8:19 pm

Look how Bucks played last year with Middleton in and out. For example Middleton and Bayless in Bucks play 5 ppg better than average. Bayless in and Middleton out 9 ppg worse than average. I do not know what he does but he impacts the game! These numbers are adjusted for strength of opponents faced.

 

Bayless Plumlee Middleton Carter-Will Pachulia Dudley Antetokounm Ilyasova Mayo Knight
Middleton and  other in 5 950m -2 105m 6 2610m 9 817m 14 1352m 7 1014m 5 1597m 8 1003m 9 690m 6 903m
Middleton out and other in -9 888m -17 101m dnp -3 132m -13 507m -6 813m -7 1144m -15 459m -10 1163m -10 785m
Middleton in and other out 6 1660m 6 2505m dnp 5 1793m -3 1258m 5 1596m 7 1013m 5 1608m 5 1920m 6 1707m
Middleton out and other out -11 889m -11 1674m -19 529m -10 1566m -12 1309m -11 1674m -11 1674m -10 1079m -11 1674m -12 511m

June 23, 2015

Cousins is good

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 3:13 pm

Lots of debate on Cousins recently. I do not know his Myers-Brigg score but he has a huge impact on the game. Look at how Kings played with him On or off court. In most cases Boogie made at least a 10 point different. For example with Collison and Cousins on court Sac played 9 ppg better than average; With Collison on court and Boogie out 10 ppg worse than average. I cannot speak for off the court but on the court Boogie is a real difference maker and they are few and far between.

 

Mclemore Stauskas Thompson Gay McCallum Landry Williams Collison Evans Cousins
Cousins and  other in 6 1488m -6 346m 8 804m 4 1268m -6 715m -6 360m -6 567m 9 831m 14 71m 2 1901m
Cousins out and other in -9 1094m -14 716m -15 1092m -10 1019m -16 713m -15 776m -17 874m -10 600m -7 647m dnp
Cousins in and other out -12 413m 4 1555m -2 1096m -3 633m 6 1186m 4 1541m 5 1334m -3 1070m 1 1830m dnp
Cousins out and other out -17 808m -11 1186m -9 810m -15 883m -10 1188m -10 1126m -9 1028m -13 1302m -15 1254m -12 1902m

April 11, 2015

Projected NBA Final Standings April 11 NBA

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 8:48 am
Rank Team Wins Losses
1 Atlanta Hawks 62 20
2 Cleveland Cavaliers 53 29
3 Chicago Bulls 49 33
4 Toronto Raptors 48 34
5 Washington Wizards 46 36
6 Milwaukee Bucks 40 42
7 Brooklyn Nets 39 43
8 Boston Celtics 39 43
9 Indiana Pacers 38 44
10 Miami Heat 37 45
11 Charlotte Hornets 34 48
12 Detroit Pistons 32 50
13 Orlando Magic 26 56
14 New York Knicks 15 67
15 Philadelphia 76ers 19 63
Rank Team W L
1 Golden State Warriors 67 15
2 San Antonio Spurs 56 26
3 Houston Rockets 55 27
4 Los Angeles Clippers 55 27
5 Memphis Grizzlies 55 27
6 Portland Trail Blazers 53 29
7 Dallas Mavericks 49 33
8 Oklahoma City Thunder 45 37
9 New Orleans Pelicans 44 38
10 Phoenix Suns 39 43
11 Utah Jazz 38 44
12 Denver Nuggets 30 52
13 Sacramento Kings 28 54
14 Los Angeles Lakers 23 59
15 Minnesota Timberwolves 17 65

NBA April 11 Post All Star Break Ratings

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 8:47 am

 

Team Offense Defense Rating Off Rank Def Rank
San   Antonio Spurs 7.27 -4.03 11.30 3 4
Cleveland   Cavaliers 6.65 -3.88 10.53 4 5
Golden   State Warriors 9.49 -0.95 10.44 2 14
Los   Angeles Clippers 6.21 -1.22 7.42 5 12
Portland Trail Blazers 4.40 -0.28 4.69 8 16
Utah Jazz -8.89 -12.66 3.77 29 1
Houston   Rockets 4.42 0.98 3.44 7 17
Atlanta   Hawks 0.02 -3.23 3.25 13 7
Indiana   Pacers -0.39 -2.81 2.41 16 8
Boston   Celtics 2.89 1.14 1.75 10 18
Oklahoma   City Thunder 9.79 8.06 1.74 1 29
New   Orleans Pelicans -3.47 -4.97 1.50 22 3
Memphis   Grizzlies -5.42 -6.91 1.49 28 2
Chicago   Bulls -2.67 -3.48 0.81 19 6
Brooklyn   Nets 5.32 4.84 0.47 6 26
Toronto   Raptors 1.55 1.65 -0.10 12 20
Dallas   Mavericks 2.12 2.63 -0.52 11 24
Miami   Heat -2.54 -1.56 -0.98 18 11
Detroit   Pistons -0.17 1.39 -1.56 15 19
Milwaukee   Bucks -3.78 -1.05 -2.72 23 13
Washington   Wizards -3.91 -0.94 -2.98 24 15
Phoenix   Suns -4.78 -1.77 -3.01 25 10
Charlotte   Hornets -5.37 -2.33 -3.04 27 9
Denver   Nuggets 2.98 6.19 -3.21 9 27
Orlando   Magic -3.07 2.30 -5.36 20 22
Los   Angeles Lakers -3.15 2.40 -5.54 21 23
Philadelphia   76ers -5.07 2.13 -7.21 26 21
Minnesota   Timberwolves -1.26 6.68 -7.94 17 28
Sacramento   Kings 0.00 8.07 -8.07 14 30
New York   Knicks -9.17 3.62 -12.79 30 25

April 8, 2015

Projected NBA final standings April 8

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 7:50 am
Team W L
Atlanta Hawks 61 21
Cleveland Cavaliers 54 28
Chicago Bulls 49 33
Toronto Raptors 47 35
Washington Wizards 46 36
Milwaukee Bucks 40 42
Brooklyn Nets 39 43
Boston Celtics 37 45
Indiana Pacers 37 45
Miami Heat 37 45
Charlotte Hornets 35 47
Detroit Pistons 33 49
Orlando Magic 26 56
Philadelphia 76ers 20 62
New York Knicks 16 66
Team W L
Golden State   Warriors 67 15
Houston Rockets 55 27
Los Angeles Clippers 55 27
San Antonio Spurs 55 27
Memphis Grizzlies 54 28
Portland Trail Blazers 53 29
Dallas Mavericks 48 34
New Orleans Pelicans 45 37
Oklahoma City   Thunder 44 38
Phoenix Suns 40 42
Utah Jazz 38 44
Denver Nuggets 30 52
Sacramento Kings 28 54
Los Angeles Lakers 23 59
Minnesota   Timberwolves 17 65

NBA Ratings April 8

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 7:49 am

Based on games since All star break

 

Team Offense Defense Rating Off Rank Def Rank
Cleveland   Cavaliers 7.58 -3.93 11.50 4 4
San   Antonio Spurs 7.58 -3.65 11.23 3 5
Golden   State Warriors 9.48 -0.77 10.26 2 15
Los   Angeles Clippers 6.34 -1.00 7.34 5 13
Portland Trail Blazers 4.26 -0.06 4.32 8 16
Utah Jazz -8.84 -12.89 4.05 29 1
Houston   Rockets 4.71 1.49 3.22 7 20
Atlanta   Hawks 0.00 -3.02 3.02 13 7
New   Orleans Pelicans -2.46 -4.77 2.31 19 3
Indiana   Pacers -0.68 -2.81 2.13 16 8
Oklahoma   City Thunder 10.21 8.54 1.68 1 30
Chicago   Bulls -2.61 -3.31 0.70 20 6
Boston   Celtics 2.45 1.76 0.69 9 21
Memphis   Grizzlies -6.36 -6.22 -0.14 28 2
Miami   Heat -1.76 -1.32 -0.44 18 11
Brooklyn   Nets 4.72 5.17 -0.44 6 27
Dallas   Mavericks 0.01 0.58 -0.57 12 18
Toronto   Raptors 1.95 2.68 -0.73 10 24
Detroit   Pistons -0.42 0.48 -0.90 15 17
Charlotte   Hornets -3.85 -2.05 -1.80 23 9
Washington   Wizards -3.92 -1.21 -2.71 25 12
Phoenix   Suns -4.42 -1.57 -2.86 26 10
Milwaukee   Bucks -3.85 -0.79 -3.06 24 14
Denver   Nuggets 0.93 4.65 -3.73 11 26
Los   Angeles Lakers -3.09 2.06 -5.14 21 22
Orlando   Magic -3.32 2.27 -5.59 22 23
Philadelphia   76ers -4.73 1.37 -6.10 27 19
Minnesota   Timberwolves -0.99 6.54 -7.53 17 28
Sacramento   Kings 0.00 8.00 -8.00 14 29
New York   Knicks -8.92 3.77 -12.69 30 25

April 5, 2015

April 5 Projected Final NBA Standings

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 8:59 am
Rank Team Wins Losses
1 Atlanta Hawks 61 21
2 Cleveland Cavaliers 54 28
3 Chicago Bulls 49 33
4 Toronto Raptors 47 35
5 Washington Wizards 46 36
6 Milwaukee Bucks 40 42
7 Brooklyn Nets 38 44
8 Miami Heat 38 44
9 Boston Celtics 37 45
10 Indiana Pacers 37 45
11 Charlotte Hornets 35 47
12 Detroit Pistons 33 49
13 Orlando Magic 26 56
14 Philadelphia 76ers 20 62
15 New York Knicks 15 67
Rank Team W L
1 Golden State Warriors 68 14
2 Houston Rockets 55 27
3 Los Angeles Clippers 55 27
4 Memphis Grizzlies 54 28
5 San Antonio Spurs 54 28
6 Portland Trail Blazers 53 29
7 Dallas Mavericks 48 34
8 Oklahoma City Thunder 45 37
9 New Orleans Pelicans 44 38
10 Phoenix Suns 40 42
11 Utah Jazz 38 44
12 Denver Nuggets 30 52
13 Sacramento Kings 28 54
14 Los Angeles Lakers 23 59
15 Minnesota Timberwolves 17 65

NBA Ratings April 5

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 8:57 am
Team Offense Defense Rating Off Rank Def Rank
Cleveland   Cavaliers 7.74 -4.00 11.74 3 4
Golden   State Warriors 9.88 -1.05 10.93 2 13
San   Antonio Spurs 7.70 -2.34 10.04 4 8
Los   Angeles Clippers 6.57 -0.49 7.05 5 15
Portland Trail Blazers 4.74 -0.07 4.81 6 16
Utah Jazz -9.07 -13.36 4.29 29 1
Houston   Rockets 4.49 1.49 3.00 8 20
Oklahoma   City Thunder 11.01 8.35 2.66 1 30
Atlanta   Hawks 0.00 -2.14 2.14 12 10
New   Orleans Pelicans -2.67 -4.70 2.03 20 3
Indiana   Pacers -1.41 -2.65 1.24 17 6
Boston   Celtics 2.42 1.75 0.67 9 21
Chicago   Bulls -2.80 -3.04 0.24 21 5
Miami   Heat -2.07 -2.30 0.22 18 9
Memphis   Grizzlies -6.46 -6.35 -0.11 28 2
Dallas   Mavericks -0.21 0.33 -0.54 14 17
Toronto   Raptors 1.83 2.70 -0.87 10 24
Detroit   Pistons -0.45 0.49 -0.95 15 18
Brooklyn   Nets 4.70 5.67 -0.97 7 27
Charlotte   Hornets -4.26 -2.41 -1.86 26 7
Phoenix   Suns -3.51 -1.53 -1.98 23 11
Washington   Wizards -3.83 -1.21 -2.62 24 12
Milwaukee   Bucks -4.03 -0.80 -3.22 25 14
Denver   Nuggets 0.81 4.58 -3.77 11 26
Los   Angeles Lakers -2.45 2.23 -4.68 19 22
Philadelphia   76ers -4.55 1.02 -5.57 27 19
Orlando   Magic -3.41 2.24 -5.65 22 23
Minnesota   Timberwolves -1.37 6.03 -7.40 16 28
Sacramento   Kings 0.00 7.54 -7.54 13 29
New York   Knicks -9.33 4.00 -13.33 30 25

April 1, 2015

NBA Projected Final Standings April 1

Filed under: Uncategorized — wwinston @ 11:11 am
Rank Team Wins Losses
1 Atlanta Hawks 60 22
2 Cleveland Cavaliers 54 28
3 Chicago Bulls 49 33
4 Toronto Raptors 48 34
5 Washington Wizards 44 38
6 Milwaukee Bucks 40 42
7 Brooklyn Nets 39 43
8 Miami Heat 38 44
9 Boston Celtics 37 45
10 Indiana Pacers 37 45
11 Charlotte Hornets 35 47
12 Detroit Pistons 33 49
13 Orlando Magic 25 57
14 Philadelphia 76ers 21 61
15 New York Knicks 16 66
Rank Team W L
1 Golden State Warriors 67 15
2 Houston Rockets 54 28
3 Los Angeles Clippers 54 28
4 Memphis Grizzlies 54 28
5 San Antonio Spurs 54 28
6 Portland Trail Blazers 53 29
7 Dallas Mavericks 48 34
8 Oklahoma City Thunder 47 35
9 New Orleans Pelicans 43 39
10 Phoenix Suns 40 42
11 Utah Jazz 39 43
12 Denver Nuggets 31 51
13 Sacramento Kings 28 54
14 Los Angeles Lakers 24 58
15 Minnesota Timberwolves 19 63
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